Algorithmic Stablecoins – A Dollar Copycat?

Bitcoinist發佈於 2022-04-25更新於 2022-04-25

文章摘要

Are algorithmic stablecoins trying to clone the intrinsic qualities of fiat money or dollar; like security? The recent craze over...

Are algorithmic stablecoins trying to clone the intrinsic qualities of fiat money or dollar; like security?
The recent craze over algorithmic stablecoins has stirred mixed reactions from the crypto community. For crying out loud, it has been an emotional contagion for crypto enthusiasts everywhere.
So, is it overkill? Are algorithmic stablecoins too ambitious?
What Are Algorithmic Stablecoins?
Algorithmic stablecoins are seen to be an equalizer considering the limitations that both cryptocurrency and the dollar have. It is dubbed to be the new breed of cryptocurrency that primarily seeks to mimic the stability and security that the dollar has.
A quick look into stablecoins: The market for stablecoins has already grown significantly. Stablecoin supply reportedly increased by 493 percent from nearly $6 billion in early 2020 to  more than $35 billion in early 2021, according to reports.
Apparently, algorithmic stablecoins (will shift from the abbreviated “AS” to full term from here) are way too gutsy compared to conventional stablecoins. However, critics say the scenario is a ticking bomb.
AS use metric or price stabilization algorithms in dictating the value of assets, typically set at $1.
When the value of AS, the supply increases too. On the other hand, when its value drops, the supply follows the same downward trend.

From just $6 billion in early 2020, stablecoin supply has now ballooned to more than $35 billion in early 2021, according to reports. (Image: RSK Developers Portal)
The Superior Stablecoin
Algorithmic stablecoin supporters have this audacious claim to be superior compared to traditional stablecoins (TA). Unlike TA that are controlled by a main or central authority, AS are managed on a blockchain-based network manned and connected to the dollar by every single trader in the world.
Now, with this kind of setup, governments and financial entities do not have reign over AS. This explains the increased agitation with the talks concerning AS. 
While they’re popular in crypto communities around the world, the arrangement is causing disruptions especially within the traditional banking or financial sector.
Critics are firm that it’s impossible for AS to imitate the value and security of dollar because, unlike TA, it’s not backed by real-world assets.

Crypto total market cap at $1.81 trillion on the weekend chart | Source: TradingView.com
Value Depends On Demand
Basically, AS rely on algorithms to link their intrinsic value to fiat money or dollar. With that being said, there is a great deal of uncertainty and instability with the use of this type of stablecoin.
The value of every AS depends on the market or trading behavior. Its stability in terms of value is unreliable. AS thrive on demand. When the demand dies down, its value depreciates as well.
Algorithmic stablecoins is likened to Pandora’s Box – unwrapping one can be lethal but it could be possible that everyone is just overreacting (or threatened) by the potential of an innovative AS.

你可能也喜歡

研报解读:MRVL 光学 AI 迎来爆发,为何高估值让大摩明星分析师选择按兵不动?

摩根士丹利分析师Joseph Moore于5月28日更新了对迈威尔(MRVL)的研报。尽管公司季报创纪录并大幅上调全年展望,但Moore维持“等权重”(中性)评级,目标价从172美元上调至195美元,仍低于当时股价。 **核心观点**:分析师认可迈威尔的AI增长机会,但认为当前股价已充分反映预期。195美元目标价对应约40倍2027年预期市盈率。对比英伟达,两者股价接近,但英伟达的每股盈利预期是迈威尔的两倍多。Moore认为,迈威尔需同时兑现以下假设才能支撑当前估值:1)光互联业务持续放量;2)定制AI芯片顺利大规模出货;3)存储及企业业务复苏。 **业务分析**: - **光互联**(高速增长):受益于AI集群数据传输需求,预计未来几个季度光模块产品线年化营收将达10亿美元,是当前最确定的增长点。 - **定制AI芯片**(正在爬坡):为云厂商设计专用芯片,新大客户预计2028财年量产,但今年收入尚不明朗。 - **传统业务**:存储、企业数据中心等板块仍处于去库存阶段,短期缺乏复苏动力。 **关键监测信号**:光模块营收能否如期达到10亿美元年化水平;新客户定制芯片项目能否在2028财年量产;传统业务何时复苏。若任何一环不及预期,当前高估值可能面临压力。 (本文为对第三方研报的解读,不构成投资建议。)

marsbit2 分鐘前

研报解读:MRVL 光学 AI 迎来爆发,为何高估值让大摩明星分析师选择按兵不动?

marsbit2 分鐘前

Kraken面向美国专业交易者推出CFTC监管的永续期货

Kraken交易所宣布,通过整合Bitnomial,为美国符合条件的机构和专业客户推出受美国商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)监管的永续期货合约。该产品已在Kraken Pro上线,由CFTC注册的期货佣金商NinjaTrader Clearing提供经纪和清算服务,支持BTC、ETH等多种主流加密资产,并采用八小时资金费率机制。 永续期货是加密货币市场的主流衍生品,允许杠杆交易且无固定到期日。此前这类交易多集中于离岸平台。Kraken此举并非创造新产品,而是将已有的加密原生市场结构引入受监管的美国合规场所,为专业交易者提供了在离岸流动性和本土监管合规性之间的新选择。 需要明确的是,此次发布并非面向大众零售客户,仅限于合格的专业投资者。对Kraken而言,这是构建更完整美国衍生品体系的一部分;对整个市场而言,它标志着永续期货开始正式进入美国受监管的领域。 然而,离岸平台目前仍占据交易量主导。该产品能否成功,关键在于其能否在点差、资金效率、保证金规则和执行质量上提供有竞争力的流动性,从而吸引专业交易者。如果能够实现,可能促使部分交易活动回归岸内;反之,其意义将更多停留在象征层面。市场后续应关注官方确认、初期反响是否持续,以及该发展是否会对流动性格局、监管或风险管理产生持久影响。

bitcoinist53 分鐘前

Kraken面向美国专业交易者推出CFTC监管的永续期货

bitcoinist53 分鐘前

世界杯预测市场巨鲸大揭秘:聪明钱在绿茵场失手,“买否”跑赢“买是”

本文基于Polymarket预测市场世界杯20场小组赛的大额交易数据(单笔超5000美元),分析了“聪明钱”的表现。数据显示,赛前大额买入总额约8954.57万美元,最终买对金额为4345.04万美元,金额加权命中率仅为48.5%。若持仓至结算,整体估算亏损约175.94万美元,ROI为-2.0%。这表明大额资金并未准确预测所有赛果。 平局是主要风险,在8场平局中,押注热门获胜的资金损失惨重。例如比利时对埃及的比赛吸引了最高赛前买入资金(1238.55万美元),但因1-1平局,命中率仅5.4%。然而,在实力差距明显的比赛中(如德国大胜),市场共识有效,命中率可达90%以上。 从交易策略看,买入“否”份额(即押注热门结果不发生)的整体表现(金额命中率62.4%)显著优于买入“是”份额(37.5%)。这反映了市场对热门结果的定价可能过高。典型案例中,有交易者通过押注“伊朗不胜”在一场平局中估算盈利超670万美元。 个别交易者呈现高波动盈亏:有账户单笔盈利超670万,也有账户因单笔押注错误估算亏损超800万美元。值得持续追踪的是那些覆盖多场比赛、表现连续的钱包,而非单场豪赌的“巨鲸”。 总之,预测市场更像反映群体情绪与定价偏差的镜子,而非预知未来的水晶球。在足球比赛的不确定性面前,所谓“聪明钱”的智慧在于识别并利用市场的错误定价,同时对风险保持敬畏。

marsbit1 小時前

世界杯预测市场巨鲸大揭秘:聪明钱在绿茵场失手,“买否”跑赢“买是”

marsbit1 小時前

交易

現貨
合約
活动图片