鲸鱼抢购 4000 万 ADA – 现在有可能突破 0.90 美元吗?

ambcryptoPublished on 2025-05-12Last updated on 2025-05-12

Abstract

过去两天,卡尔达诺鲸鱼的大量买入引发了价格向 0.85 美元的走势,但价格走势似乎处于回调之中。

  • 鲸鱼在两天内购买了超过 4000 万个 ADA,这可能导致价格上涨至 0.85 美元。
  • 如果要维持看涨前景,卡尔达诺需要保持在 0.75 美元以上,但跌破该水平则意味着……
  • 在过去两天里,拥有 1 亿至 10 亿枚代币的Cardano [ADA]交易者收集了超过 4000 万枚代币,使其总量增加到近 31.1 亿枚。

此次大规模增持发生在 ADA 价格从约 0.66 美元飙升至 0.80 美元以上之际。

鲸鱼活动的升级似乎推动了价格上涨,增加了需求增加的证据。

有趣的是,在飙升之前,价格和鲸鱼持仓都没有出现明显的波动。但这种情况很快就发生了变化。

鲸鱼活动和价格行为的突然一致暗示着信心的增强,尽管仍然需要实际的市场确认来维持势头。

ADA 逃离渠道

卡尔达诺 (ADA) 价格突破下行通道障碍,并创下 0.80 美元附近的高点,随后触及 0.85 美元的水平。

截至发稿时,该代币价格徘徊在 0.7944 美元左右。

然而,MACD柱状图开始收窄,表明暂时的动能可能正在减弱。主要支撑位在0.75美元,与历史突破区域重合。

如果 ADA 交易价格高于 0.75 美元,则可能显示看涨迹象并在 0.82 美元处盘整,然后升至 0.85 美元。

如果跌破 0.75 美元,任何事情都有可能发生,可能会出现更大幅度的回撤,在这种情况下,将在接下来的几天里寻找 0.70 美元的可能支撑区域。

即使出现了暂停,MACD 线仍高于 0,因此需求仍然大于供应。

收盘价高于 0.75 美元将维持 ADA 的看涨趋势;另一方面,如果 ADA 跌破 0.75 美元,突破假设将受到严峻挑战。

短期来看,ADA的未来很大程度上将取决于未来一段时间内山寨币在支撑位的表现。

ADA 交易所清算图

在衍生品方面,CoinGlass 数据显示,ADA 的最后一个主要多头清算集群形成于 0.789 美元左右。

然而,空头仓位在该水平之上激增,总计约 4000 万个累计空头仓位,将在 0.90 美元时触发。

从 0.805 美元到 0.875 美元,空头集群主要在 Binance 和 Bybit 平台上形成。

如果价格上涨,这些空头可能会引发清算的多米诺骨牌效应,从而增加市场的波动性。

相反,跌破 0.775 美元将使多头面临压力,Bybit 和 OKX 的仓位在 0.760 美元底部堆积。

简而言之,ADA 的下一步举动可能会引发快速清算,因为当前范围的两侧都存在巨大的流动性缺口。

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