美联储将举行年内第五次议息会议

币界网Published on 2024-07-30Last updated on 2024-07-30

币界网报道：

7月30号到31号美联储将举行年内第五次议息会议，这次意义非凡

全世界各国都在屏着呯吸盯着美联储此次议息会议是否会宣布降息，包括美国CNN与美联社在内的等世界顶级预测机构都从以下三大原因一致预测美联储这次议息会议宣布降息是大概率事件。

第一、是美国那六月份CPI创下了自2021年三月份以来的新低，降到了3%，这足以表明美国内的通胀已经控制住

第二、是欧洲银行六月份宣布了降息,利率降至4.25%，如果美联储还是维持5.25%到5.5%的基准利率的话，欧洲各国的资金都会流进美国赚取利率差，光凭支付利息这一项足可以让美国自己喝一壶。

第三、是美国经济增长明显放缓了，今年第一季度美国实际GDP按年利率计算仅仅涨了1.3%，因为5.5%的利率太高了，美国内企业与百姓都不敢贷款投资或消费，严重拖住了美国内经济发展后腿.

综合以上所述，美联储这次议息会议宣布降息的概率很大，或者只是时间上的问题而已，估计在八月份或九月份中旬。

那么如果美联储此次按这些顶级预测机构那般宣布降息的话，对我们都有哪些影响呢?

第一个毫无疑问就是汇率，美元降息，人民币对美元就会升值。股票、债券、房产等人民币资产同时也会随之升值。

再者就是进出口，美元降息对我们进口有明显的好处，因为进口商品便宜了,但对出口有利有弊。经济将会逐步恢复，这有利于我们出口，但人民币升值了，我们出口的竞争力会下降。对于国内那些有美债的企业，因美元降息后货币贬值，还债压力会随之减轻

最后对我们国内的股市或银行及国内的投资和消费都有很明显利好因素。当美元降息后，很多资金会从美国银行流入全球各国的股市。同时，我们也有了再次降息的空间，国内银行就能减少存款，增加贷款，可以通过货币政策刺激消费，治理通胀，从而减缓通缩的压力。

最后是美元降息后人民币资产升值就会吸引外资援助，这对于国内那些成长型的科技企业将是一大利好。

最重要的是利好btc，增加市场流动性，btc会水涨船高

总之是好事

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