# Super Cycle İlgili Makaleler

HTX Haber Merkezi, kripto endüstrisindeki piyasa trendleri, proje güncellemeleri, teknoloji gelişmeleri ve düzenleyici politikaları kapsayan "Super Cycle" hakkında en son makaleleri ve derinlemesine analizleri sunmaktadır.

Storage Giants Launch Massive Buybacks, Signaling a Turning Point in the 'Super Cycle'?

In August, South Korean memory giant SK Hynix announced a record 40 trillion won stock buyback, triggering a sharp rise in related stocks. This move, along with similar large-scale buybacks or shareholder return plans from Kioxia, SanDisk, and an expected major plan from Samsung Electronics, aims to bolster market confidence amid a significant sector correction starting July. Despite strong AI-driven demand fueling a "super cycle" and long-term supply agreements locking in most capacity with strict penalty clauses, concerns over an AI bubble and cycle peak have emerged. Looking ahead, analysts warn that accelerated capacity expansions—including from Chinese leaders CXMT and YMTC—scheduled for 2027-2028, coupled with potential delays in next-gen HBM production, could intensify competition. While buybacks and long-term agreements offer short-term support, the memory sector's ability to truly break its cyclical pattern may face a decisive test in the coming years.

marsbit08/20 06:01

Storage Giants Launch Massive Buybacks, Signaling a Turning Point in the 'Super Cycle'?

marsbit08/20 06:01

JP Morgan Research Report Analysis: SK Hynix Fell 15% Last Week, Concerns Over HBM Pricing Overblown and Shareholder Returns to Land Ahead of Schedule

JPMorgan Research Report Interpretation: Addressing Concerns on SK Hynix's Recent Share Price Decline SK Hynix's stock fell 15% last week, underperforming the KOSPI (-5%) and Samsung (-9%). Key investor concerns centered on HBM pricing uncertainty, unclear shareholder return timelines, and a recently disclosed ₩54 trillion capital expenditure plan. JPMorgan's August 9 report addresses each point. Regarding HBM, JPMorgan refutes inaccurate media reports suggesting potential 50% price discounts for HBM4 in 2027. The firm's conservative model assumes <40% average HBM price growth by 2027, based on factors including memory suppliers prioritizing high-margin DDR5/LPDDR5/NAND in LTA allocations and the long-term partnership with key customer NVIDIA. The most significant near-term catalyst is shareholder returns. SK Hynix has committed to announcing additional shareholder return measures before the end of Q3 (September), earlier than its prior "year-end" guidance. JPMorgan anticipates a progressive policy, supported by an estimated cumulative free cash flow exceeding ₩800 trillion over three years and proceeds from the Kioxia stake sale. The substantial ₩54 trillion capex plan is for two new memory fabs to support its 2030 roadmap, not short-term aggressive expansion. The Yongin Y2 DRAM fab (₩35.2tn) and Cheongju M17 NAND fab (₩19.1tn) have construction starts scheduled for 2027, with clean room completion and investments stretching to 2028-2031. JPMorgan sees limited strategic value in a potential IPO for subsidiary Solidigm, noting SK Hynix's strong internal cash flow can fund capex without dilution, and an IPO might trigger dual-listing rule constraints in Korea. The report concludes last week's sell-off was an overreaction. JPMorgan maintains its Overweight rating and ₩2.75 million price target (~7x avg. 2026-2027 EPS), asserting the memory super-cycle thesis and SK Hynix's fundamentals remain intact.

marsbit08/11 02:16

JP Morgan Research Report Analysis: SK Hynix Fell 15% Last Week, Concerns Over HBM Pricing Overblown and Shareholder Returns to Land Ahead of Schedule

marsbit08/11 02:16

BofA Research Report Analysis: Storage Super Cycle Extends to 2027, Samsung May Launch Large-Scale Buyback and Special Dividend

Bank of America Research Report: Storage Supercycle Extends to 2027, Samsung Poised for Major Buyback and Special Dividend Bank of America's latest global memory tech report (August 7) forecasts a continued supercycle in the memory chip sector, extending to 2027. DRAM industry sales are projected to reach $573 billion in 2026 and $847 billion in 2027. NAND sales are expected to hit $357.5 billion in 2026 and $467.5 billion in 2027. HBM demand is a core driver, with its market size forecast to surge to $152.8 billion in 2027. Spot prices for NAND showed an unexpected strong rebound, with 256Gb products rising over 10%, while DRAM spot prices also increased 1-2% weekly. Supply for both remains tight. Samsung Electronics is anticipated to announce significant capital returns, potentially including a special dividend exceeding KRW 30 trillion and a share buyback over KRW 40 trillion, funded by 50% of its 2024-2026 free cash flow. SK Hynix is also expected to return 50% of FCF to shareholders. The supercycle is shifting from price-driven to volume-and-price driven. While ASPs may see a mild correction in 2028, sustained HBM adoption and AI server demand are reshaping industry profitability. The tight supply-demand balance is unlikely to reverse before 2027.

marsbit08/10 04:43

BofA Research Report Analysis: Storage Super Cycle Extends to 2027, Samsung May Launch Large-Scale Buyback and Special Dividend

marsbit08/10 04:43

XRP Has Entered A ‘Super Cycle,’ Claims World’s Smartest Man, as Ripple Expands Payments To UK

YoungHoon Kim, who claims to be the "world's smartest man," has declared that XRP has entered a "super cycle," a period of extended strong upward momentum. His bullish predictions coincide with Ripple's announcement that it has obtained regulatory approval from the U.K.'s Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) to expand its cross-border payment services to the U.K. The new Electronic Money Institution (EMI) licence and crypto asset registration will allow Ripple to offer its payment solutions to U.K. institutions. Kim, who previously focused on Bitcoin, now suggests XRP could outperform gold and silver in 2026 and potentially approach $1,000 in the next decade under certain macroeconomic conditions. The concept of a crypto "super cycle" has also been supported by other prominent figures like Binance's Changpeng Zhao and Fundstrat's Tom Lee. From a technical perspective, XRP's price is showing signals not seen in months. Analysts suggest that if the current bullish sentiment holds, XRP could break above $2.49, with a next target around $3.26. However, a drop below the $2 support level could lead to a decline toward $1.50.

ccn.com01/12 12:13

XRP Has Entered A ‘Super Cycle,’ Claims World’s Smartest Man, as Ripple Expands Payments To UK

ccn.com01/12 12:13

CZ’s ‘super cycle’ prediction – Is Bitcoin breaking its 4-year cycle?

Bitcoin's historic red close in 2025, its third annual loss in 14 years, has sparked debate over the potential end of its established 4-year cycle. CZ (Changpeng Zhao) fueled speculation by predicting a "super cycle," driven by institutional adoption, citing Wells Fargo's $383 million Bitcoin purchase and the SEC's removal of crypto from its 2026 risk list as key bullish signals. While some analysts argue Bitcoin has peaked, others, like CryptoFlow, maintain the long-term cycle pattern remains intact, with the next potential low in October 2026. The growing influence of Bitcoin ETFs and institutional demand may reshape its future, positioning 2026 as a potential start of a new, extended growth phase.

ambcrypto01/11 20:02

CZ’s ‘super cycle’ prediction – Is Bitcoin breaking its 4-year cycle?