Bitcoin ‘extreme low volatility’ to end amid new $50K BTC price target

cointelegraphPublished on 2025-12-14Last updated on 2025-12-14

Abstract

Bitcoin (BTC) is facing a potential price breakout as volatility hits extreme lows, with analysts predicting a directional move could be imminent. BTC failed to break above strong resistance levels, remaining near $90,000. Trader Aksel Kibar suggests two scenarios: a breakdown from a bear flag formation toward $73.7K–$76.5K, or a breakout above $94.6K targeting $100K. Others highlight $88K–$89K as a critical support zone; a break below could lead to a drop toward $85K. Meanwhile, CryptoQuant warns the bear market may already be underway, with weak buying volume and strong selling pressure indicating a lack of bullish conviction. A deeper correction toward the $50,000 region is considered a potential target before the next major upward move.

Bitcoin (BTC) eroded $90,000 support into Sunday’s weekly close as predictions saw BTC price volatility next.

Key points:

  • Bitcoin is seen breaking its sideways trading range as volatility hits “extreme” lows.

  • Traders wait for a breakout as the weekly close approaches.

  • Bear market fears spark another $50,000 BTC price bottom target.

Bitcoin breakout move “around the corner”

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed flat BTC price moves over the weekend, with strong horizontal resistance in place overhead.

BTC/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView


Repeated attempts to break higher through the week failed, but Bitcoin’s tight trading range now led to forecasts of a major move.

“Extreme low volatility setup. Means a directional move around the corner,” trader analyst Aksel Kibar wrote in his latest post on X.

Kibar offered two potential scenarios for the volatility strike: a breakdown from the current bear flag formation on the daily chart, as well as a run at $95,000.

“If this works as a bear flag, one last drop towards 73.7K-76.5K area can take place where we look for a medium-term bottom signal,” he continued alongside an explanatory chart.

“If BTC is saved with a breach of 94.6K, it can quickly test 100K (the lower boundary of the broadening pattern).”
BTC/USD one-day chart. Source: Aksel Kibar/X


Others also saw BTC/USD at a crossroads, with new lows on the table if sellers took control.

“$90,600 and $89,800 is our range,” trader Crypto Tony told X followers on the day.

“Trade the breakout only.”
BTC/USDT perpetual contract one-hour chart. Source: Crypto Tony/X

$50,000 range now “potential” BTC price target

In its latest findings, onchain analytics platform CryptoQuant, meanwhile, warned that the Bitcoin bear market was already underway.

Related: Bitcoin retail inflows to Binance ‘collapse’ to 400 BTC record low in 2025

A combination of downward-sloping simple moving averages (SMAs) and price trading below key trendlines formed the basis for a grim new crypto market prediction by contributor Pelin Ay.

“Price reactions are being sold at declining moving averages, meaning these averages have turned into dynamic resistance levels. Attempts to break higher occur with low volume, showing that buyers lack strength. Selling volume on red candles is noticeably stronger than buying volume on green candles,” she wrote in a “Quicktake” blog post Sunday.

“During recovery attempts, buying volume fails to confirm upside moves. In short, Bitcoin is currently in a reaction phase within a bear market. The structure remains bearish, and upward moves lack conviction.”
BTC/USDT, ETH/USDT charts with SMAs (screenshot). Source: CryptoQuant


While acknowledging that Ether (ETH) had staged a stronger recovery from recent long-term lows, Ay said that even here, there was little reason for optimism.

“For now, the Bitcoin rally appears to be over,” she concluded.

“A deeper bear market phase, potentially toward the $50K region, is likely before the next major upward move.”

As Cointelegraph reported, calls for much lower BTC price support retests have been growing throughout December.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision. While we strive to provide accurate and timely information, Cointelegraph does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any information in this article. This article may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Cointelegraph will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from your reliance on this information.


Related Reads

Trading

Spot
Futures

Hot Articles

What is $BITCOIN

DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): A Comprehensive Analysis Introduction to DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a blockchain-based project operating on the Solana network, which aims to combine the characteristics of traditional precious metals with the innovation of decentralized technologies. While it shares a name with Bitcoin, often referred to as “digital gold” due to its perception as a store of value, DIGITAL GOLD is a separate token designed to create a unique ecosystem within the Web3 landscape. Its goal is to position itself as a viable alternative digital asset, although specifics regarding its applications and functionalities are still developing. What is DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a cryptocurrency token explicitly designed for use on the Solana blockchain. In contrast to Bitcoin, which provides a widely recognized value storage role, this token appears to focus on broader applications and characteristics. Notable aspects include: Blockchain Infrastructure: The token is built on the Solana blockchain, known for its capacity to handle high-speed and low-cost transactions. Supply Dynamics: DIGITAL GOLD has a maximum supply capped at 100 quadrillion tokens (100P $BITCOIN), although details regarding its circulating supply are currently undisclosed. Utility: While precise functionalities are not explicitly outlined, there are indications that the token could be utilized for various applications, potentially involving decentralized applications (dApps) or asset tokenization strategies. Who is the Creator of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? At present, the identity of the creators and development team behind DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) remains unknown. This situation is typical among many innovative projects within the blockchain space, particularly those aligning with decentralized finance and meme coin phenomena. While such anonymity may foster a community-driven culture, it intensifies concerns about governance and accountability. Who are the Investors of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? The available information indicates that DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) does not have any known institutional backers or prominent venture capital investments. The project seems to operate on a peer-to-peer model focused on community support and adoption rather than traditional funding routes. Its activity and liquidity are primarily situated on decentralized exchanges (DEXs), such as PumpSwap, rather than established centralized trading platforms, further highlighting its grassroots approach. How DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) Works The operational mechanics of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) can be elaborated on based on its blockchain design and network attributes: Consensus Mechanism: By leveraging Solana’s unique proof-of-history (PoH) combined with a proof-of-stake (PoS) model, the project ensures efficient transaction validation contributing to the network's high performance. Tokenomics: While specific deflationary mechanisms have not been extensively detailed, the vast maximum token supply implies that it may cater to microtransactions or niche use cases that are still to be defined. Interoperability: There exists the potential for integration with Solana’s broader ecosystem, including various decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms. However, the details regarding specific integrations remain unspecified. Timeline of Key Events Here is a timeline that highlights significant milestones concerning DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): 2023: The initial deployment of the token occurs on the Solana blockchain, marked by its contract address. 2024: DIGITAL GOLD gains visibility as it becomes available for trading on decentralized exchanges like PumpSwap, allowing users to trade it against SOL. 2025: The project witnesses sporadic trading activity and potential interest in community-led engagements, although no noteworthy partnerships or technical advancements have been documented as of yet. Critical Analysis Strengths Scalability: The underlying Solana infrastructure supports high transaction volumes, which could enhance the utility of $BITCOIN in various transaction scenarios. Accessibility: The potential low trading price per token could attract retail investors, facilitating wider participation due to fractional ownership opportunities. Risks Lack of Transparency: The absence of publicly known backers, developers, or an audit process may yield skepticism regarding the project's sustainability and trustworthiness. Market Volatility: The trading activity is heavily reliant on speculative behavior, which can result in significant price volatility and uncertainty for investors. Conclusion DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) emerges as an intriguing yet ambiguous project within the rapidly evolving Solana ecosystem. While it attempts to leverage the “digital gold” narrative, its departure from Bitcoin's established role as a store of value underscores the need for a clearer differentiation of its intended utility and governance structure. Future acceptance and adoption will likely depend on addressing the current opacity and defining its operational and economic strategies more explicitly. Note: This report encompasses synthesised information available as of October 2023, and developments may have transpired beyond the research period.

363 Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

What is $BITCOIN

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of BTC (BTC) are presented below.

活动图片