# Supply Overhang Related Articles

Bitcoin rainbow chart’s undervaluation signal vs supply overhang – Which one wins?

Bitcoin has reclaimed the $70k level, yet remains significantly below the miner cost range of $89k-$91k. On-chain metrics, such as the Inter-exchange Flow Pulse, show a bullish crossover, suggesting potential accumulation. However, the Bitcoin Rainbow Chart indicates that BTC is in an extremely undervalued, or "Bitcoin is dead," zone. Analysis of holder behavior reveals short-term holders are realizing losses, with 140k BTC leaving this cohort, indicating possible capitulation. The substantial 21.3% gap between the market price and the realized price of $89k creates a supply overhang. This suggests short-term holders may sell into any price rallies to break even. The LTH/STH SOPR ratio of 0.89, far from the lows seen at previous bear market bottoms, indicates that calling a structural low may be premature. In summary, while the Rainbow Chart signals undervaluation, on-chain data points to significant selling pressure up to $89k.

ambcrypto03/10 07:05