LTC涨超15%,ETF上市几率飙升至90%,未来几个月或迎大行情!

CoindeskPublished on 2025-02-11Last updated on 2026-07-07

Abstract

莱特币 ETF 获得批准的可能性为 90%,狗狗币 ETF 获得批准的可能性为 75%。

备受关注的 ETF 分析师詹姆斯·塞法特 (James Seyffart) 在周一晚些时候的 X 帖子中表示,未来几个月内莱特币 (LTC) 交易所交易基金 (ETF) 上市的几率跃升至 90% 以上,而狗狗币 (DOGE) 上市的几率为 75%。

在 2024 年比特币 (BTC) ETF 产品上线之前,Seyffart 也做出了类似的预测。在拜登政府执政的过去一年中,多家提供商已为各种主要代币提交了 ETF,但美国证券交易委员会 (SEC) 的关注度较低。

LTC 在过去 24 小时内上涨了 15%,超过比特币 (BTC) 2% 的涨幅,DOGE 上涨了 6%。

然而,不断变化的监管环境提振了获得批准的希望,美国证券交易委员会 (SEC) 在过去几周已经通过了对某些代币的初步检查。

“我们全面给出了相对较高的批准几率。目前主要关注莱特币、Solana、XRP 和狗狗币,”彭博情报的 Seyffart 表示。“这些几率的重大影响/预期是申请将得到承认。XRP 和狗狗币很可能在本周获得批准。”

“如果民主党仍然掌权,这份名单上所有资产(除了莱特币)的胜算都非常非常低,”Seyffart 补充道。正如 CoinDesk之前报道的那样,如果投资者以与比特币 ETF 相同的速度采用莱特币 ETF,那么潜在的莱特币 ETF 可能会迎来高达 5.8 亿美元的资金流入。

最新消息:@EricBalchunas和我查看了现货加密货币 ETF 的申请。我们全面公布了相对较高的获批几率。目前主要关注莱特币、Solana、XRP 和狗狗币。

以下是包含几率和其他一些详细信息的表格:pic.twitter.com/xaXaNXLb0M

- James Seyffart (@JSeyff) 2025 年 2 月 10 日

截至周二,分析师给出的 XRP 和 SOL 产品的赔率低于 70%。XRP 产品的阻力来自美国证券交易委员会 (SEC) 针对相关公司 Ripple Labs 的案件可能上诉,该案件现已解决。

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