跌势未完?散户现在担心:比特币可能跌破2万美元大关!

金十Опубликовано 2024-01-24Обновлено 2024-01-24

德意志银行的一项调查显示,对加密货币持怀疑态度的人并没有因为可以通过交易所交易基金(ETF)投资比特币而改变态度。FactSet的数据显示,自比特币现货ETF于1月11日推出以来,比特币已下跌约20%,至约3.9万美元附近。

德意志银行驻伦敦分析师Marion laboure周二在一份报告中说,到目前为止,机构在将这一新基金纳入投资组合方面进展缓慢散户投资者也不完全相信他们需要这么做。报告还称,ETF的大部分资金都来自散户投资者。

本月早些时候美国证券交易委员会(SEC)批准比特币现货ETF后,德意志银行对美国、英国和欧洲的2000名散户投资者进行了调查。调查发现,超过三分之一的受访者认为,到今年年底,比特币将跌破2万美元。只有约15%的人说,他们预计到今年年底比特币将涨至4万至7.5万美元之间。

此外,超过一半的参与者表示,他们认为“主要加密货币”将在未来两年内完全崩溃

德意志银行表示,39%的调查参与者认为比特币将在未来几年继续存在,而42%的人预计它将消失。

华尔街不少“大佬”也对这一全球最大加密货币持反对态度,摩根大通CEO戴蒙认为比特币就是什么也不做的“宠物石”,并称以后将拒绝讨论这一话题。

美国顶级经济学家David Rosenberg也警告称,买比特币更像是买彩票。“这更像赌博,而不是投资。”

laboure则在报告中指出,“调查结果可能表明,人们对加密货币缺乏了解,因为三分之二的消费者对这些数字资产知之甚少或根本不了解。”

她补充说,负面情绪可能与过去的一些“币圈丑闻”有关,包括2022年加密货币交易所FTX的崩溃,以及SEC对全球最大的两家交易所币安和Coinbase的诉讼。

去年下半年,比特币价格出现反弹,主要是因为市场预期美国将在今年批准首批比特币现货ETF,使这一资产类别具有合法性,并为投资者增加比特币持仓提供了一种简单便捷的方式。

laboure写道,尽管比特币在1月份遭到抛售,但这种加密资产在未来几个月仍有潜在的有利因素,包括SEC即将在5月份就以太坊现货ETF做出决定,以及4月份比特币将减半。laboure说:

“随着传统金融参与者进入市场,加密货币世界正逐渐走向更大的制度化,总体而言,不断发展的ETF格局和机构参与者的参与正在帮助加密货币成长为一种更成熟的资产类别。”

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