2026-06-14 Domingo

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Recruiting Veterans from Polymarket, Coinbase Dives into the Deep End of Prediction Markets

On December 22, Coinbase announced its agreement to acquire The Clearing Company, a move expected to close in January. The deal, involving both cash and stock, marks a strategic shift from distribution partnerships to deeper integration of technology and talent in the prediction market space. The Clearing Company’s team includes former executives and engineers from leading prediction platforms Polymarket and Kalshi, bringing significant expertise. Despite being an early-stage startup, it raised a $15 million seed round—nearly four times Polymarket’s seed funding—reflecting high market expectations. This acquisition follows Coinbase’s recent partnership with CFTC-regulated Kalshi, allowing user access to prediction markets via Coinbase. The company is expanding into stock trading, prediction markets, and other asset classes, positioning itself as a comprehensive trading platform. It has also co-founded the Coalition for Prediction Markets to advocate for regulated, transparent market access. The move is part of Coinbase’s broader M&A strategy in 2025, which includes several other acquisitions. By internalizing key prediction market capabilities, Coinbase aims to compete in the next phase of regulated, institutional-grade prediction markets.

marsbit12/23 07:06

Recruiting Veterans from Polymarket, Coinbase Dives into the Deep End of Prediction Markets

marsbit12/23 07:06

Bitcoin – What should traders expect after sell pressure hits 3-year-high?

Bitcoin is currently experiencing its strongest selling pressure in three years, as market sell orders significantly outnumber buys. While this intense selling is unlikely to last long and may signal a market bottom followed by consolidation, the overall market structure remains risky for buyers. Despite a rising holder retention rate indicating growing long-term confidence, analysts warn that any price bounce should be viewed as a selling opportunity rather than the start of a recovery, as rallies are hard to sustain under current conditions.

ambcrypto12/23 07:04

Bitcoin – What should traders expect after sell pressure hits 3-year-high?

ambcrypto12/23 07:04

Hong Kong Proposes New Rules To Allow Crypto Investments For Insurers – Report

Hong Kong's Insurance Authority has proposed new rules to allow insurers to invest in cryptocurrencies and stablecoins, as part of the city's broader strategy to become a global digital asset hub. The proposal, subject to public consultation from February to April 2026, would impose a 100% risk charge on crypto assets, requiring insurers to hold reserves equal to their crypto investments. Stablecoins would be treated differently, with risk charges based on the fiat currency they are pegged to. The move aims to support the insurance industry and economic development. Separately, the Hong Kong Monetary Authority is expected to issue its first stablecoin licenses in early 2026, though mainland China's strict stance against stablecoins may complicate applications involving Chinese institutions or the yuan.

bitcoinist12/23 07:01

Hong Kong Proposes New Rules To Allow Crypto Investments For Insurers – Report

bitcoinist12/23 07:01

The Golden Age of AI, or a Three Trillion Dollar Collective Adventure?

Based on analysis of 2026 outlook reports from top institutions including a16z, Goldman Sachs, J.P. Morgan, Morgan Stanley, and BlackRock, two key insights emerge regarding the AI boom. First, the AI infrastructure capital expenditure is projected to reach $3 trillion, with less than 20% currently deployed. Major cloud providers like Amazon, Google, Meta, Microsoft, and Oracle are heavily investing in data centers, GPUs, and power infrastructure. However, J.P. Morgan notes that the immediate economic benefits are limited, primarily boosting profits for some large corporations. True transformative productivity gains are still years away, indicating that 2026 will remain a phase of significant investment rather than harvest. Second, a divergence exists regarding the distribution of AI benefits. BlackRock introduces the concept of "Micro is Macro," highlighting how a few companies' AI investments already impact the macroeconomy. Data shows the equal-weight S&P 500 rose only 3% year-to-date, while the market-cap-weighted version (driven by tech giants) gained 11%, suggesting an AI concentration红利. Morgan Stanley is bullish, setting a 7800 target for the S&P 500—a 14% increase—based on strengthened profitability of tech giants. In contrast, J.P. Morgan and Goldman Sachs anticipate AI红利 spreading globally. They predict that a weaker dollar will drive AI benefits to emerging markets and global supply chains, with expected annualized returns of 10.9% for emerging markets, outperforming U.S. large caps at 6.7%. Europe and Japan are also seen as potential beneficiaries. In summary, the debate centers on whether AI红利 will remain concentrated among U.S. tech giants or diffuse globally, representing a $3 trillion collective venture still in its early, high-spending phase.

比推12/23 06:58

The Golden Age of AI, or a Three Trillion Dollar Collective Adventure?

比推12/23 06:58

Red Rain is Coming! Huobi HTX's 'Double Dan Carnival · Trading Festival' Officially Kicks Off, with a 200,000 USDT Prize Pool Linked to the TRON Ecosystem, Creating a Year-End Trading Feast

Huobi HTX has launched its "Year-End Carnival: Trading Festival" event from December 22, 2025, to January 18, 2026, featuring a total prize pool of 200,000 USDT. The campaign is co-sponsored by key TRON ecosystem projects including TRON DAO, SunPump, JUST, AINFT, BitTorrent, WINkLink, Steemit, and SunGenX. A highlight of the event is a 28-day red envelope (hongbao) rain, with 5,000 USDT distributed daily at 11:00 AM UTC+8. On Christmas (Dec 25) and New Year’s Day (Jan 1), an additional 10,000 USDT no-threshold red envelope will be released each day. Users who complete any transaction or interactive activity (such as posting, commenting) in the Huobi HTX App between December 1, 2025, and January 15, 2026, will be eligible to claim the red envelopes. The event integrates trading incentives, airdrops, and community engagement activities to boost participation. It includes phases focused on TRON ecosystem education, trading tasks—covering spot, futures, and copy trading—and concludes with intensified rewards. Huobi HTX aims to enhance year-end trading activity and user experience through this festival.

marsbit12/23 06:54

Red Rain is Coming! Huobi HTX's 'Double Dan Carnival · Trading Festival' Officially Kicks Off, with a 200,000 USDT Prize Pool Linked to the TRON Ecosystem, Creating a Year-End Trading Feast

marsbit12/23 06:54

Gold Prices Are Soaring Again and Again. Can Ordinary People Still Get on Board?

The price of gold has surged dramatically, rising from around $2,600 per ounce at the start of 2025 to over $4,400, while domestic prices in China broke through the ¥900–1,000 per gram mark. Against a backdrop of economic uncertainty, low returns on savings and wealth management products, and volatile equity markets, gold is re-emerging as a preferred asset for both individual and institutional investors. Gold serves as a reliable store of value and a hedge against instability, with its price often moving independently of stocks and bonds. Its historical role as a universal monetary asset makes it particularly attractive during periods of geopolitical tension and inflation. Over the past 20 years, gold denominated in RMB has delivered an average annual return of over 10%, outperforming many traditional investments. The concept of “gold+” is gaining traction—referring to multi-asset investment products that include a strategic allocation to gold (often 5–10%) alongside equities, bonds, and other assets. These products are designed to reduce volatility, improve risk-adjusted returns, and simplify decision-making for retail investors who may lack the expertise or discipline to manage gold exposure independently. Examples show that a portfolio with a 10% allocation to gold would have significantly outperformed a pure equity portfolio over the past decade. By integrating gold into a diversified strategy, “gold+” products offer a structured, long-term approach to wealth preservation and growth, making gold’s stability and defensive qualities accessible to everyday investors.

深潮12/23 06:52

Gold Prices Are Soaring Again and Again. Can Ordinary People Still Get on Board?

深潮12/23 06:52

Institutional Crypto Trading On JPMorgan’s Radar, Report Suggests

Amid a shifting US regulatory landscape under President Trump's return, JPMorgan is reportedly exploring cryptocurrency trading services for institutional clients. Despite CEO Jamie Dimon's past skepticism toward Bitcoin, the bank's markets division is evaluating potential spot and derivatives offerings in response to growing client demand. The move aligns with recent regulatory developments, including the OCC's guidance allowing national banks to facilitate crypto transactions and the passage of the first stablecoin bill. JPMorgan has already engaged in blockchain innovation, recently facilitating a bond issuance on Solana. Bitcoin traded near $89,500, still below its yearly high of approximately $126,000.

bitcoinist12/23 06:08

Institutional Crypto Trading On JPMorgan’s Radar, Report Suggests

bitcoinist12/23 06:08

Assessing why AI tokens are set to lead the 2026 crypto charge

The crypto market faces saturation, capping individual coin values and favoring speculative assets like memecoins. However, AI tokens are gaining significant traction, positioned to lead the market by 2026. This shift is driven by the accelerating AI narrative in the U.S., where nearly $3 billion was invested in AI adoption in 2025 alone. AI tokens, such as Bittensor (TAO), have outperformed memecoins like Dogecoin, adding nearly $420 million in market cap. Capital flows, relative performance, and narrative alignment suggest a rotation toward AI-driven assets, positioning them at the intersection of crypto adoption and AI investment. The groundwork is being laid for a potential AI-led market cycle in 2026.

ambcrypto12/23 06:04

Assessing why AI tokens are set to lead the 2026 crypto charge

ambcrypto12/23 06:04

The Economic Calculus Behind Polymarket's Exit from Polygon

Polymarket, a leading prediction market platform, has announced plans to migrate from the Polygon network to its own Ethereum Layer 2 solution, named POLY. This move, confirmed by a team member on Discord, is driven by both product and economic motivations. Product-wise, the migration aims to provide a more stable and customizable infrastructure tailored to Polymarket’s specific needs, addressing limitations posed by Polygon’s occasional network instability. Economically, Polymarket seeks to capture and retain the full value of its ecosystem, preventing economic spillover to external networks. Data highlights Polymarket’s significant contribution to Polygon’s ecosystem: it accounts for approximately one-quarter of Polygon’s total value locked (~$326M vs. $1.19B) and around 23% of its gas consumption. The platform also drives substantial USDC liquidity and user activity on Polygon. The timing of the migration appears strategic, coinciding with Polymarket’s anticipated token generation event (TGE). Moving before token issuance reduces complexity and allows the project to reposition itself as a full-stack “app + chain” system, potentially unlocking higher valuation and narrative appeal. This shift reflects a broader trend where top-tier applications, having achieved scale and economic independence, may choose to decouple from underlying networks that no longer provide sufficient added value.

marsbit12/23 06:03

The Economic Calculus Behind Polymarket's Exit from Polygon

marsbit12/23 06:03

PANews Crypto Year-End Review: A Visual Guide to Asset Returns from 2015–2025!

PANews Crypto Year-End Review: A Look at Asset Returns from 2015–2025 Bitcoin reached new all-time highs multiple times in 2025, but a longer-term comparison reveals an awkward truth: this year, BTC underperformed compared to gold, U.S. stocks, and even many traditional assets. While prices hit record levels, the perceived experience has worsened—one of the most relatable sentiments in crypto this year. As Bitcoin is no longer the default "best-performing asset of the year," crypto is shifting from a high-growth investment to a risk asset that is constantly compared and strictly priced. This may be the real challenge the crypto industry faces in 2025: Are we enduring a temporary phase, or are we saying goodbye to the era where "simply participating guaranteed returns"?

marsbit12/23 06:00

PANews Crypto Year-End Review: A Visual Guide to Asset Returns from 2015–2025!

marsbit12/23 06:00

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