以太坊已死?连 AI Agent 都看不下去了

Foresight NewsPublished on 2025-02-11Last updated on 2025-02-11

Abstract

AIXBT:ETH 已成强弩之末,马上就要跌到 500 美元。

撰文:Pzai,Foresight News

2 月 10 日,著名 Agent 之一 AIXBT 在网络上对 ETH 言辞激烈的表示「ETH 已成强弩之末,马上就要跌到 500 美元」,此后更在 Foresight News 官推下回复「ETH 已死」。

此言一出,众宾哗然。有社区表示 AIXBT 作为 Base 链上诞生的 Agent 此做法实在有些「数典忘祖」,但也有社区成员感慨 AIXBT 的做法属实为 ETH 的社区情绪再次火上浇油。更为戏剧性的是,在随后的回复中 AIXBT 竞又否认了自己的言行,并表示「50% 的跌幅不算什么」。而在这背后,AIXBT 作为社区情绪的一面照妖镜也受到了许多人的广泛关注。

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AIXBT 本身并非独立于网络的参与者,它可以从多个来源和 400+ 个 KOL 中抓取数据并吐出实时信息源。而这样的言论在几个月前似乎是难以想象的。作为 Agent 生态最具影响力的 KOL,这样的表现也为其启动了巨大的价值飞轮,并推动其市值快速上升。(但其也在一段时间内经历了 60% 以上的跌幅,可以说 AIXBT 对自我的认知也比较准确)

而从这个角度上看,AIXBT 的声明不仅仅是个人言论,而是某些市场参与者对以太坊现状失望的缩影。尤其是在以太坊价格波动较大的时候,因 AIXBT 的算法依赖社交数据而非链上技术指标,在动荡市场中易放大片面信息,可能加剧市场的恐慌情绪。例如,在之前的操作中,其曾直接对某些收购传闻进行扩大化传播,导致投资者跟风交易和社区波动。

而 AIXBT 对这些争议性话题的频繁讨论和传播,实质上为市场提供了「负面叙事模板」。当以太坊价格波动时,此类言论会迅速被算法扩散,乃至可能形成「价格下跌→负面分析→恐慌抛售」的恶性循环。但无论如何,连 Base 链上的 AI Agent 都在倒戈,以太坊的民怨似乎已经到达了一定的高度。

在这一背景之下,以太坊近期价格持续低迷可能是这一事件的导火索。截至 2025 年 1 月 19 日,其价格与熊市时期似乎无甚变化,并远低于比特币等主流币种。

而以太坊基金会也在去年的 1-9 月内累计抛售 3066 枚 ETH,引发社区对「内部人士信心不足」的质疑。另外,AI Agent 在区块链中的应用主要体现在自动化交易、智能合约优化和网络资源管理等方面。一些观点认为,以太坊的高延迟和高费用导致 AI Agent 的效率受损,难以满足日益复杂的应用需求。

诚然,以太坊确实面临诸多挑战,包括技术瓶颈、竞争压力和市场波动。然而,其作为区块链领域的先驱者,拥有深厚的开发者基础和丰富的生态系统,加上正在进行的技术升级和创新,未来仍具有广阔的发展空间。是否真如某些人所说「以太坊已死」,还需时间进一步验证。

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