2026-06-20 Sábado

Notícias de cripto - Página 1065

Mantenha-se a par do mercado de cripto. Notícias em tempo real, análises, preços, histórias em alta e análise de especialistas — tudo num só lugar.

When Polymarket Enters the Dow Jones, Prediction Markets Are Becoming Part of Serious News

Polymarket, a prediction market platform, has entered into an exclusive partnership with Dow Jones Media Group. Under the agreement, Polymarket’s real-time prediction probabilities will become the sole source of prediction market data across all Dow Jones consumer platforms, including dedicated data modules, event pages, and customized earnings calendars. This integration will reach audiences of major financial publications such as The Wall Street Journal, Barron’s, and MarketWatch. The collaboration signals a significant shift in how news is presented, moving beyond traditional expert analysis and polls to incorporate crowd-sourced, money-backed probabilistic forecasts on elections, economic trends, and cultural events. This endorsement from a highly credible financial news organization suggests prediction markets are increasingly viewed as serious informational tools rather than mere gambling platforms. 2025 has been a breakthrough year for prediction markets, with Polymarket and competitor Kalshi recording nearly $40 billion in trading volume and achieving multibillion-dollar valuations. Polymarket’s notably accurate predictions during the 2024 U.S. elections—where it consistently projected a Trump victory with high certainty—demonstrated the effectiveness of incentive-driven crowd wisdom. However, regulatory challenges remain. While Kalshi holds a CFTC license, it faces legal scrutiny in states like Nevada, where prediction markets are still considered unlicensed gambling. Polymarket has also encountered criticism around potential insider trading, highlighting the lack of clear regulatory frameworks. Despite these issues, the Dow Jones partnership marks a major step toward the mainstream acceptance of prediction markets as a credible supplement to traditional news.

Odaily星球日报01/13 07:27

When Polymarket Enters the Dow Jones, Prediction Markets Are Becoming Part of Serious News

Odaily星球日报01/13 07:27

"Shelling" Google Gemini, But Apple Hasn't Given Up on Its Own Model

Apple has reportedly entered into a significant partnership with Google to integrate its Gemini AI model into Apple's ecosystem, as a "foundation" component for its future AI features, including a more personalized Siri expected later this year. The deal, estimated at around $1 billion annually, is not a direct replacement of Apple's own models but rather a strategic collaboration where Gemini will assist in training and enhancing Apple's proprietary on-device AI, with all processing occurring on Apple's private cloud servers to ensure user data privacy and isolation from Google. This move is seen as a tactical, transitional step for Apple to accelerate its AI capabilities and meet product launch timelines, especially after facing delays and setbacks with its in-house Apple Intelligence development and losing key AI talent to competitors like Meta. Despite this partnership, Apple continues its independent research and is reportedly developing its own trillion-parameter model, targeted for around 2027. The collaboration has drawn criticism, notably from Elon Musk, who raised concerns about the concentration of power with Google, which also controls Android and Chrome. For Google, the deal is a major win, boosting its market valuation, while OpenAI's existing partnership with Apple, which positions ChatGPT as a supplementary option for Siri, appears less central by comparison. The arrangement highlights Apple's pragmatic approach to bridging its AI gap while maintaining its long-term ambition for a fully independent AI system.

marsbit01/13 07:21

"Shelling" Google Gemini, But Apple Hasn't Given Up on Its Own Model

marsbit01/13 07:21

Is Crypto Trading Taxation Becoming a Reality? An In-Depth Analysis of the 2026 Global Crypto Tax Regulations

"Tax on Crypto Trading Becomes Reality? In-Depth Analysis of 2026 Global Crypto Tax Regulations" Hong Kong recently announced a consultation to implement the OECD's Crypto-Asset Reporting Framework (CARF) and revised Common Reporting Standard (CRS). The goal is to automatically exchange tax-related information on crypto asset transactions with partner jurisdictions starting in 2028, with revised CRS rules taking effect in 2029. Furthermore, from January 1, 2026, the UK and over 40 other countries will begin enforcing new tax rules, requiring local crypto service providers to collect user wallet and transaction data for future international tax information exchange. For example, UK-based exchanges must collect detailed records of all customer transactions. HM Revenue & Customs (HMRC) will use this data to cross-check tax returns for compliance, with sanctions for violations. This data may also be used for identity verification, anti-money laundering, and criminal investigations, significantly impacting the anonymity and compliance landscape of the crypto industry. CARF is an international standard developed by the OECD under G20 mandate to enhance tax transparency for crypto assets. It aims to collect standardized information on often opaque, cross-border crypto transactions and automatically exchange it annually with the tax authorities in the user's jurisdiction of tax residence. The framework covers a broad range of crypto assets, including stablecoins, crypto-derived financial instruments, and some NFTs. Reporting obligations fall on intermediaries like exchanges that facilitate conversions between crypto and fiat or between different crypto assets. CARF complements the existing CRS, which primarily targets traditional financial accounts. While CRS is mature for traditional finance, it struggled to cover crypto transactions occurring outside the banking system. CARF addresses this gap by targeting the native crypto market. The OECD has also revised CRS to include new products like CBDCs and close loopholes involving indirect crypto exposure through derivatives. As of early December 2025, 76 jurisdictions have committed to adopting CARF. The UK and EU are pioneers, starting data collection in 2026 and the first exchange in 2027. Singapore, the UAE, and Hong Kong follow with collection in 2027 and full implementation in 2028. Mainland China is not on the initial list of exchanging jurisdictions. Its strong regulatory stance against virtual asset businesses means there is currently no licensed domestic exchange system to be incorporated into CARF. Hong Kong's adoption does not automatically mean data will be shared with mainland authorities; such exchange depends on China's decision to participate and establish bilateral agreements. However, not being part of CARF does not mean immunity. Tax information could still be shared through existing tax treaties, case-by-case requests, or joint investigations. For individuals and institutions, the key takeaway is that as major jurisdictions systematically collect crypto transaction data, compliance and traceability will become the norm, especially for activities relying on centralized exchanges and fiat gateways.

marsbit01/13 06:47

Is Crypto Trading Taxation Becoming a Reality? An In-Depth Analysis of the 2026 Global Crypto Tax Regulations

marsbit01/13 06:47

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