CFTC issues second warning to prediction markets on cookie-cutter self-certifications

cointelegraphPublished on 2026-07-27Last updated on 2026-07-27

Abstract

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has issued a second warning this year to prediction markets operators regarding their contract self-certification practices. The advisory clarifies that while operators can still self-certify event contracts as compliant without prior CFTC approval, they must provide proper documentation. The CFTC specifically cautioned against submitting broad, template-style certifications that lack the required terms, conditions, and compliance analysis for each contract variation. This warning follows a similar one issued in March. The guidance comes just ahead of a comment deadline for proposed CFTC rule amendments. These amendments aim to establish a clearer framework for determining if certain event contracts, such as those involving terrorism or gaming, are contrary to the public interest. If adopted, the new rules would significantly reshape the regulatory landscape for prediction markets.

For the second time this year, the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) issued a warning to prediction markets operators to follow the rules when creating contract certifications that operators consider cover a broad swath of events contracts.

The CFTC, which claims to be the primary regulator of prediction markets, on Friday issued an advisory clarifying that, notwithstanding ongoing policy discussions and proposed rulemaking concerning prediction markets, the markets retain the ability to certify event contracts as compliant with the Commodity Exchange Act and CFTC regulations without prior commission approval, subject to the statutory framework governing self-certification.

The agency on Friday warned about the number of instances of events contracts that are “self-certified” by the platforms under the agency’s jurisdiction “without supplying the terms and conditions of each proposed permutation and a concise explanation and analysis with respect to the product’s terms and conditions, the underlying commodity, and the product’s compliance.”

“The guidance reiterates that broad, template-style certifications should not be submitted,” the CFTC said in its Friday announcement. The regulator issued a similar warning about overly generalized submissions on March 12.

The advisory was issued just days ahead of the CFTC’s Monday deadline to submit comments on its proposed rule amendments governing public interest determinations for certain event contracts involving the Commodity Exchange Act’s enumerated activities.

The CFTC has proposed amendments to clarify how it determines whether certain event contracts are contrary to the public interest, establishing a three-step analytical framework for evaluation.

This framework will help assess contracts based on their involvement in activities like terrorism, assassination, or gaming, ensuring that only appropriate contracts are listed for trading.

The proposed rule, if adopted, would fundamentally reshape aspects of the regulatory landscape for prediction markets, law firm Ropes & Gray said in June.

Trending Cryptos

Related Questions

QWhat is the main warning issued by the CFTC to prediction market operators?

AThe CFTC warned operators against submitting broad, template-style or 'cookie-cutter' self-certifications for event contracts, and to instead provide proper terms, conditions, and compliance analysis for each contract variant.

QHow does the CFTC describe its regulatory role concerning prediction markets?

AThe CFTC claims to be the primary regulator of prediction markets in the United States.

QWhat did the CFTC propose to clarify regarding event contracts and the public interest?

AThe CFTC proposed amendments to clarify how it determines if certain event contracts are contrary to the public interest, establishing a three-step analytical framework for evaluation based on activities like terrorism, assassination, or gaming.

QWhen was the deadline for comments on the CFTC's proposed rule amendments?

AThe deadline for submitting comments on the CFTC's proposed rule amendments was the Monday following the Friday advisory (specifically, the Monday after the article's publication).

QAccording to law firm Ropes & Gray, what would be the impact of the proposed CFTC rule if adopted?

AAccording to Ropes & Gray, the proposed rule, if adopted, would fundamentally reshape aspects of the regulatory landscape for prediction markets.

Related Reads

Cardano Price Forecast for August 2026: Will ADA Triangle Breakout Happen Before or After the CLARITY Act Deadline?

Cardano (ADA) is trading at $0.1642, testing the apex of a symmetrical triangle pattern on the daily chart, which signals an impending directional move. Technical analysis identifies key resistance at the 20-day EMA ($0.1650) and the triangle's upper trendline. A breakout above could target the 50-day EMA at $0.1732, with a cup-and-handle pattern potentially forming. Support lies at the SuperTrend indicator ($0.1536) and the June low of $0.1386. Historically, August has been a weak month for ADA, with a median return of -12.8%. A weekly forecast outlines a volatile month influenced by the imminent August 8th deadline for the U.S. CLARITY Act vote, potential SEC regulatory action, and renewed geopolitical tensions following Iran's missile strike. Key bullish catalysts include the potential passage of the CLARITY Act and a major upgrade integrating Cardano's developer documentation and tools into AI coding assistants like Claude, which could significantly boost developer adoption. On-chain data also shows whale accumulation, a potential Wyckoff accumulation signal. The price forecast presents two scenarios: a bullish breakout above $0.1650 targeting $0.17-$0.1732 if the CLARITY Act passes and AI integration fuels momentum, or a bearish break below $0.1536 toward $0.1386 if the bill fails, seasonal weakness persists, and risk appetite diminishes.

cryptonews.ru14m ago

Cardano Price Forecast for August 2026: Will ADA Triangle Breakout Happen Before or After the CLARITY Act Deadline?

cryptonews.ru14m ago

Coinbase Vice President: The Wars Over Cryptocurrency Regulation Are Over

Coinbase's new Vice President, Ryan VanGrak, declared that regulatory wars in the cryptocurrency sector are over. Since taking office on July 9, 2026, he has shifted the company's approach from litigation and sanctions to focusing on growth and innovation. The industry can now concentrate on development rather than fighting for its right to exist. He highlighted that the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act (CLARITY Act), which aims to establish a clear federal regulatory framework dividing oversight between the SEC and CFTC, has gained significant momentum. This framework is intended to provide proper supervision, investor protection, and maintain U.S. leadership in digital assets. VanGrak's appointment marks a strategic shift from a "wartime" to a "peacetime" advisor, replacing former Chief Legal Officer Paul Grewal, who oversaw major litigation, including a dismissed 2023 SEC lawsuit. With his background at Citadel Securities and the SEC, VanGrak brings deep regulatory and institutional finance expertise as Coinbase expands beyond a simple exchange into a broader financial services provider, offering stocks, futures, prediction markets, and AI tools. For investors, bipartisan support for crypto legislation like the CLARITY Act represents a major shift from the enforcement-focused environment of 2023-2024. Lawmakers are now focused on *how* to regulate crypto, not *if* it should exist. However, risks remain, as the bill's passage is not yet guaranteed.

cryptonews.ru1h ago

Coinbase Vice President: The Wars Over Cryptocurrency Regulation Are Over

cryptonews.ru1h ago

Deep Dive into FWA: An Intriguing Experiment Turning NFTs into "On-Chain Gachapon"

A Deep Dive into FWA: The “On-Chain Gacha” Experiment for NFTs Fake World Assets (FWA), created by TokenWorks, introduces an innovative “NFT gacha machine” fully operating on-chain. Users can deposit eligible NFTs paired with ETH (called Backing) to create a Position, acting as a prize pool. Others can then pay a uniform Acquisition Price for a chance to win a random NFT from the pool. The core mechanism features a reverse probability system: Positions with lower Backing have a higher chance of being selected, serving as common prizes, while high-Backing Positions are rare “jackpots.” The acquisition price is calculated based on the harmonic mean of all Backings, keeping entry costs low. When a Position is won, the purchaser must choose: keep the NFT or accept the Standing Bid (85% of the Backing, claimable in ETH or $FWA tokens), returning the NFT to the original depositor. The protocol involves two main roles. Depositors provide liquidity (NFT + ETH), earning a share of fees from each draw, distributed equally per active Position, plus potential $FWA rewards. Purchasers pay to spin the gacha, receiving $FWA rewards for participation. A special “Crown” reward goes to the Position with the highest Backing. The $FWA token has a fixed supply and is initially obtainable only through protocol participation (depositing or purchasing), with external buying disabled early on to reduce sell pressure. Its value is supported by a built-in buy pressure: when purchasers opt for the $FWA settlement on a Standing Bid, the protocol uses the backing ETH to buy $FWA from the market. Revenue for the protocol comes from a 1% fee on each draw, a 1% settlement fee when an NFT is kept, and the 15% discount from Standing Bid settlements (currently allocated to the protocol). The design cleverly blends Uniswap-style liquidity provision, gacha mechanics, and tokenomics to create a novel, self-regulating marketplace for NFT liquidity and engagement.

marsbit1h ago

Deep Dive into FWA: An Intriguing Experiment Turning NFTs into "On-Chain Gachapon"

marsbit1h ago

Trading

Spot

Hot Articles

How to Buy COOKIE

Welcome to HTX.com! We've made purchasing Cookie DAO (COOKIE) simple and convenient. Follow our step-by-step guide to embark on your crypto journey.Step 1: Create Your HTX AccountUse your email or phone number to sign up for a free account on HTX. Experience a hassle-free registration journey and unlock all features.Get My AccountStep 2: Go to Buy Crypto and Choose Your Payment MethodCredit/Debit Card: Use your Visa or Mastercard to buy Cookie DAO (COOKIE) instantly.Balance: Use funds from your HTX account balance to trade seamlessly.Third Parties: We've added popular payment methods such as Google Pay and Apple Pay to enhance convenience.P2P: Trade directly with other users on HTX.Over-the-Counter (OTC): We offer tailor-made services and competitive exchange rates for traders.Step 3: Store Your Cookie DAO (COOKIE)After purchasing your Cookie DAO (COOKIE), store it in your HTX account. Alternatively, you can send it elsewhere via blockchain transfer or use it to trade other cryptocurrencies.Step 4: Trade Cookie DAO (COOKIE)Easily trade Cookie DAO (COOKIE) on HTX's spot market. Simply access your account, select your trading pair, execute your trades, and monitor in real-time. We offer a user-friendly experience for both beginners and seasoned traders.

3.9k Total ViewsPublished 2025.07.23Updated 2026.06.02

How to Buy COOKIE

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of COOKIE (COOKIE) are presented below.

活动图片