Приближается сезон альткоинов? Прорыв Ethereum на 20% может стать искрой

cryptonews.ruPublished on 2024-03-09Last updated on 2025-05-09

  • Ethereum вырос на 20% за 24 часа, вернув себе ключевые EMA и вызвав новый ажиотаж на рынке.
  • Смешанные сигналы в цепочке указывают на краткосрочную осторожность, но долгосрочное накопление и оптимистичные намерения.
  • График TOTAL2 демонстрирует бычий импульс, но приближается к уровню сопротивления и перекупленности.

Ethereum (ETH) перевернул рынок криптовалют с ног на голову резким скачком на 20% за последние 24 часа, подняв цену до $2323,54 и ненадолго коснувшись дневного максимума в $2486,01. Объем торговли Ethereum также резко вырос, увеличившись на 150% до колоссальных $51,56 млрд.

ETH восстанавливает ключевые уровни поддержки

По данным CoinMarketCap, ETH убедительно восстановил свою 20-дневную EMA на уровне $1869 и теперь колеблется вблизи 50-дневной EMA на уровне $1883, обе из которых могут выступить в качестве сильных зон поддержки в ближайшей перспективе.

Этот внезапный рост привел к спекуляциям о более широком ралли сектора альткоинов.

🚀 Bitcoin Dominance has officially peaked! 🚀

From this point on, I’m NOT expecting any further rise. As dominance drops, the #AltcoinSeason will be absolutely massive!

Trust me — I know the way. Stay focused and believe. #Altcoins https://t.co/V2fYErL13z pic.twitter.com/SlylOZwLNr

— @CryptoELlTES (@CryptooELITES) May 9, 2025

Исторически агрессивные восходящие тренды Ethereum часто предшествовали буму альткоинов. Когда доминирование ETH растет, а ETH/USD прорывает ключевые сопротивления, капитал часто перераспределяется в более рискованные альткоины. Эта закономерность была очевидна как в циклах 2017, так и в 2021 годах.

По теме:Крипторынок встревожен из-за разблокировки токенов на сумму 209 миллионов долларов на этой неделе

Потоки обмена рисуют смешанную картину в краткосрочной перспективе

По словам криптоаналитика Бориса Веста, приток ETH на биржу (средний) увеличился с конца 2024 года, что указывает на повышенное давление продаж — краткосрочный медвежий индикатор. Это отражает фазу 2022–2023 годов, когда ETH, отправленные на биржи, предшествовали распродажам.

Связанный:Ethereum EIP-7702 привносит нативную абстракцию в кошельки с оговорками

Однако повествование меняется в связи со средним оттоком средств с бирж, который неуклонно растет с октября 2023 года. Это классический признак накопления долгосрочными держателями, которые выводят ETH с бирж, демонстрируя глубокую уверенность в будущем актива.

Ралли рынка альткоинов не за горами?

Если перейти к более широкому рынку альткоинов, график TOTAL2 (общая рыночная капитализация криптовалют, исключая BTC) подтверждает этот растущий оптимизм. Рыночная капитализация превысила $1,16 трлн, а сопротивление находится на уровне 1,0 Фибоначчи около $1,23 трлн.


Источник: TradingView

Помимо этого, ключевые цели лежат на уровне Фибоначчи 1,618, составляющем 1,38 трлн долларов, и на уровне расширения 2,618 около 1,61 трлн долларов — оба являются исторически надежными маркерами бычьего тренда альткоинов.

Индекс относительной силы (RSI) для сектора альткоинов в настоящее время составляет 75,94. Этот показатель указывает на условия перекупленности, которые обычно предшествуют откатам. Однако, как было видно из прошлых эйфорических ралли, RSI может оставаться повышенным в течение длительных периодов. Индикатор MACD для TOTAL2 показывает бычье пересечение с растущими столбиками гистограммы. Эта модель подтверждает, что восходящий импульс рынка альткоинов в настоящее время остается неизменным.

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