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Notícias de cripto - Página 961

Mantenha-se a par do mercado de cripto. Notícias em tempo real, análises, preços, histórias em alta e análise de especialistas — tudo num só lugar.

If Hong Kong's First Batch of Stablecoin Licenses Are Really Only Issued to Banks, We Might Miss the Next Decade

Recent reports indicate that the Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) is poised to issue its first batch of stablecoin licenses, with speculation suggesting that initial approvals may be limited to traditional note-issuing banks or large financial institutions. This approach, driven by extreme risk aversion and financial stability concerns, has raised alarms within the industry. The author argues that disruptive financial innovations—such as PayPal, Alipay, and cryptocurrencies—historically emerge from agile tech startups and entrepreneurs, not risk-averse traditional banks. Stablecoins, as borderless, programmable, and decentralized monetary instruments, represent a fundamental shift that challenges existing banking models. Entrusting this innovation to institutions with inherent incentives to protect legacy systems may hinder progress. Globally, tech-driven companies like Stripe (which acquired stablecoin platform Bridge) and Circle (issuer of USDC) are leading stablecoin adoption and integration with AI and Web3 ecosystems. The U.S. is leveraging such innovations to advance its fintech competitiveness, while Hong Kong’s conservative licensing strategy could leave local Web3 firms at a disadvantage. Critically, the rise of AI agents will require seamless, high-frequency, micro-transactions across borders—a use case incompatible with traditional banking systems due to high fees, slow settlement, and rigid KYC/AML frameworks. Stablecoins, integrated with smart contracts, are essential for enabling machine-driven economies. The author urges Hong Kong regulators to balance caution with innovation by including technically adept, non-bank entities in the licensing framework. Failure to do so may cause Hong Kong to miss a pivotal decade in the digital economy, undermining its ambition to become a global digital asset hub.

marsbit03/19 14:13

If Hong Kong's First Batch of Stablecoin Licenses Are Really Only Issued to Banks, We Might Miss the Next Decade

marsbit03/19 14:13

4 Classic Bottom-Fishing Indicators All Failed, 3 New Indicators Point to the Bottom-Fishing Opportunity?

The article analyzes the shifting effectiveness of traditional Bitcoin bottom-buying indicators and proposes new metrics to identify potential market bottoms. Four classic indicators are discussed: - **MVRV Z-Score** (currently ~1.31) is distorted by institutional holdings, making historical "extreme negative" values unlikely. - **Ahr999 Index** has remained below 0.45 for nearly 50 days, but its long-term predictive power has diminished due to macro factors. - **SOPR Metrics** show STH-SOPR consistently below 1 (bearish), while LTH-SOPR remains between 0.75–1, indicating no full capitulation. - **Mayer Multiple** (price/200-day MA) has also stayed below 0.8 for 50 days but lacks consistent predictive strength. Three alternative indicators are suggested: 1. **CVDD (Cumulative Value Days Destroyed)**: Models a historical "iron bottom" near $45,000. 2. **NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss)**: Currently at 0.2; negative values often signal market bottoms. 3. **Stablecoin Exchange Netflow**: Sustained inflows of USDT/USDC to exchanges typically precede rebounds by 2–4 weeks, but current outflows suggest no immediate bottom. The conclusion emphasizes that indicators are reference tools, not guarantees, and cautions that widespread public euphoria (e.g., mainstream adoption talks) may signal a sell opportunity rather than a buy.

Odaily星球日报03/19 13:22

4 Classic Bottom-Fishing Indicators All Failed, 3 New Indicators Point to the Bottom-Fishing Opportunity?

Odaily星球日报03/19 13:22

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