# Analysis Related Articles

Bitcoin: $677mln liquidations meet THESE 3 signals flashing risk

ambcrypto1h ago

Trading Moment: Gold and Silver Hit New Highs Again, Bitcoin's Next Support Range is $84,000 to $86,000

Global markets are gripped by heightened risk-off sentiment and speculative fervor, driven by geopolitical tensions, fiscal risks, and sectoral cycles. Spot gold surged past $5,000, hitting a record $5,106, with Bank of America forecasting a rise to $6,000 by spring 2026. Silver also reached an all-time high above $109, supported by AI and solar industry demand. In forex, the yen strengthened on potential "Plaza Accord 2.0" intervention fears, while Bitcoin faced a weekly decline of over 7%, testing support near $86,000. Technical analysts warn of further downside risks, with key support levels between $84,000 and $86,000. Ethereum fell more than 14%, breaching $2,800 and eroding market confidence. Meme coins on Solana, like PENGUIN, saw volatile pumps. ETF flows showed net outflows for Bitcoin and Ethereum, while SOL ETF saw modest inflows. Key events include the launch of VanEck’s Avalanche ETF and a joint SEC-CFTC crypto regulatory event.

marsbit4h ago

Bitcoin's Key Channel Broken? History Won't Simply Repeat Itself | Invited Analysis

This analysis by Odaily's guest market analyst Cody examines Bitcoin's recent price action and potential future trajectories. The key technical focus is the breach of Bitcoin's critical rising channel support, which had been acting as a "lifeline" for the market since the November 21, 2025, low of $80,600. The report compares the current market structure to the 2021 cycle, noting a similar three-wave corrective pattern (A-B-C) but cautioning that history does not simply repeat itself. The recent break below the $94,500-$95,000 support zone confirmed a return to a wider consolidation range between $84,000 and $94,500. Key scenarios are outlined: * If the price fails to reclaim the rising channel's support, a bearish C-wave could drive the price down towards key support levels at $84,000, $80,600 (the B-wave starting point), and potentially $75,200. * A recovery above the channel support could lead to a retest of the $94,500 resistance and the 21-week moving average, though this would require supportive macro conditions. The analyst details a successful short-term trade from the previous week, which yielded a 3.76% return using a quant model-based strategy. Current market structure is assessed as bearish on weekly and daily timeframes, with the daily momentum indicator dipping below zero. The upcoming week's strategy involves monitoring the confirmed break of the channel support. Operational plans include potential short positions (with a 60% allocation for mid-term and 30% for short-term trades) targeting the $84,000 support, with strict stop-loss and profit-taking rules based on quant model signals.

marsbit5h ago

Bitcoin's Key Channel Broken? History Won't Simply Repeat Itself | Invited Analysis

This analysis by Odaily's market analyst Cody examines Bitcoin's recent price action and potential future trajectories. The key technical focus is the breach of Bitcoin's critical upward channel support line, which had been acting as a "lifeline" for the market since the November 21, 2025, low of $80,600. The report compares the current market structure to the 2021 cycle, noting similarities but cautioning that history does not simply repeat itself. The current correction from the October 2025 high is analyzed as a potential three-wave structure (A-B-C). The recently concluded B-wave rally has potentially ended, and the market is now in a C-wave correction. Key support levels to watch are identified at $86,000-$86,500, $84,000, and crucially, the $80,000-$80,600 zone (the November low). A decisive break below the channel support, accompanied by a bearish crossover on the daily momentum indicator, could signal a resumption of the downtrend towards these targets. Conversely, holding above the channel could lead to a retest of resistance near $94,500. The analyst details a successful short trade from the previous week, yielding a 3.76% return, executed based on a confluence of signals from proprietary quantitative models. The weekly and daily charts are currently assessed as bearish. The recommended strategy for the coming week involves preparing for a potential breakdown below the channel with short positions (60% for mid-term, 30% for short-term trades), employing strict risk management with trailing stop-losses.

Odaily星球日报5h ago

Macro Black Swans and On-Chain Selling Pressure: A Guide to Navigating Crypto Market Risks Next Week

Hotcoin Research's Market Analysis: Crypto Market Downturn and Key Events (Jan 26 - Feb 1, 2026) The cryptocurrency market is experiencing significant volatility, with a market cap of $3.1T. BTC (-6.87% weekly and ETH (-11.6%) led a broad downturn, though assets like AXS saw gains (+122.1%). Key metrics show a neutral RSI (44.24) and a Fear & Greed Index of 25. Core trading ranges are identified: BTC ($88K-$92K), ETH ($2.9K-$3.3K), and SOL ($124-$137). Macro events are heavily influencing sentiment. A market "flash crash" occurred on Jan 19. US Bitcoin spot ETFs saw a net outflow of $1.32B, with GBTC outflows totaling $25.539B to date. US economic data, including lower-than-expected unemployment claims, is being watched closely. The probability of a Fed rate cut in January remains low at 5.7%. Political statements from Donald Trump have caused immediate market reactions. Looking ahead, the report highlights several key events for the coming week: * **Macro Events:** The US Fed and Canadian central bank interest rate decisions on Jan 29 and Jan 28, respectively. * **Token Unlocks:** Significant unlocks are scheduled for JUP ($10.53M), TREE ($8.5M), OP ($9.88M), and SUI ($65.29M), which could create selling pressure. * **Project Updates:** The closure of the Defiance Ethereum ETF (Jan 26), the Infinex TGE (Jan 30), and the shutdown of Ready Player Me after its acquisition by Netflix (Jan 31). * **Regulation:** New South Korean restrictions on unregistered overseas crypto exchanges on Google Play take effect Jan 28. The market remains highly sensitive to macro news and ETF flows, advising investors to monitor Fed policy signals and geopolitical developments for risk assessment.

marsbit8h ago

Crypto market’s weekly winners and losers – KAIA, CC, ENA, ARB

Bitcoin (BTC) fell 6% this week, while Ethereum (ETH) dropped 10%, marking their first significant weekly losses this year. Despite the downturn, the market reaction varied, with some cryptocurrencies posting gains. Weekly winners included Kaia (KAIA), which surged mid-week before a 20% pullback due to profit-taking, though its bullish structure remained intact. Canton Network (CC) defied the broader privacy coin decline with a 36% rally. MYX Finance (MYX) jumped 32% following its V2 upgrade. Tether Gold (XAUT) and PAX Gold (PAX) rose 9% and 10%, respectively, amid macroeconomic uncertainty, while LayerZero (ZRO) gained 11%. Weekly losers featured Ethena (ENA), which fell roughly 15% with sustained selling pressure and weak buyer interest. Arbitrum (ARB) slid nearly 15%, breaking key support levels. Artificial Superintelligence Alliance (FET) dropped over 8% as AI token momentum waned. Larger caps like Solana (SOL) and Chainlink (LINK) fell around 10-11%, and Sui Network (SUI) declined 16%. The week highlighted market rotation rather than collapse, with selective risk-taking and defensive moves shaping performance.

ambcrypto16h ago

67% of Binance traders are long on Chainlink – Is LINK ready to reclaim $14.15?

Chainlink (LINK) is trading near a key support level of $11.90, with 67% of Binance traders holding long positions, indicating a strong bullish bias. Despite a 35% drop in trading volume suggesting market hesitancy, derivatives data shows traders are positioning for a potential rebound. Key liquidation risk zones are identified at $11.85 and $12.45. If the $11.90 support holds, analysts project a possible 16% rise toward the $14.15 resistance level. A break below this support, however, could lead to further downside. The Average Directional Index (ADX) reading of 25.42 confirms a strong directional trend is in play.

ambcrypto18h ago

Bitcoin: THIS BTC metric hints seller fatigue – $93k bounce or $86k breakdown?

Bitcoin is consolidating between $88k and $91k after a sharp drop from its recent high. Despite a weak structure, analysts note signs of seller exhaustion as the Growth Rate Difference metric improves, suggesting reduced selling pressure. Bullish momentum is returning, with a strong demand wall at $89k and consecutive positive signals in the BvB EMA. However, bears remain stubborn, and a key momentum indicator signals a risk of further decline to $86,270 if bulls fail to hold. If bullish momentum is sustained, a bounce to $93k is possible. The market is at a critical decision point between recovery and breakdown.

ambcrypto23h ago

Dispelling the Fog of Stablecoin Payments: Actual Payments Account for Only 10% of Total Transaction Volume

Stablecoin payment volumes are often misinterpreted, with only about 10% of total transaction activity representing real-world payments such as remittances, B2B transfers, or payroll. While annual stablecoin transaction volumes are reported at around $35 trillion, Artemis Analytics and McKinsey analysis reveals that the actual payment volume is approximately $390 billion in 2025—double the previous year—yet still only 0.02% of global payment flows. The majority of stablecoin transactions come from exchange-related activities, arbitrage, internal transfers, and automated smart contract operations rather than end-user payments. True payment usage is concentrated in specific regions and use cases: Asia leads with 60% of payment volume, followed by North America and Europe. B2B payments dominate, accounting for $226 billion and growing rapidly. Despite the current niche adoption, stablecoins show strong potential due to advantages in speed, transparency, and cost—especially in cross-border and corporate payments. The market is still in early stages, and realizing its full potential will require clearer data interpretation, regulatory development, and strategic investment in practical applications.

marsbitYesterday 05:34

Render holds above $2 – Will bulls face one more shakeout?

Despite an impressive 85% price surge in early January, Render (RENDER) has since retraced, with Open Interest declining nearly 30%. Although it broke past the key $2 resistance, the price has returned to that level, failing to break the longer-term downtrend or surpass November's $2.94 high. While indicators like OBV and RSI show some bullish momentum, the liquidation map suggests a potential drop to the $1.86-$1.88 zone. Traders are advised to wait for a dip toward $1.80 before considering buys, expecting a rebound above $2.15 afterward. The overall structure remains bearish despite recent stability above $2.

ambcryptoYesterday 01:01