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Bitcoin Mining Economics Flash Warning: Profitability Nears 2022 Stress Levels

Bitcoin is experiencing heightened volatility while trading near a critical support level, with on-chain indicators suggesting a divergence between price and network fundamentals. The NVT Golden Cross, a key metric comparing market valuation to on-chain transaction volume, recently reached a historically depressed level of -0.58, signaling structural undervaluation. This typically occurs during periods of forced deleveraging and risk aversion, where prices fall aggressively even as on-chain activity remains relatively stable. The indicator has since recovered to around -0.32, indicating a gradual realignment between price and fundamentals, though Bitcoin remains conservatively priced relative to its utility. Such conditions have historically marked transition phases toward equilibrium, often coinciding with accumulation and setting the stage for healthier price discovery.

bitcoinist12/20 06:02

Bitcoin Mining Economics Flash Warning: Profitability Nears 2022 Stress Levels

bitcoinist12/20 06:02

Understanding Bitcoin Cash’s 10% jump amid BCH’s spot–derivatives divide

On December 19th, Bitcoin Cash (BCH) surged approximately 10% in large part due to heightened derivatives activity. Perpetual futures traders turned decisively bullish, with open interest rising by $184 million to around $786 million. Positive rates indicated long positions were dominant, and short traders suffered over $2.5 million in liquidations. However, spot investors showed caution, with net outflows of $3.93 million on the day and $4.88 million for the week, reflecting sustained selling pressure. Technically, BCH was trading within a bullish symmetrical triangle, facing resistance near $606. While capital inflows and a positive Money Flow Index suggest potential breakout, continued spot selling may challenge further upward momentum.

ambcrypto12/20 06:01

Understanding Bitcoin Cash’s 10% jump amid BCH’s spot–derivatives divide

ambcrypto12/20 06:01

Coinbase Escalates Regulatory Fight With Lawsuit Against 3 States

Coinbase has filed lawsuits against Michigan, Illinois, and Connecticut in federal court, seeking to prevent state regulators from treating prediction markets as illegal gambling. The company argues that these markets are derivatives regulated by the CFTC under federal law, not by state gaming authorities. The legal action aims to avoid a patchwork of state rules that could block federally approved products. The move follows state-level actions, including cease-and-desist orders against platforms like Kalshi. Coinbase plans to launch prediction market trading in partnership with Kalshi in January 2026, making a federal ruling urgent. The outcome could determine whether such markets are regulated nationally or on a state-by-state basis, impacting innovation and market access.

bitcoinist12/20 05:32

Coinbase Escalates Regulatory Fight With Lawsuit Against 3 States

bitcoinist12/20 05:32

Adam Back slams Bitcoiner VC for ‘uninformed noise’ about quantum risk

Blockstream CEO Adam Back criticized Castle Island Ventures' Nic Carter for amplifying concerns about quantum computing threats to Bitcoin, calling it "uninformed noise." Carter defended his firm's investment in quantum-resistant startup Project Eleven, stating he was "quantum pilled" and believes Bitcoin is vulnerable. He argues governments are preparing for quantum risks and Bitcoin is a "bug bounty" for quantum attacks. While some, like Capriole Investments' Charles Edwards, warn the threat could emerge in 2-9 years, Back contends quantum technology is still decades away from being a real threat. Others, like Kevin O’Leary, doubt attacking Bitcoin would be a practical use of quantum computing.

cointelegraph12/20 05:22

Adam Back slams Bitcoiner VC for ‘uninformed noise’ about quantum risk

cointelegraph12/20 05:22

Was China’s latest mining ‘crackdown’ just a lot of FUD?

China's recent Bitcoin mining "crackdown" appears to be largely exaggerated FUD (Fear, Uncertainty, Doubt), according to data analysis. Initial reports of a major mining shutdown in China, particularly in Xinjiang, emerged after a notable 8% drop in Bitcoin’s hashrate. However, deeper investigation reveals that most of the hashrate decline actually came from North American mining pools, not solely China-based ones. By December 18th, most pools had recovered to near-normal levels, indicating the disruption was temporary. The data suggests a short-lived event rather than a large-scale government crackdown, emphasizing the importance of verifying data before reacting to market hype.

ambcrypto12/20 05:01

Was China’s latest mining ‘crackdown’ just a lot of FUD?

ambcrypto12/20 05:01

‘Capital Is Moving, Not Leaving’: What Japan’s Crypto Market Stands To Gain

The crypto market is facing uncertainty and selling pressure, with Bitcoin struggling above $90,000 and Ethereum showing volatility. However, analysis by XWIN Research Japan indicates capital isn't exiting but shifting form. The total supply of ERC20 stablecoins has reached near all-time highs at $160 billion, suggesting funds are moving into stablecoins as "waiting liquidity" within the ecosystem, poised for redeployment when market direction becomes clearer. This behavior has positive implications for Japan’s crypto market. Improving regulatory clarity and tax frameworks may attract cautious domestic capital back, boosting local market depth and Japan’s global role. The yen-denominated stablecoin JPYC is key, serving not only for trading but as infrastructure for real economic applications like Web3 services and payments. The overall crypto market cap is testing critical support at the $2.9-$3.0 trillion zone, having been rejected from the $4 trillion level. While the long-term trend remains intact above the 2022-2023 base, the market is in a corrective phase. Holding current support is crucial to avoid a deeper retracement.

bitcoinist12/20 04:02

‘Capital Is Moving, Not Leaving’: What Japan’s Crypto Market Stands To Gain

bitcoinist12/20 04:02

7 Crypto Trends and Lessons You Must Know in 2026

The crypto market in 2025 was marked by extreme volatility and a significant downturn, with most altcoins dropping 80–99% in value. Bitcoin outperformed, reclaiming over 60% market dominance, while Ethereum stagnated. Despite positive developments like clearer regulations and institutional adoption, equities significantly outperformed crypto. Key trends and lessons for 2026 include: - Prediction markets** grew rapidly, with platforms like Polymarket reaching $3.8B in weekly volume, serving as versatile trading tools. - Cash-secured puts and covered calls** emerged as conservative strategies for generating yield. - Narrative fatigue accelerated, shifting focus to fundamentals and real metrics, amid growing tension between equity and token holders in M&A deals. - Market-governed organizations like MetaDAO introduced “ownership tokens,” aligning incentives and giving token holders real control and value. - Tokenization of securities gained regulatory approval, paving the way for TradFi and DeFi convergence. - Consumer crypto products and perpetuals (reaching $1.3T monthly volume) demonstrated strong product-market fit. - Storytelling became a critical skill, with increased demand for authentic narrators and community builders. The market is maturing, emphasizing fundamentals, value accumulation, and competitive edges like clear thinking, storytelling, product-building, or disciplined trading.

深潮12/20 04:01

7 Crypto Trends and Lessons You Must Know in 2026

深潮12/20 04:01

All about Bitwise’s SUI ETF – Can prices hold the $1.38 floor?

Bitwise's filing for a spot SUI ETF has reframed the token as a potential regulated investment vehicle, arriving as SUI trades near a critical support level between $1.32–$1.38. Price compression within a descending wedge, combined with higher short liquidations and rising Open Interest, signals weakening downside momentum. With Binance top traders maintaining a strong long bias and leverage building near support, the conditions suggest an approaching inflection point. A breakout above the wedge could trigger a sharp upside move toward higher resistance levels, supported by institutional narrative and shifting derivatives dynamics.

ambcrypto12/20 03:01

All about Bitwise’s SUI ETF – Can prices hold the $1.38 floor?

ambcrypto12/20 03:01

Quantum Computing Will Trigger A Bitcoin Supply Shock: Michael Saylor

Quantum computing will not break Bitcoin but instead harden it, according to Michael Saylor. In response to a future quantum threat, a coordinated global upgrade to quantum-resistant encryption will be enforced. Active Bitcoin holders will migrate their coins to secure new wallets, while lost or inaccessible coins will remain permanently frozen. This process will enhance network security, reduce the effective supply of Bitcoin, and trigger a deflationary event. Saylor argues that the upgrade is inevitable and that the market will ultimately reach consensus, despite Bitcoin’s decentralized nature. The result will be a clearer accounting of lost BTC and a stronger, more secure network.

bitcoinist12/20 03:01

Quantum Computing Will Trigger A Bitcoin Supply Shock: Michael Saylor

bitcoinist12/20 03:01

Bitcoin rallies thwarted by fading Fed rate cut odds, softening US macro

Bitcoin has struggled to sustain a rally above $92,000, facing headwinds from shifting macroeconomic conditions. Strong demand for U.S. Treasurys and declining expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts have reduced investor appetite for risk assets like Bitcoin. Meanwhile, weaker U.S. economic data—including softer job market figures and lowered earnings outlooks from major retailers—have further dampened sentiment. Although Bitcoin’s correlation with traditional markets has decreased, it remains sensitive to broader financial uncertainty. Gold has emerged as a preferred safe haven amid ongoing economic concerns, limiting Bitcoin’s near-term appeal as a hedge. Global risks, including Japan’s economic contraction and rising government bond yields, add to the cautious outlook.

cointelegraph12/20 02:44

Bitcoin rallies thwarted by fading Fed rate cut odds, softening US macro

cointelegraph12/20 02:44

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