Wall Street Analyst Predicts SpaceX Stock Price Drop to $75

cryptonews.ruPublished on 2026-08-18Last updated on 2026-08-18

Abstract

A Wall Street analyst from Phillip Securities, Glenn Tumm, has issued a "Sell" recommendation for SpaceX stock (SPCX), maintaining a 12-month price target of $75. This implies a potential 46.6% drop from the current price of $140.50. The bearish outlook is based on the company's significant capital expenditures, reliance on temporary cloud service contracts, and customer concentration in its AI services, suggesting a need for longer-term commitments to support its valuation. This stance contrasts sharply with the broader Wall Street consensus. An average of 31 analysts polled by TipRanks sets a 12-month price target of $232.35, implying 64% upside, with the highest forecast at $800 and the lowest at $75. The report follows SpaceX's impressive Q2 2026 results, where total revenue surged 92% year-over-year to $7.8 billion. Starlink subscriber count doubled to 12 million, driving communications revenue up 66% to $4.3 billion. AI-related revenue skyrocketed 247% to $2.6 billion, fueled by new cloud services and infrastructure deals. Despite the strong earnings, SPCX shares fell over 4% in the last 24 hours, reducing the company's market cap to $1.9 trillion. The stock had initially jumped over 17% post-earnings but faced resistance near $149. The analyst concludes that SpaceX's future trajectory hinges on securing more long-term contracts with its AI and Starlink customers. Success could validate Wall Street's bullish forecasts, while failure may render the recent stock rebou...

After reviewing the impressive profit report of Space Exploration Technologies Corp. for the second quarter, Phillip Securities analyst Glenn Tum warned investors of a potential drop in the stock's value to a new historical low within the next 12 months.

He confirmed the 'Sell' recommendation for SpaceX shares and maintained a 12-month target price of $75, implying a potential decline of 46.6% (the current price of SPCX is $140.50).

The pessimistic forecast is justified by the company's significant capital expenditures, customer concentration on artificial intelligence (AI) services, and temporary cloud service contracts. Maintaining the rating may require more long-term commitments from SpaceX.

SpaceX's total revenue for the second quarter of 2026 increased by 92% compared to the same period last year, reaching $7.8 billion. Revenue from communication services grew by 66% to $4.3 billion, driven by the doubling of Starlink subscribers to 12 million and high demand from enterprises and government agencies, which increased this category's operating profit by 79%. The company's total AI revenue surged by 247% to $2.6 billion, mainly due to new cloud services and infrastructure agreements.

Phillip Securities' stance differs from that of most Wall Street analysts, who are forecasting bullish growth. Specifically, 31 analysts surveyed by TipRanks set an average 12-month target price of $232.35, suggesting a potential increase of 64%.

The highest price forecast for SPCX is $800, and the lowest is $75.

Meanwhile, following the publication of the debut financial results, SPCX shares bounced more than 17% and encountered their first major resistance level around $149. As a result, SpaceX's stock price fell more than 4% over the last 24 hours, reducing the company's market capitalization to $1.9 trillion.

Therefore, if SpaceX announces the signing of additional long-term contracts with its AI and Starlink subscribers, the optimistic forecast of all Wall Street analysts could materialize. However, if the company fails to secure additional long-term contracts with its AI and Starlink subscribers, the recent rally may turn out to be a temporary rebound.

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Related Questions

QWhat price drop does Phillip Securities analyst Glenn Tum forecast for SpaceX (SPCX) stock over the next 12 months, and what is the corresponding price target?

AHe forecasts a potential drop to a new historical low with a 12-month price target of $75.

QWhat are the three main reasons cited by the analyst for the pessimistic 'Sell' rating on SpaceX stock?

AThe reasons are the company's significant capital expenditures, customer concentration in AI services, and temporary cloud service contracts.

QWhat was the percentage growth in SpaceX's total revenue for Q2 2026 compared to the same period last year, and what was the revenue figure?

ATotal revenue grew by 92% year-over-year to $7.8 billion.

QHow does the average 12-month price target from Wall Street analysts, as surveyed by TipRanks, compare to the current price of SPCX ($140.50)?

AThe average target is $232.35, implying a potential upside of approximately 64% from the current price.

QWhat two conditions does the article suggest could determine whether the recent stock price increase is sustainable or just a temporary bounce?

AIt depends on whether SpaceX can secure additional long-term contracts with its AI and Starlink subscribers. If it does, the optimistic forecasts may materialize; if not, the recent gain may be temporary.

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