# Hawkish Related Articles

HTX News Center provides the latest articles and in-depth analysis on "Hawkish", covering market trends, project updates, tech developments, and regulatory policies in the crypto industry.

Is the U.S. Stock Market Also at Risk of a Crash Tonight?

U.S. markets face heightened risk as Nasdaq futures drop nearly 1% and the S&P 500 retreats from highs, with VIX rising to 17.44. Technical analysis shows Nasdaq breaking a key upward trendline, potentially signaling a larger downtrend. Political uncertainty surrounds Trump’s potential Fed chair nominee Kevin Warsh, named in Epstein files, raising fears of hawkish policies and abrupt monetary tightening. Commodities saw a sharp sell-off, with gold down 12% and silver crashing 36%, triggering margin calls and cross-market contagion. Asian equities fell, and Bitcoin dropped below $75k. Economic vulnerabilities include rising Treasury yields, potential recession signals, and cracks in the AI-driven tech rally. Geopolitical tensions—such as potential U.S.-Iran conflict—and stagflation risks echo the 1979 crisis, suggesting possible aggressive Fed action and a major market correction. Investors are advised to prepare for increased volatility.

marsbit2 days ago 08:53

Is the U.S. Stock Market Also at Risk of a Crash Tonight?

marsbit2 days ago 08:53

The Real Culprit Behind the Crypto Crash: The Warsh Effect

The cryptocurrency market crash, termed the "Warsh Effect," was triggered by former President Donald Trump's announcement nominating Kevin Warsh, a known monetary policy hawk, as the next Federal Reserve Chair. This news caused significant sell-offs, with Bitcoin dropping over 13% from ~$90,400 to $78,214, and Ethereum and Solana falling over 18% in a week. Key reasons include expectations of tighter monetary policy under Warsh, leading to reduced liquidity and higher real interest rates, which negatively impact risk-sensitive assets like crypto. This triggered massive outflows from Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs (~$1 billion in a day), initiating a cascade of leveraged liquidations. However, Warsh's views on Bitcoin are nuanced; he has called it a valuable policy barometer and acknowledged its role in U.S. competitiveness. His actual influence remains limited as Fed policy is set by the broader FOMC, which is already cautious about rate cuts. The market's reaction blends fear of monetary tightening with uncertainty over his confirmation, which faces Senate hurdles. The outcome of his confirmation hearings will be critical for future crypto market trends.

marsbit2 days ago 00:09

The Real Culprit Behind the Crypto Crash: The Warsh Effect

marsbit2 days ago 00:09

Tiger Research: Liquidity Vacuum Drives Sharp Sell-off, Why Hasn't Bitcoin Rebounded?

Bitcoin experienced a sharp decline from $87,000 to $81,000 on January 29, driven by a combination of weak tech earnings and speculation around a potential hawkish Fed chair appointment. The drop was exacerbated by thin liquidity in both spot and futures markets, amplifying the impact of external shocks. Key support at the active realized price of $87,000 was broken, triggering further selling. Despite short-term bearish sentiment, the medium to long-term outlook remains positive due to expected gradual monetary easing and supportive regulatory developments, including potential institutional adoption. Bitcoin's current weakness is viewed as a liquidity-driven correction rather than a fundamental breakdown.

marsbit02/01 11:49

Tiger Research: Liquidity Vacuum Drives Sharp Sell-off, Why Hasn't Bitcoin Rebounded?

marsbit02/01 11:49

The Real Culprit Behind the Crypto Crash: The Warsh Effect

The cryptocurrency market crash, termed the "Warsh Effect," is attributed to former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh's potential nomination as the next chair. Following the announcement, Bitcoin fell to $78,214 (down 6.9% in 24 hours, 12.4% weekly), Ethereum to $2,415 (down 10.5% in 24 hours, 18.2% weekly), and other major altcoins like Solana also experienced significant double-digit losses. Warsh, known as a monetary policy hawk, has historically emphasized inflation vigilance and criticized post-2008 crisis stimulus measures. Markets reacted negatively due to expectations of tighter monetary policy, higher real interest rates, and reduced liquidity—conditions unfavorable for risk assets like crypto. This triggered over $1 billion in net outflows from US Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, initiating a cascade of liquidations that accelerated the sell-off. However, Warsh has also expressed constructive views on Bitcoin, calling it a valuable policy barometer and highlighting the US strategic interest in leading crypto development. His appointment requires Senate confirmation and, even if approved, he would only be one vote on the FOMC, which currently holds a cautious consensus on rate cuts. The market's reaction reflects a clash between the bearish narrative of tighter liquidity and a bullish perspective that considers Warsh's pro-innovation stance and political context. The key upcoming event is his Senate confirmation hearing, which will provide clearer signals on future monetary and regulatory policy.

Odaily星球日报02/01 11:13

The Real Culprit Behind the Crypto Crash: The Warsh Effect

Odaily星球日报02/01 11:13

Gold and Silver Experience 'Black Friday' as the Dollar Stages a Dramatic Comeback!

Gold and silver experienced a historic crash on January 30, 2026, with silver plunging over 30% in its largest single-day drop ever, and gold fell more than 9%, marking its worst decline since the early 1980s. Meanwhile, the US dollar surged nearly 0.9%, its biggest gain since July of the previous year. The sell-off was triggered by the news that former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh, known for his hawkish stance, was nominated as the next Fed chair. This eased market concerns about the Fed's politicization and led to a rapid unwinding of dollar short positions. The precious metals market, already in extreme overbought territory with silver up 63% and gold 20% year-to-date, faced a liquidity crisis, accelerated by forced liquidations and profit-taking. Commodity currencies like the AUD and CHF were hit hard. Analysts are divided on whether this is a correction within a bull market or a sign of a broader reversal, with factors like geopolitical tensions and monetary policy shifts under the new Fed leadership being key to watch.

比推01/31 01:54

Gold and Silver Experience 'Black Friday' as the Dollar Stages a Dramatic Comeback!

比推01/31 01:54

Gold and Silver Plummet in Epic Crash! What Happened?

Gold and silver experienced a historic plunge after reaching record highs, triggered by reports that former President Trump would nominate Kevin Warsh—a known hawk—as Federal Reserve Chair. This shift in Fed leadership expectations spurred a sharp dollar rally, dampening appeal for dollar-denominated metals. Spot gold fell over 13% intraday, its largest drop since the 1980s, while silver plummeted more than 35%, its worst decline on record. Industrial metals like copper also retreated. The sell-off exposed extreme market fragility, with overbought conditions, crowded long positions, and high leverage accelerating the decline. Technical indicators like gamma squeezes and RSI levels had previously signaled overheating. Despite the crash, both metals ended January with significant monthly gains. Mining stocks and ETFs suffered heavy losses. Analysts suggest the correction was overdue and may present buying opportunities, though volatility is expected to remain high.

marsbit01/31 01:43

Gold and Silver Plummet in Epic Crash! What Happened?

marsbit01/31 01:43

Here’s Why The Bitcoin, Dogecoin, And XRP Price Are Crashing This Week

Bitcoin, Dogecoin, and XRP prices have crashed this week, with Bitcoin hitting new 2026 lows below $82,000. The decline is attributed to several macroeconomic factors, including new Trump tariffs on countries like South Korea and Canada, which are creating market uncertainty and affecting dollar liquidity. JPMorgan analysts note that China is responding by selling U.S. treasuries and buying gold, weakening the U.S. dollar. However, Bitcoin is currently being treated as a risk asset rather than a dollar hedge, leading to its decline alongside other cryptocurrencies. Additionally, rising U.S.-Iran tensions and a hawkish Federal Reserve—which held rates and signaled no near-term cuts—are further constrained liquidity and fueled bearish sentiment.

bitcoinist01/31 01:32

Here’s Why The Bitcoin, Dogecoin, And XRP Price Are Crashing This Week

bitcoinist01/31 01:32

Trump nominates Kevin Warsh as Fed chair, crypto markets react to potential policy shift

President Trump has nominated former Federal Reserve governor Kevin Warsh to succeed Jerome Powell as Fed Chair, effective upon Powell's term expiration in May 2026, pending Senate confirmation. Warsh, who served from 2006 to 2011, is known for his views on monetary policy and financial stability. Markets reacted immediately, with Bitcoin falling around 2% to near $81,000–$82,000, gold dropping roughly 5%, and equities declining amid expectations of a more hawkish stance. Analysts suggest a Warsh-led Fed may resist rapid rate cuts or balance sheet expansion, potentially leading to tighter liquidity and higher risk premiums for crypto and other risk assets. The confirmation process and ongoing policy uncertainty are likely to continue influencing market sentiment.

ambcrypto01/30 17:17

Trump nominates Kevin Warsh as Fed chair, crypto markets react to potential policy shift

ambcrypto01/30 17:17

Will Trump Announce the New Fed Chair on the Night of the Fed Decision?

On January 29, 2026, the Federal Reserve is expected to announce its decision to keep interest rates unchanged, with market consensus nearly 100%. While this outcome is widely anticipated, the focus will be on Chair Jerome Powell’s post-announcement press conference for signals on future monetary policy. Investors are divided over whether the Fed will continue its rate-cutting cycle later in the year or adopt a more hawkish stance due to persistent inflation, which remains at 2.8%, above the 2% target. A key uncertainty is the potential announcement of a new Fed Chair nominee by former President Donald Trump, who has hinted at a January reveal. The shortlist includes Rick Rieder (currently the most probable candidate at 47%), Kevin Warsh, Christopher Waller, and Kevin Hassett. Trump may use the FOMC meeting timing to divert market attention from any hawkish signals from Powell, instead promoting a dovish nominee to reassure markets. The new composition of the voting members on the Fed’s rate-setting committee also leans more hawkish this year, which could influence future decisions regardless of the new Chair’s stance. The outcome of Powell’s remarks and a possible Trump announcement could significantly impact market sentiment.

比推01/28 14:47

Will Trump Announce the New Fed Chair on the Night of the Fed Decision?

比推01/28 14:47

The Eve of the Storm: Powell Holds Rates, Trump Announces New Fed Chair?

The Federal Reserve is widely expected to hold interest rates steady in its first policy decision of 2026, with markets pricing in a near-100% probability of no change. While this outcome is largely anticipated, the focus has shifted to future policy direction and the potential announcement of a new Fed Chair by former President Trump. Key uncertainties remain regarding the pace of potential rate cuts in 2026. Although the Fed began a rate-cutting cycle in late 2025 due to a softening labor market, persistent inflation at 2.8%—above the 2% target—has led to a more cautious stance. The composition of the voting members on the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has also shifted, with two new "hawkish" regional bank presidents joining, which may influence future decisions. Chair Powell’s post-meeting remarks will be closely watched for signals on the duration of the pause and the likelihood of further easing. Simultaneously, Trump has indicated he may soon nominate a new Fed Chair, with candidates narrowed down to four individuals. Rick Rieder, BlackRock’s Global Chief Investment Officer of Fixed Income and a proponent of lower rates, is currently the betting favorite. Trump may choose to announce his nominee around the time of the FOMC meeting to shift market attention away from any potentially hawkish signals from Powell and instead emphasize a more dovish long-term outlook. The timing and choice of nominee could significantly influence market sentiment and expectations for monetary policy.

Odaily星球日报01/28 11:33

The Eve of the Storm: Powell Holds Rates, Trump Announces New Fed Chair?

Odaily星球日报01/28 11:33

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