狗狗币杀手回到爆发原点 柴犬币逼近400%暴涨起点 SHIB这次是末日崩盘还是王者归来?

金色财经Published on 2025-07-08Last updated on 2025-07-08

当柴犬 (SHIB) 价格接近引发 400% 上涨的关键技术水平时,投资者可以期待什么——反弹还是崩盘?

狗狗币杀手柴犬价格重回催化 400% 上涨的水平,SHIB 会反弹吗?

文章来源:公众号:海绵进化论

Shiba (SHIB) 价格分析揭示了触发其在短短十天内上涨 388% 的关键水平。场外买家会介入并催化SHIB(所谓的“狗狗币杀手”)的反弹 吗?

柴犬价格接近高度敏感水平

Coingecko 的价格数据显示,Shiba Inu 的价格在过去三周下跌近 28% 后,目前交易价格为 0.00001288 美元。此次暴跌使 SHIB 更接近此前催化 388% 涨幅的关键价值区域

为什么这个区域如此重要?柴犬(Shiba Inu)价格在2022年5月13日至2024年2月24日期间盘整,形成了一个窄幅波动区间。突破该区域后,SHIB价格上涨近400%,达到0.00004567美元。在此区间添加成交量曲线图显示,70%成交量所在的价值区域位于0.00001256美元至0.00000837美元之间。该区域的最高成交量位于0.00001090美元,被称为控制点(POC)。

  • 2024 年 8 月 5 日首次重新测试此 POC,结果反弹 210% 至 0.00003343 美元。

  • 第二次重新测试结果显示反弹幅度达到 44%。

  • 第三次重访是低于 POC 的偏差,催化了 71% 的变动。

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技术析:SHIB会反弹吗?

每次重新测试,价值区域和 POC 产生反弹的效应都会减弱,从而降低反弹的可能性。因此,SHIB 正在重新测试价值区域上限 0.00001256 美元,不太可能引发大规模的反弹。由于近期比特币暴跌,任何有意义的上涨趋势都可能遭遇阻力。

更糟糕的是,相对强弱指数 (RSI) 已跌破均值,并接近超卖水平,表明市场处于卖方主导的状态。动量震荡指标 (AO) 的红色柱状图在零线以下不断增大,也反映了同样的看跌势头。

因此,投资者可以假设SHIB 反弹至 0.00001256 美元或 0.00001090 美元的可能性较低。

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投资者对于狗狗币杀手有何期待?

尽管柴犬多头重回看涨水平,但投资者不应对其抱有太大期望。如果接受价低于价值区间上限 0.00001256 美元,则可能引发 33.3% 的快速回调,跌至价值区间下限 0.00000837 美元。

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