TRON’s growing network vs. TRX’s flat demand: The disconnect explained

ambcryptoPublished on 2025-12-18Last updated on 2025-12-18

Abstract

TRON's network activity and stablecoin settlement volumes have shown significant growth, with active addresses and USDT transfers trending higher over recent months. Despite this strong adoption and a positive Total Value Locked (TVL) delta, the price of TRX has been in a sustained retracement phase since late August. Key moving averages have turned bearish, and the price has slipped below the 365-day average. The divergence suggests that rising network usage has not translated into increased demand for TRX, which continues to face selling pressure and may decline toward the $0.245 support level.

TRON’s prices have been in a retracement phase since late August, and that continued to be the case at the time of writing. Yet, the network activity and stablecoin settlements were trending higher.

CryptoQuant’s data showed that the weekly average of active addresses on the network has been rising since September 2023. In particular, the uptick from April 2025 showed an unbroken, multi-month uptrend.

The monthly USDT transfers were also trending higher over the years. It saw a minor setback for October, falling from $774.94 billion to $699.4 billion.

Together, these metrics showed that the network remained a preferred option for stablecoin settlement, driving network adoption higher.

The Total Value Locked (TVL) delta also saw a positive change over the past two weeks. It was another positive sign of adoption. The TVL positive delta change tends to accompany a price rally, as it did in July 2025.

There have also been brief TVL increases with a consolidation phase for TRX token prices, so there is no guarantee of an uptrend from the metric.

Increased network adoption and TRX prices in retracement

The price temperature chart showed that TRON slipped below the 365-day moving average.

Other significant moving averages, such as 50DMA and 100DMA, were also trending lower due to the downward momentum since September.

The 1-day price chart showed a bearish trend in place in recent months. It also saw a series of lower lows set, characteristic of a downtrend. The rally from March was used to plot a set of Fibonacci retracement levels.

They showed that TRON faced a deep retracement. It helped explain the rising network adoption and the weak price action. TRX faced persistent selling pressure, as the OBV shows, but this is not driven by network fundamentals.


Final Thoughts

  • The TRON network remained a leading choice for stablecoin settlement, and its active address count continued to grow.
  • These impressive metrics were not enough to shore up sufficient demand for TRX, which is likely to sink to the $0.245 support.

Related Questions

QWhat is the main contradiction highlighted in the article between the TRON network and its native token TRX?

AThe article highlights a disconnect where the TRON network is experiencing growth in activity and stablecoin settlements, while the price of its native token, TRX, is in a retracement phase with weak demand.

QAccording to the data, what two key network metrics have been trending higher, indicating growing adoption?

AThe two key metrics are the weekly average of active addresses, which has been rising since September 2023, and the monthly USDT transfer volume, which has been trending higher over the years.

QWhat recent change in the Total Value Locked (TVL) delta is mentioned, and what is its typical significance?

AThe TVL delta saw a positive change over the past two weeks, which is a positive sign of adoption and tends to accompany a price rally, as it did in July 2025.

QWhat does the On-Balance Volume (OBV) indicator suggest about the selling pressure on TRX?

AThe OBV shows that TRX faced persistent selling pressure, but the article notes that this pressure is not driven by negative network fundamentals.

QWhat is the projected price target for TRX based on the article's final thoughts?

ABased on the article's final thoughts, TRX is likely to sink to the $0.245 support level.

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