PI beats BTC and ETH, yet resistance rejection raises red flags

ambcryptoPublicado em 2026-02-15Última atualização em 2026-02-15

Resumo

Despite a significant 43.1% rally that outperformed Bitcoin and Ethereum, Pi Network (PI) faces a critical resistance level at $0.20. The surge, fueled by a network upgrade and a breakout from a descending wedge, was met with rejection at this key supply zone. High trading volume during the rally is seen as a potential sign of buyer exhaustion rather than strong conviction, often indicating that smart money is selling. Analysts caution against FOMO, suggesting a breakout above $0.20 followed by a successful retest is needed to confirm a bullish trend. Until then, the broader bearish bias and longer-term downtrend advise caution for traders.

Pi Network [PI] was one of the altcoins in the spotlight. With a 43.1% rally from Thursday’s low at $0.132, PI traders and investors might be tempted to buy the token. The buying idea becomes even more tempting when the gains are compared to leading crypto assets.

Bitcoin [BTC] was up 8.3%, and Ethereum [ETH] was up by 9.2% in the same time period. Yet, traders should be cautious and not give in to FOMO or arguments of relative strength.

Assessing the bullish argument

The Pi Network upgrade was one of the reasons behind the token’s strong recent gains. AMBCrypto reported that the shift toward a decentralized mainnet was a step forward in transferring responsibility from the developers to the community.

A breakout from a long-term descending wedge was also demonstrated. This has the potential to send prices to $0.267-$0.28.

However, the picture remained bearishly biased at the time of writing. The local supply zone at $0.20 remained resolute in the face of a buying frenzy.

Why buyers should be wary of the PI rally

The volume indicators were neutral at best, despite the high trading volume. The OBV was a noticeable distance from making a new high, and the CMF on the daily timeframe

The 1-day chart reinforced the importance of the $0.2 resistance. The recent, swift gains reaching and facing rejection at this band of supply were not a good development.

This is because, counter-intuitively, the high-volume surge into a key resistance area is generally followed by buyer exhaustion and a retracement of all the gains made. In other words, smart money tends to use these moves to sell.

Traders can wait for a breakout past $0.2 and a retest of the same as support to buy. Given the wider market sentiment, this was a highly risky endeavor.

Instead, swing traders and investors can maintain their bearish bias, which is in agreement with the longer-term downtrend.


Final Summary

  • The Pi Network token prices saw a strong rally to break out of a descending wedge at the same time as the network upgrade announcement came out.
  • The quick move into the overhead supply zone on high trading volume, and the rejection in recent hours, has a good chance of turning out to be a sign of buyer exhaustion and not conviction.

Disclaimer: The information presented does not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice and is solely the writer’s opinion.

Perguntas relacionadas

QWhat was the percentage gain of Pi Network (PI) from Thursday's low, and how does it compare to Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH)?

APi Network (PI) rallied 43.1% from Thursday's low. In the same time period, Bitcoin (BTC) was up 8.3% and Ethereum (ETH) was up 9.2%.

QWhat was one of the main reasons cited for Pi Network's recent strong price gains?

AOne of the main reasons for the strong recent gains was the Pi Network upgrade and the shift toward a decentralized mainnet, which transferred responsibility from the developers to the community.

QWhat key resistance level is highlighted as a significant obstacle for the PI price?

AThe key resistance level highlighted is the local supply zone at $0.20.

QAccording to the article, why should buyers be wary of the high-volume surge into the key resistance area?

ABuyers should be wary because a high-volume surge into a key resistance area is often followed by buyer exhaustion and a retracement of gains, as it can be a sign that smart money is using the move to sell.

QWhat cautious trading strategy does the article suggest for entering a long position in PI?

AThe article suggests traders wait for a breakout past the $0.20 resistance and then a successful retest of that level as support before considering a buy, noting that it is a highly risky endeavor given the market sentiment.

Leituras Relacionadas

Low Investment Isn't Apple's Immunity Pass

While Meta and Google face investor scrutiny over ballooning AI capital expenditures, Apple's minimal AI investment has paradoxically become a strength. Its market cap recently reclaimed the global top spot, surpassing $5 trillion. The irony is deep: Apple's own AI efforts have lagged, with "Apple Intelligence" delayed and core talent lost, forcing reliance on partners like Google Gemini and Alibaba's Qianwen. Its Q3 FY2026 (Q2 CY) earnings initially seemed stellar. Revenue hit $109.4B (up 16% YoY), with iPhone and Mac sales, growing 22% and 29% respectively, driving most of the growth. However, the stock fell over 8% post-earnings. The primary concern was a weaker Q4 revenue growth forecast of 9-11%, below expectations, due to looming supply chain constraints. Apple is feeling the indirect cost of the AI boom. Soaring memory and chip prices, fueled by massive data center investments from Microsoft, Amazon, and others, are forcing Apple to raise Mac and iPad prices significantly. The upcoming iPhone launch is also expected to see substantial price hikes. Despite avoiding heavy AI infrastructure spending—its capital expenditures are actually down 28%—Apple cannot escape the industry-wide supply and cost pressures. While Apple's operating cash flow remains robust, its substantial R&D spending (up 32% YoY) has yet to yield major AI breakthroughs. As Tim Cook prepares to step down as CEO, Apple faces a challenging transition: balancing its premium hardware success against the strategic and cost pressures of the AI era it has so far cautiously navigated.

marsbitHá 17m

Low Investment Isn't Apple's Immunity Pass

marsbitHá 17m

PA Graphics Explanation | One Chart to Understand the Major Web3 Events in August 2026

**PANews Crypto Calendar: Key Web3 Events in August 2026** PANews introduces its revamped crypto calendar, featuring comprehensive coverage, flexible filtering, and easy export options. The market in August will be shaped by multiple key events across macroeconomics, regulation, tokenomics, and project developments: * **Macro & Policy:** Key US economic data releases (July Non-Farm Payrolls, CPI), the Federal Reserve meeting minutes, and the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium will be in focus. On the regulatory front, the US Senate plans to release a new draft of the *CLARITY Act*, while the EU's expanded crypto ban against Belarus comes into effect. * **Token Unlocks:** Significant token unlocks are scheduled for assets including ENA, AVAX, CONX, ZRO, and KAITO, which may influence market volatility. * **Project Updates & Shutdowns:** Several services, including Exchange Art, Ctrl Wallet, Zapper, NFTfi, and Summer.fi, are set to cease operations or undergo major adjustments. Users are advised to manage their assets accordingly. * **Corporate Activity:** Q2 earnings reports from companies like SpaceX, Circle, and Nvidia are due. Unitree Robotics will initiate its IPO subscription on the STAR Market, and Moonshot AI plans to begin a Pre-IPO financing round. * **Industry Events:** Major conferences such as Bitcoin Asia 2026 and the 2026 Digital Expo will take place. The overarching market narrative for August will revolve around macroeconomic expectations, regulatory developments, token unlock schedules, and ongoing industry consolidation.

marsbitHá 27m

PA Graphics Explanation | One Chart to Understand the Major Web3 Events in August 2026

marsbitHá 27m

Wall Street's Most Famous 'Cassandra' Now Has His Sights Set on Nvidia

Michael Burry, the famed "Big Short" investor, has once again captured Wall Street's attention with a series of short positions against major tech and semiconductor stocks, most notably Nvidia. In late June and July, through his "Cassandra Unchained" newsletter, Burry disclosed short bets against Nvidia, Tesla, Applied Materials, Caterpillar, the SOXX semiconductor ETF, and later, Micron Technology. His core thesis revolves around potential distortions in the AI infrastructure boom, specifically questioning whether extended depreciation schedules (e.g., 6 years vs. a realistic 2-3 years for AI chips) by cloud giants like Microsoft and Google artificially inflate profits. He also raises concerns about possible "off-balance-sheet circular financing," where chip demand might be propped up by vendor-backed funding to clients. Nvidia's stock experienced volatility following these disclosures, briefly dipping but largely holding near Burry's reported entry points, leaving his positions roughly flat or slightly underwater as of late July. This move is part of a pattern for Burry, whose track record since his legendary 2008 bet is mixed. He has faced notable losses, such as on Tesla in 2021, while scoring on broader market turns like the 2020 pandemic crash. His methodology focuses intensely on free cash flow and scrutinizing original financial documents to spot overvaluation and structural risks, but it often struggles with timing the market. The article contrasts Burry's stance with other prominent investors. Steve Eisman, another "Big Short" figure, is not shorting Nvidia, citing strong fundamentals but expressing nervousness about sustainability. Jim Chanos agrees with the broad "accounting mismatch" concern—comparing it to the dot-com bubble—but targets financial leverage in private equity firms rather than the chip stocks themselves. While Nvidia's short interest remains relatively low at 1.3-1.4% of float, the massive stock size means absolute short losses have been significant, exceeding $5 billion earlier this year. The piece concludes that for ordinary investors, the key takeaway is not replicating specific short bets but learning from the critical frameworks these investors use: questioning rosy accounting, identifying structural vulnerabilities, and maintaining skepticism during market euphoria, even if pinpointing the exact catalyst for a downturn remains elusive.

marsbitHá 52m

Wall Street's Most Famous 'Cassandra' Now Has His Sights Set on Nvidia

marsbitHá 52m

Weekly Selection丨Epic Stock Market Volatility, Changxin Tech's IPO Reshapes Storage Landscape, Saylor Aims to Re-Anchor STRC Around September 8th

PANews Weekly Digest: Market Turmoil, Tech Breakthroughs, and Crypto Developments. The week saw significant volatility across global markets. South Korea's KOSPI index experienced extreme turbulence, including multiple trading halts, largely driven by sharp declines in AI hardware stocks like SK Hynix. In contrast, China's Changxin Xinqiao (CXC) achieved a landmark IPO with a market cap surpassing 4 trillion yuan, marking a major success for the domestic DRAM industry after a decade of losses. In the crypto and Web3 space, several key narratives emerged. AI is driving demand for new infrastructure, with projects like AI agent wallets and programmable payments gaining traction, attracting interest from firms like Coinbase. The Bitcoin mining sector is pivoting, with companies like MARA focusing on energy management as electricity becomes a core AI-era asset. Meanwhile, the RWA (Real World Assets) sector faces a "utilization puzzle," with hundreds of billions in on-chain assets remaining dormant. Notable market movements included a historic single-day surge of over 17% for the KOSPI index and a significant migration of $16.5 billion in staked ETH within the Lido ecosystem. Michael Saylor announced a target to re-peg the STRC stablecoin around September 8th. Other highlights include discussions on Ethereum's ambitious 2030 roadmap for scaling and privacy, analysis showing high protocol revenues not always translating to token price gains, and warnings from Citi about potential extreme commodity price shocks by late 2026.

marsbitHá 57m

Weekly Selection丨Epic Stock Market Volatility, Changxin Tech's IPO Reshapes Storage Landscape, Saylor Aims to Re-Anchor STRC Around September 8th

marsbitHá 57m

When the Market Begins to Question AI Capex: A Full Analysis of Q2 Earnings Reports from Five Tech Giants

In late July 2026, five major US tech giants—Alphabet, Intel, Microsoft, Meta, and Apple—released their Q2 earnings reports. While all companies exceeded revenue and profit expectations, driven by strong AI-related business growth, investor reactions diverged sharply due to concerns over escalating AI capital expenditures (capex) and their impact on free cash flow. Alphabet reported strong revenue growth and a surging cloud business, but its stock fell after announcing a doubled year-on-year capex and negative quarterly free cash flow for the first time. Intel posted its strongest revenue growth in over 15 years, but its stock experienced volatile trading after significantly raising its full-year capex guidance. Microsoft saw its stock surge after beating estimates and, crucially, lowering its capex forecast while projecting positive free cash flow. Meta faced the most severe sell-off as its profits declined despite revenue beats, with free cash flow plunging over 90% and its capex guidance raised. Apple reported record June-quarter results, but its stock plummeted after providing Q4 revenue guidance that fell short of expectations, citing supply chain constraints and forex headwinds. The overall takeaway is that the market's focus has shifted from validating AI demand to scrutinizing the timeline for returns on massive AI investments. Companies demonstrating a clearer path to managing capex and preserving free cash flow, like Microsoft, were rewarded, while those signaling continued aggressive spending faced investor skepticism.

Odaily星球日报Há 1h

When the Market Begins to Question AI Capex: A Full Analysis of Q2 Earnings Reports from Five Tech Giants

Odaily星球日报Há 1h

Trading

Spot
活动图片