Cardano: завершился ли медвежий тренд ADA

cryptonews.ruPublished on 2022-12-11Last updated on 2025-05-11

Cardano (ADA) заметно вырос в цене в последние дни, отражая улучшения на более широком рынке. Разбираемся, чего ждать дальше

Благоприятные рыночные условия и позитивные сигналы от сети Cardano указывают на возможность восстановления 40% потерь, понесенных ADA в марте.

Окно возможностей для инвесторов

Индикатор MVRV Long/Short Difference для Cardano сейчас составляет -89%. Это говорит о том, что долгосрочные держатели почти не получают прибыли, а некоторые даже несут убытки. В то же время краткосрочные держатели, владеющие активом менее месяца, получают прибыль.

Этот индикатор достигает экстремально отрицательных значений ближе к концу медвежьего цикла. Когда краткосрочные держатели начинают продавать, новые инвесторы обычно вступают в игру, чтобы поглотить давление продаж. Такая динамика может помочь удержать цену и даже подтолкнуть ее вверх, поддерживая положительный импульс. Это может сыграть ключевую роль в восстановлении после недавних потерь.

Метрика MVRV Long/Short Difference. Источник: Santiment

Бычьи технические индикаторы тоже поддерживают импульс ADA. Индикатор MACD демонстрирует, что бычий моментум усиливается. Растущие зеленые бары на гистограмме указывают на положительный импульс на рынке, а вероятность медвежьего пересечения пока выглядит отдаленной. Текущий тренд MACD подтверждает, что Cardano может продолжить рост.

Cardano и MACD. Источник: TradingView

Цена ADA пытается восстановиться

Cardano сейчас вплотную приблизился к сопротивлению на уровне $0,80. Этот рост открывает возможность для восстановления после 40%-ных потерь, понесенных в марте. Если положительная динамика сохранится, ADA может преодолеть ключевые уровни сопротивления и нацелиться на более высокие отметки.

Для полного восстановления потерь цене необходимо достичь уровня $1,13, но это может занять время. На данный момент реалистичной целью является превращение в поддержку сопротивления на $0,85. В случае успеха ADA сможет продолжить рост к $0,99, создавая условия для устойчивого восстановления.

Анализ цены ADA. Источник: TradingView

Если токен не сможет удержать рост и упадет ниже $0,74, он может начать период консолидации. В этом случае цена, скорее всего, будет колебаться между $0,74 и $0,66. Это отменит текущий оптимистичный прогноз.

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