# Gold Articoli collegati

Il Centro Notizie HTX fornisce gli articoli più recenti e le analisi più approfondite su "Gold", coprendo tendenze di mercato, aggiornamenti sui progetti, sviluppi tecnologici e politiche normative nel settore crypto.

Weekly Editor's Picks (0404-0410)

Weekly Editor's Picks (0404-0410) provides in-depth analysis on key trends often missed in fast-moving news cycles. Key themes include: - **Macro & Geopolitics**: Analysis of Trump's threat-based economic strategy suggests a pattern of pressure and negotiation impacting markets. The energy crisis is deepening, with oil potentially reaching $120–150 due to structural shifts, not temporary disruption. The situation in the Hormuz Strait is a complex blend of military action and commercial diplomacy. - **Investing & Markets**: Q2 is expected to be volatile, with alpha opportunities in AI infrastructure, resources, and aerospace. Gold may hit new highs, potentially reaching $6000. A warning is issued about seemingly profitable but high-risk arbitrage strategies in crypto oil perpetuals. - **Crypto & DeFi**: Bear market strategies profiting from spreads and fees are highlighted. Analysis suggests the crypto market cap could fall another 30%. The platform Hyperliquid is noted for growing weekend crude trading but faces hurdles with institutional adoption. - **Other Highlights**: Meme coin trading is described as a highly competitive, youth-dominated game. Anthropic is reported to have developed a powerful AI model (Mythos) but is delaying its release over security concerns. The column also covers airdrop guides and recent controversies in prediction markets. The weekly hotlist supplements with key news: a US-Iran ceasefire and its market impact, potential Bitcoin oil fees, stablecoin developments in Hong Kong, and updates from institutions like Bitwise, Polymarket, and SpaceX.

marsbit04/11 03:48

Weekly Editor's Picks (0404-0410)

marsbit04/11 03:48

Gold Returns to $4800, Where Is This Year's Peak?

Gold has rebounded above $4,800 per ounce amid easing U.S.-Iran tensions after six weeks of conflict. This article explores gold's potential peak in 2026, citing predictions from platforms like Polymarket, where some traders bet on prices exceeding $6,000 by year-end. Key drivers include sustained central bank purchases (notably China’s 17-month buying streak), institutional demand from entities like Tether (now a top-30 global gold holder), and retail investment, particularly in Asia. While short-term volatility persists, analysts from UBS and Goldman Sachs project gold could reach $5,200-$5,400 by mid-year and $5,900-$6,300 longer-term, supported by geopolitical uncertainty, dollar weakening, and gold’s role as a hedge in a shifting global monetary system. The outlook remains bullish despite periodic corrections.

Odaily星球日报04/09 10:41

Gold Returns to $4800, Where Is This Year's Peak?

Odaily星球日报04/09 10:41

All about Peter Schiff’s latest jab at Bitcoin, Strategy, and Michael Saylor

Peter Schiff, a prominent Bitcoin critic, renewed his attacks on BTC and Michael Saylor's strategy, predicting a 92% decline to $10,000 by 2026. He dismissed Bitcoin’s value compared to traditional assets like gold and silver. His comments followed MicroStrategy’s Q1 2026 report of $14.5 billion in unrealized losses as Bitcoin fell 23%, its worst quarterly start since 2018. Despite this, MicroStrategy purchased 89,602 BTC, increasing its holdings to 766,970 BTC. On-chain metrics, including the Bitcoin SOPR hovering near 1 and a negative MVRV ratio, suggest the market is at breakeven and may be entering an accumulation phase, potentially indicating a trend reversal.

ambcrypto04/09 04:36

All about Peter Schiff’s latest jab at Bitcoin, Strategy, and Michael Saylor

ambcrypto04/09 04:36

Assembling the Most Accurate Gold Forecasters in History, Can We Crack the Future Price of Gold?

The article investigates whether compiling the most accurate historical predictions from top analysts, institutions, and influencers can unlock a reliable method for forecasting future gold prices. Using gold as a case study, it examines predictions from sources like the LBMA, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, prominent figures like Peter Schiff and Jim Rickards, and celebrated forecasters such as Nouriel Roubini and Ben McMillan. The findings reveal significant inconsistencies. Major institutions often exhibit "lagging predictions," adjusting forecasts too slowly to match rapid market moves—for instance, LBMA’s 2025 consensus underestimated the actual average price by 20%. Influencers like Schiff and Rickards persistently advocate for higher long-term targets (e.g., $5,000 to $35,000) but their predictions lack precise timing, often requiring investors to endure prolonged periods of underperformance. Even "accurate" forecasters like Roubini and McMillan have mixed records, with notable misses alongside their successes, while Ray Dalio’s broad allocation advice (5-15% gold) proves more practical than specific price targets. The analysis notes eerie similarities between the 2011 gold peak—where extreme predictions clustered near the market top—and the 2026 crash, where many experts maintained bullish outlooks despite a 25% plunge. Current predictions for future prices vary wildly, from $5,400 to $35,000, highlighting a lack of consensus. The conclusion is that no consistently accurate predictor exists. The author argues that gold forecasting is inherently uncertain, dominated by occasional lucky calls rather than reliable expertise, and advocates for a diversified, long-term investment approach over chasing speculative forecasts.

marsbit04/07 10:16

Assembling the Most Accurate Gold Forecasters in History, Can We Crack the Future Price of Gold?

marsbit04/07 10:16

Iran greenlights crypto for Strait of Hormuz tolls – Is BTC ultimate war hedge?

Iran now accepts cryptocurrency payments for tolls from ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz, highlighting crypto's emerging role as a hedge during geopolitical turmoil and inflation. While Bitcoin saw a recent 4.06% price increase, it continues to underperform gold and struggles to break out against the U.S. dollar. Market data indicates Bitcoin is in a stabilization, not recovery, phase, remaining weaker compared to traditional assets like gold—which leads in market cap rankings—while Bitcoin ranks 12th. Despite this, Bitcoin dominance stands at 59.02%, and influential figures like Michael Saylor express strong confidence in its long-term value. Analysts suggest crypto markets will retain a geopolitical risk premium until there is clarity on conflict resolution.

ambcrypto04/07 00:02

Iran greenlights crypto for Strait of Hormuz tolls – Is BTC ultimate war hedge?

ambcrypto04/07 00:02

Bitcoin Signals Potential Bullish Reversal as Macro Tensions and Technical Indicators Align

Bitcoin surged 4.03% to $69,700 amid geopolitical tensions and technical bullish signals. Conflicting statements from the U.S. president regarding a potential Iran deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, alongside truce speculation, contributed to a 2.5% market-wide rally. On the weekly chart, Bitcoin reclaimed the 200-week EMA, while the MACD indicator suggests a potential reversal from recent declines. Analysts note historical parallels where similar MACD patterns preceded significant bull runs. Author Robert Kiyosaki also highlighted macroeconomic risks, including debt and inflation, while endorsing Bitcoin as a hedge.

TheNewsCrypto04/06 11:56

Bitcoin Signals Potential Bullish Reversal as Macro Tensions and Technical Indicators Align

TheNewsCrypto04/06 11:56

Why Robert Kiyosaki’s bullish Bitcoin thesis faces a crucial test this week

Robert Kiyosaki draws a historical parallel between the 2026 and 1974 cycles, when the U.S. dollar transitioned to a petrodollar. He argues that current macro pressures—rising oil prices, U.S. debt, inflation, and unemployment risks—strengthen the case for hard assets like Bitcoin and gold as hedges. This week is critical, with key data releases like the March CPI report likely to increase market volatility. Notably, capital flows are rotating from gold back into Bitcoin, a shift highlighted by Fidelity. This reversal, combined with ongoing liquidity injections by the Federal Reserve, may position Bitcoin for bullish price action. Kiyosaki’s thesis faces a test this week, as macro uncertainty could actually benefit BTC, making it a potential standout beneficiary in a volatile environment.

ambcrypto04/06 09:10

Why Robert Kiyosaki’s bullish Bitcoin thesis faces a crucial test this week

ambcrypto04/06 09:10

If We Gathered the Most Accurate Gold Forecasters in History, Could We Crack the Future Price of Gold?

The article investigates whether assembling the most historically accurate gold price forecasters could unlock future price movements. The author analyzes three groups: top Wall Street institutions (e.g., LBMA, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan), prominent gold bulls (e.g., Peter Schiff, Jim Rickards), and analysts famed for precise calls (e.g., Nouriel Roubini, Ben McMillan). The findings reveal significant flaws. Institutions consistently exhibit "lagging predictions," adjusting forecasts too slowly and underestimating bull market magnitudes. Pundits perpetually predict extreme price targets (e.g., $35,000) without precise timing, often being early or wrong. Even "prophetic" forecasters have mixed records; Roubini missed the entire 2009-2012 bull market, and Ray Dalio has a history of erroneous crisis predictions. The analysis notes that the current environment mirrors 2011, where extreme predictions clustered near the market top. Today, forecasts from the same experts range wildly from $5,400 to $35,000. The conclusion is that no consistently accurate forecaster exists. Predictions are often right by chance, not skill. The author ultimately rejects seeking a "wealth password" and instead advocates for a Dalio-inspired approach: avoiding precise price predictions, acknowledging uncertainty, and using portfolio allocation (e.g., 5-15% in gold) for long-term risk management.

marsbit04/03 10:26

If We Gathered the Most Accurate Gold Forecasters in History, Could We Crack the Future Price of Gold?

marsbit04/03 10:26

Has the Era of Global Central Banks 'Hoarding Gold' Come to an End?

The article questions whether the global central bank gold-buying spree, ongoing for 15 years, is ending. Citing a UBS report, it concludes that a structural shift to large-scale selling is highly unlikely. While the pace of purchases may slow to 800-850 tons in 2026 from 860 tons in 2025, central banks are expected to remain net buyers. The report challenges the narrative that recent sales, like Turkey's alleged sale of 50 tons, signal a trend. It argues Turkey's data is distorted by commercial bank positions and swaps, and its central bank uses gold for domestic liquidity management, not necessarily market speculation. Short-term price volatility is attributed to dollar strength and real interest rates, not central bank selling. The underlying logic for holding gold remains strong: over 60% of central banks follow a buy-and-hold strategy, with diversification being the primary motive. While short-term noise and price consolidation are expected, the medium-term outlook is bullish, with UBS forecasting an average 2026 price of $5000/oz and a year-end target of $5600/oz.

marsbit04/03 09:46

Has the Era of Global Central Banks 'Hoarding Gold' Come to an End?

marsbit04/03 09:46

Bitcoin Could Be Taiwan’s Lifeline In Conflict, Think Tank Suggests

A Bitcoin Policy Institute report suggests Taiwan should build a national Bitcoin reserve as a strategic hedge against a potential Chinese military blockade or invasion. The argument centers on Bitcoin’s ability to remain accessible and transferable if traditional assets like gold or U.S. dollar reserves are frozen or immobilized. While Taiwan’s central bank previously rejected the idea due to Bitcoin’s volatility and custody challenges, the report warns that over 80% of Taiwan’s reserves are in dollar-denominated assets—exposing it to U.S. fiscal and monetary risks. Taiwan currently holds 210 seized Bitcoin (worth ~$14M), which would rank it seventh globally if recognized as a reserve asset. The central bank continues testing digital assets in a sandbox program but has not changed its official stance.

bitcoinist04/03 06:02

Bitcoin Could Be Taiwan’s Lifeline In Conflict, Think Tank Suggests

bitcoinist04/03 06:02

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