Pudgy Penguins:为何PENGU的零售推广尚未赢得空头青睐

ambcryptoPublished on 2026-07-20Last updated on 2026-07-20

Abstract

胖企鹅Pudgy Penguins推出了PENGU毛绒玩具并在全美Target商店上架,这是该项目向零售领域最大规模的一次扩展,旨在触达数百万新用户,有望增加其原生代币PENGU的应用场景和需求。消息发布后,PENGU现货价格微涨至0.0062美元,随后小幅回落,现货净流出为负值,显示交易所供应减少。然而,衍生品市场呈现强烈看跌情绪:永续合约卖出量高于买入量,期货净流出大幅增加,表明交易者正积极平仓。技术指标上,相对强弱指数处于45的看跌区域,随机动量指数也维持在负值,显示卖方仍主导市场。综合来看,尽管零售扩张带来了潜在需求,但市场结构依然看跌。若消息驱动的需求消退,加上衍生品抛压,PENGU可能跌至0.0058美元;若毛绒玩具成功提振需求,则有望守住0.006美元并上探0.0068美元。

Pudgy Penguins [PENGU] 在实现其将影响力扩展到互联网之外的目标上迈出了一大步。

继六月份成功推出TCG后,Pudgy Penguins 现已推出了可供零售购买的PENGU毛绒玩具。这条新的毛绒玩具产品线标志着该NFT项目迄今为止对零售业的最大推动。更重要的是,通过此举,Pudgy Penguins 将其触角延伸到了数百万的新用户。

事实上,Pudgy Penguins 特别提到了这一里程碑,并补充说,

Pengu 已经通过零售渠道介绍给了数百万新用户

对于该网络及其原生代币PENGU来说,用户基础的扩大是个好消息,因为它增加了代币的用例。此外,更多的交易者将通过毛绒玩具上的二维码发现该代币,从而可能推动对PENGU的需求。

Pudgy Penguins的市场反应如何?

消息传出后,PENGU价格小幅走高,升至0.0062美元,随后在发稿时略微回落至0.0061美元。这些微小的涨幅主要是由急于积累的现货买家推动的。

根据CoinGlass的数据,过去一天,交易所的流出量显著超过了流入量。因此,现货净流量仍为负值。

来源:CoinGlass

截至发稿时,现货净流量为-13.9万美元,表明更多的PENGU从交易所流出。通常,交易所供应减少会先于更好的价格表现。

空头仍在永续合约市场占据主导,存在再次回调风险

尽管现货买家因利好消息而涌入,但衍生品交易员则积极获利了结。

来源:Coinalyze

首先,在永续合约方面,永续合约卖出量升至9.842亿,而买入量为8.749亿。

因此,永续合约录得负的成交量差为-1.093亿,这是积极卖出的明显迹象。同样的市场行为也出现在期货方面。

根据CoinGlass的数据,期货流出量升至2340万美元,而流入量则降至2240万美元。因此,期货净流量下降了228%,达到-97.5万美元。

来源:CoinGlass

期货净流量为负值表明更多交易者平仓,反映出市场看跌情绪加剧。

这个迷因币的下一步会怎样?

尽管PENGU的用户基础有所扩大,但市场结构仍然极度看跌。截至发稿时,相对强弱指数仍处于45的看跌区域。

来源:TradingView

这意味着卖家仍在控制市场。随机动量指数也证实了这一观点,因为它仍为负值。

尽管SMI一直处于上升轨迹,但该指标仍深陷看跌区域。两者结合表明,市场动能倾向于下行,并且很可能持续如此。

因此,如果由新闻推动的轻微需求消退,再加上衍生品市场压力的加剧,PENGU可能会跌至0.0058美元。然而,如果毛绒玩具有助于提振需求,再加上扩大的用户基础,PENGU可能会守住0.006美元,并瞄准0.0068美元。


最终总结

  • Pudgy Penguins 宣布在美国各地的所有Target货架上推出PENGU毛绒玩具。
  • PENGU市场在结构上仍然看跌,这主要是由衍生品市场巨大的抛售压力驱动的。

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