分析师–以太坊下跌趋势即将结束的两个原因

币界网Published on 2024-08-20Last updated on 2024-08-21

币界网报道:
    以太坊显示出复苏的迹象,尽管在谨慎的市场情绪下仍低于此前的高点。以太坊交易所资金外流的增加表明了投资者的信心,可能预示着未来的看涨趋势。

以太坊[ETH]是市值第二大的加密货币,最近价格略有回升,在撰写本文时交易价格为2661美元。

这比过去一天增长了1.6%。

在此之前,以太坊一直在下跌,上周达到2545美元的低点。

尽管最近有所上涨,但以太坊的价格仍远低于3月份的高点4070美元,仍比三年前创下的4878美元的历史高点下跌了约45%。

当前的市场状况引发了人们对以太坊是否即将实现更持续复苏的质疑,或者最近的价格走势是否只是暂时的调整。

因此,CryptoQuant分析师Burak Kesmeci表示,以太坊可能处于修正的后期阶段,并引用了链上指标,表明市场情绪可能发生转变。

市场情绪

在最近的分析中,Burak Kesmeci强调了两个关键数据集,这表明以太坊即将结束其修正阶段。

第一个是Taker Buy-Sell Ratio,它衡量所有交易所的买家与卖家的比例。

Kesmeci表示,这一比例已经转为正值,表明买家开始恢复实力。

买卖动态的这种转变可能是潜在反弹的早期迹象,特别是如果这一趋势持续到下周。

第二个指标是未平仓合约(OI),它代表市场上未平仓多头和空头头寸的总数。

正如Kesmeci指出的那样,2024年6月,当以太坊的价格达到3800美元时,OI创下了超过130亿美元的历史新高,这表明市场即将进行调整。

这一调整于2024年8月5日实现,当时一场宏观经济事件导致OI暴跌至70亿美元。

Kesmeci指出,为了使以太坊的价格大幅上涨,杠杆玩家需要重新进入市场,这可能会推动新一轮的购买活动。

以太坊准备好反弹了吗?

虽然Kesmeci强调的这些指标提供了一个有前景的前景,但更广泛的市场在ETH的24小时复苏中首当其冲。

在此期间,共有43521名交易员被清算,清算金额达1.1152亿美元。以太坊占这些清算的2663万美元,其中大部分是多头头寸。

这表明,尽管一些交易员持乐观态度,但市场仍然不稳定,杠杆头寸继续带来重大风险。

除了链上指标外,另一个需要考虑的关键因素是以太坊退出交易所。

CryptoQuant的数据显示,过去一周以太坊交易所流出量持续增加。

8月14日,超过60万ETH离开交易所,8月19日约有507000 ETH离开。截至今天,已有近20万ETH从交易所撤出。

交易所外流的增加通常表明投资者正在将其持有的以太坊转移到长期存储中,从而减少了交易所交易的供应。

这种行为通常表明投资者的前景乐观,因为他们预计未来价格会上涨。

交易所供应的减少,加上持续的需求,可能会对以太坊的价格造成上行压力。


阅读以太坊的[ETH]价格预测2024-2025


然而,这一趋势是否会导致大幅反弹,或者当前的市场状况是否会继续挑战以太坊的复苏,还有待观察。

Kesmeci在帖子结束时说:,

“目前的数据显示,以太坊的买家正在逐渐恢复实力。然而,时间会证明这是暂时的反弹,还是多头引领的强劲反弹的开始。”

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