Is Solana’s drop below $100 start of something bigger? THIS data says…

ambcryptoPublished on 2026-02-02Last updated on 2026-02-02

Abstract

Solana fell below $100 on February 2nd, reaching its lowest level since early April of the previous year, amid a broader crypto market decline driven by geopolitical tensions and macroeconomic uncertainty. Derivatives data showed a shift in trader sentiment, with Funding Rates turning negative, indicating increased short-selling pressure and a bearish bias. This pattern previously preceded a significant price drop in October 2025. However, on-chain data provided a contrasting signal, as daily Active Addresses increased by approximately 870,000 to 4.87 million, suggesting renewed user activity and potential underlying demand rather than widespread selling. SOL is currently caught between these conflicting signals—bearish derivatives positioning and improving network usage—with its near-term direction likely dependent on the persistence of seller control and whether the on-chain activity translates into sustained buying interest.

Solana slipped below the $100 level on the 2nd of February, marking its lowest point since early April last year. The decline followed a broader market pullback triggered by heightened geopolitical tensions and macroeconomic uncertainty over the past week.

Risk appetite weakened across crypto markets, and SOL tracked the downside alongside other large-cap assets.

Funding flips negative again

Derivatives data reflected growing seller control.

SOL’s Funding Rates turned negative again, printing -0.006% at press time. The move followed a sharper -0.044% dip the previous day, signaling a shift in trader positioning.

Negative Funding Rates typically indicate short sellers paying to maintain positions, a sign that bearish bias outweighs bullish leverage.

Could history repeat itself?

That shift mirrored conditions seen earlier in the cycle.

The last time SOL’s Funding Rates fell to similar levels on the 10th of October 2025, price action followed with a sharp downside continuation.

If seller dominance persists, Solana [SOL] could remain vulnerable to further losses in the near term.

Market activity offers a mixed signal

Even so, on-chain data offered a counterpoint. Despite the price decline, Solana’s Active Addresses began recovering.

Santiment data showed daily Active Addresses rose by roughly 870,000, bringing the total to 4.87 million. That increase suggested renewed user activity rather than broad capitulation.

Rising Active Addresses during price weakness can signal underlying demand or early accumulation.

Where SOL stands now

Solana appeared caught between conflicting signals. Bearish derivatives positioning and macro pressure pointed toward caution.

At the same time, improving network activity hinted that downside momentum may not be one-sided.

Whether SOL stabilizes or extends losses will likely depend on how long seller control persists and whether on-chain recovery converts into sustained buying interest.


Final Thoughts

  • SOL’s drop below $100 aligned with a broader risk-off move across crypto markets.
  • Despite price weakness, Solana’s Active Addresses rose by around 870,000, lifting total daily activity to 4.87 million.

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Related Questions

QWhat was the key price level that Solana (SOL) dropped below on February 2nd, and why did this decline occur?

ASolana dropped below the $100 level. The decline was part of a broader market pullback triggered by heightened geopolitical tensions and macroeconomic uncertainty.

QWhat does a negative Funding Rate for SOL typically indicate about trader sentiment in the derivatives market?

AA negative Funding Rate typically indicates that short sellers are paying to maintain their positions, which is a sign that bearish bias outweighs bullish leverage.

QAccording to the article, what historical event from October 10th, 2025, does the current market condition mirror, and what was the outcome then?

AThe current condition mirrors when SOL's Funding Rates fell to similar levels on October 10th, 2025, which was followed by a sharp downside continuation in price.

QDespite the price decline, what positive on-chain signal did Santiment data show regarding Solana's network activity?

ASantiment data showed that Solana's daily Active Addresses rose by roughly 870,000, bringing the total to 4.87 million, suggesting renewed user activity.

QWhat two conflicting signals is Solana caught between, as mentioned in the article's conclusion?

ASolana is caught between bearish derivatives positioning/macro pressure pointing toward caution and improving network activity which hints that the downside momentum may not be one-sided.

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