2026-06-18 Quinta

Notícias de cripto - Página 474

Mantenha-se a par do mercado de cripto. Notícias em tempo real, análises, preços, histórias em alta e análise de especialistas — tudo num só lugar.

SpaceX Holds Nasdaq at the Negotiating Table, Hyperliquid Has Already Flipped the Table

Summary: The article examines the shifting power dynamics in global capital markets, driven by the rise of private funding and decentralized finance (DeFi). It begins by contrasting the 1971 launch of Nasdaq's electronic system with the current landscape, where companies like SpaceX can demand unprecedented concessions—such as accelerated inclusion in major indices—as a condition for their public listing. This reflects a fundamental change: massive private capital from funds like SoftBank's Vision Fund now allows firms like Revolut ($75B valuation) and Stripe ($159B valuation) to delay or de-prioritize IPOs, as they no longer rely on public markets for primary funding. However, public listing remains crucial for employee liquidity and VC exits. A new, critical motivator is the immense, stable capital from passive index funds. With passive assets now exceeding active management in the U.S., inclusion in indices like the Nasdaq 100 guarantees perpetual, non-discretionary buying pressure. SpaceX's negotiation for fast-track index inclusion highlights this strategic leverage. Simultaneously, traditional exchanges face disruption from DeFi. The piece cites Hyperliquid, a decentralized exchange with 2025 volumes (~$3T) double that of Coinbase. Its growth in tokenized traditional assets (e.g., S&P 500 perpetual contracts) and 24/7 trading attracts professional traders, eroding the monopolies of institutions like NYSE and Nasdaq. In response, NYSE's parent ICE is investing in crypto platforms (e.g., OKX, Polymarket), acknowledging that future competition may come from DeFi protocols, not just rival exchanges. The conclusion is that the market structure is layering: old systems adapt (Nasdaq changing rules, ICE investing in crypto) while new, decentralized infrastructures grow, creating a future where the most powerful companies may not need to "knock on the door" of traditional exchanges at all.

marsbit03/19 04:40

SpaceX Holds Nasdaq at the Negotiating Table, Hyperliquid Has Already Flipped the Table

marsbit03/19 04:40

Crypto's First Reverse Equity Stake in Hong Kong Stock: The New Capital Model Experiment Behind Pharos' $1 Billion Valuation

Crypto Project Pharos Pioneers Reverse Equity Deal with Hong Kong-Listed Company GCLNE at $1 Billion Valuation In a landmark move, the crypto project Pharos has entered a novel capital partnership with Hong Kong-listed GCL New Energy (0451.HK), valuing Pharos at nearly $1 billion. The deal represents a significant innovation in crypto financing, structured as a conditional, performance-based agreement rather than a simple investment. The core of the deal is a two-way, conditional capital injection. GCLNE will invest in Pharos tokens, but the investment is contingent on the performance of the Pharos token post-listing. Simultaneously, Pharos will acquire a stake in GCLNE at a discount. The capital exchanges occur in tranches, with each tranche for both the equity and token portions unlocking only when specific performance milestones for the Pharos token are met. This creates a tightly coupled model where both sides win or lose together based on the token's market success. This structure provides GCLNE, a major Asian solar energy operator, with a risk-controlled entry into the crypto and RWA (Real World Assets) space, offering potential new avenues for capitalizing its physical assets. For Pharos, an institutional-focused Layer 1 blockchain, it delivers a major trust endorsement, a public confidence signal, and a pioneering status as the first crypto project to strategically hold equity in a traditional listed company. The partnership is seen as a natural alignment. GCLNE seeks efficient financial tools to tokenize and monetize its extensive green energy assets, while Pharos aims to be an infrastructure for real-world financial assets. The deal, supported by a Hong Kong Stock Exchange filing, sets a potential precedent for future hybrid capital models between traditional equity and crypto, shifting the industry focus from pure narrative to verifiable performance and兑现力 (fulfillment capability).

marsbit03/19 02:47

Crypto's First Reverse Equity Stake in Hong Kong Stock: The New Capital Model Experiment Behind Pharos' $1 Billion Valuation

marsbit03/19 02:47

After 6 Quarters of Calling for Rate Cuts, Rate Expectations Are Instead Moving Upwards

In September 2024, the Federal Reserve began its rate-cutting cycle, projecting a median federal funds rate of 3.4% by the end of 2025—implying four additional cuts. However, six quarters later, the March SEP (Summary of Economic Projections) reveals a significant shift: the rate now stands at 3.50%-3.75%, 25 basis points higher than initially expected. The median projection for 2026 has also risen from 2.9% to 3.4%. The Fed’s internal consensus has fractured. Out of 19 FOMC participants, seven now expect no rate cuts in 2026, while seven anticipate only one cut. This 7:7 split reflects a fundamental disagreement over the direction of monetary policy, moving from debates over the magnitude of cuts to whether cuts should occur at all. Persistent inflation is the core issue. The Fed has consistently revised its PCE inflation forecasts upward over the past six quarters, with the 2026 projection now at 2.7%—up 0.6 percentage points from initial estimates. Core PCE, a key indicator of underlying inflation, was revised up sharply to 2.7%, signaling entrenched price pressures. Despite slightly raising its GDP growth forecast to 2.4% and holding unemployment steady at 4.4%, the Fed’s unchanged median rate projection conflicts with its own rising inflation outlook. Market expectations remain more dovish, pricing in around 50 basis points of cuts, but the Fed’s internal division and consistent underestimation of inflation suggest continued uncertainty. The central bank is effectively chasing reality, with no clear consensus on the path ahead.

marsbit03/19 02:30

After 6 Quarters of Calling for Rate Cuts, Rate Expectations Are Instead Moving Upwards

marsbit03/19 02:30

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