# AGI Articoli collegati

Il Centro Notizie HTX fornisce gli articoli più recenti e le analisi più approfondite su "AGI", coprendo tendenze di mercato, aggiornamenti sui progetti, sviluppi tecnologici e politiche normative nel settore crypto.

Zhipu, Afraid of Becoming the Next MiniMax

Title: Zhipu, Fearing to Become the Next MiniMax In July 2026, amid the success of its coding-focused AI, Zhipu's founder, Tang Jie, issued an internal letter titled "The Giant Wave Has Come." It notably avoided celebrating recent triumphs, such as Zhipu's trillion-HKD market cap and booming MaaS revenue driven by its GLM-5.2 model in coding applications. Instead, the letter pivoted the narrative to future-oriented concepts like Long Horizon Task, Autonomous Agents, Self-Evolving systems, and AGI. This strategic shift in messaging followed the sharp devaluation of its competitor, MiniMax. After its lock-up period expired, MiniMax's stock plummeted as the market began evaluating it with traditional SaaS metrics like ARR and user growth, rather than as a frontier AI pioneer. Seeing this, Tang Jie aimed to preempt a similar revaluation of Zhipu. He fears that if the market starts viewing Zhipu primarily as a profitable "AI coding company," its valuation would become anchored to conventional financial metrics, losing the premium associated with AGI potential. Therefore, the letter reframed Zhipu's mission. While acknowledging that coding was the current commercial driver, Tang positioned Zhipu on the "infrastructure path," akin to OpenAI and Anthropic. The new focus is on developing agents capable of complex, long-term planning and autonomous operation—moving from assisting individuals (OPC: One Person Company) to automating entire organizations (NPC: No People Company). This "Touch High" plan explicitly prioritizes long-term AGI research over short-term monetization. The article frames this as a critical divergence in China's AI landscape: the "commercialization path" (exemplified by MiniMax) versus the "infrastructure path" (chosen by Zhipu). The former risks being judged harshly by internet-era metrics once growth slows, while the latter risks failing if technological breakthroughs stall. Tang Jie's letter is thus a calculated move to secure Zhipu's identity as an AGI contender, buying time before the inevitable market demand for commercial proof. The core question remains: can Zhipu's "mo gao" (reach high) plan achieve genuine technological leaps fast enough to outpace the market's diminishing patience for stories over substance?

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Zhipu, Afraid of Becoming the Next MiniMax

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Weng Li's New Blog Proposes 'Self-Evolution Should Start from Harness', DeepSeek's Cui Tianyi Endorses with Repost

Lilian Weng, former OpenAI security VP and co-founder of Thinking Machines Lab, has published a new blog post titled "Harness Engineering for Self-Improvement," proposing a pragmatic path for AI self-evolution. She argues that Recursive Self-Improvement (RSI) may practically begin at the "Harness" layer—the external runtime system governing how models use tools, manage context, and execute tasks—rather than directly from the model rewriting its own weights. The blog outlines a progression from optimizing prompts (Context Engineering) to designing workflows, and ultimately to Self-Improving Harness systems. These systems can identify their own weaknesses, propose targeted, verifiable modifications to the harness code, and validate improvements. Works like Self-Harness and Darwin Gödel Machine (DGM) demonstrate significant performance gains on benchmarks like SWE-bench through such automated harness evolution, rivaling handcrafted agents. DeepSeek researcher Tianyi Cui endorsed the view, noting harness-based self-evolution is as promising as model-based approaches. Weng emphasizes this is complementary to model training, with both reinforcing each other. However, key challenges remain: weak evaluators for subjective tasks, reward hacking, diversity collapse, managing long-term system health versus short-term success, and defining the human oversight role. The consensus is growing: the harness is a critical variable, as the same model can exhibit vastly different capabilities within different harness systems.

marsbit07/08 10:25

Weng Li's New Blog Proposes 'Self-Evolution Should Start from Harness', DeepSeek's Cui Tianyi Endorses with Repost

marsbit07/08 10:25

Just Now, OpenAI's Chief Futurist Departed, Once Called a Jackass by Musk

Just now, OpenAI's Chief Futurist, Joshua Achiam, announced his departure from the company via X. Having joined as a 25-year-old intern in 2017, he spent nine years at OpenAI, evolving from an AI safety research scientist to leading the Mission Alignment team. Earlier this year, that team was dissolved, and Achiam transitioned to the newly created role of Chief Futurist, positioned at the intersection of AI safety and policy to study AGI's long-term risks and opportunities. In his departure statement, Achiam called his time a "graduation," reflecting on the immense progress from AI that couldn't converse to systems solving scientific problems. He expressed optimism about a future of peace, prosperity, and possibility, closing with "To safe AGI." His tenure was notably marked by a 2018 incident where he publicly challenged Elon Musk—then still with OpenAI—on safety compromises if Musk pursued AGI at Tesla, leading Musk to call him a "jackass." This became an internal legend, with colleagues later giving him a trophy inscribed, "To safety, never stop being that jackass." Achiam's exit follows a pattern of prominent safety and alignment experts leaving OpenAI, including Jan Leike and others who joined rivals like Anthropic or started non-profits. His departure coincides with OpenAI's internal efforts to more tightly integrate its research and policy teams, and the recent hiring of former White House AI advisor Dean Ball. Achiam did not cite a specific reason for leaving but indicated it was a long-considered decision, stating the mission to ensure AGI benefits humanity can now be advanced beyond the "frontier lab's" walls.

marsbit07/08 04:00

Just Now, OpenAI's Chief Futurist Departed, Once Called a Jackass by Musk

marsbit07/08 04:00

OpenAI's Misfire, Scaling Law's Original Paper Reveals Bug, Trillions of Compute Power Wasted in Vain

Recent revelations by a former OpenAI researcher, Diogo Almeida, and subsequent discussion highlighted by DeepMind's Sander Dieleman suggest a critical bug in OpenAI's seminal 2020 "Scaling Laws" paper. The analysis claims the original research contained a flawed experimental setup, leading to a misinterpretation of how to optimally scale large language models (LLMs). The core issue involves two key methodological choices in the OpenAI paper: first, training all models (small and large) on the same fixed dataset size (~130 billion tokens), which underfed larger models; and second, using a cosine learning rate decay that prematurely flattened loss curves, creating the false impression that models had reached performance saturation with more data. This combination allegedly biased the conclusion that, for a fixed compute budget, scaling model parameters was vastly more important than scaling training data—a principle that drove the creation of "over-parameterized, under-trained" models like GPT-3. This was later corrected by DeepMind's 2022 Chinchilla paper, which advocated for a more balanced scaling of parameters and data. Further scrutiny revealed that even the Chinchilla analysis itself had an optimization bug. The critique extends beyond the bug, questioning whether current scaling laws are inherently biased, as they are primarily derived from English data, a morphologically poor language that may be inefficient to learn compared to others like French. The implication is that the AI industry may have wasted significant computational resources and years of effort following an erroneous scaling principle, potentially delaying more efficient model development.

marsbit07/05 23:58

OpenAI's Misfire, Scaling Law's Original Paper Reveals Bug, Trillions of Compute Power Wasted in Vain

marsbit07/05 23:58

Hinton Praises, Gemini Core Contributor Speaks: In the Future, There Will Be Billions of Superhuman AI Einsteins

In his speech "Training Sand to Think: Artificial General Intelligence & Future of Physics," Adam Brown, a core contributor to Gemini, outlines the rapid and transformative evolution of AI. He describes how large language models (LLMs), grown rather than programmed through pre-training and fine-tuning, have progressed from performing poorly on high-school math tests to achieving gold-medal level at the International Mathematical Olympiad and recently making a genuine mathematical breakthrough by disproving a decades-old conjecture. Brown attributes this acceleration to the "Scaling Law," where predictable performance gains come from increasing compute, data, and model size. He draws parallels to the history of chess AI, predicting a similar trajectory for scientific research: moving from tools to "centaur" human-AI collaboration, and eventually to autonomous, superhuman "AI scientists." Even if progress halted today, AI already reshapes physics as a tireless tutor, powerful programming assistant, and exhaustive literature reviewer. However, Brown argues progress will continue due to immense economic runway and technical optimizations. He envisions a near-future golden age of human-AI collaboration in science, potentially leading to billions of replicated, superhuman AI researchers, making the coming years the most exciting in physics' history.

marsbit07/04 06:40

Hinton Praises, Gemini Core Contributor Speaks: In the Future, There Will Be Billions of Superhuman AI Einsteins

marsbit07/04 06:40

AGI Countdown: OpenAI's Chief Research Officer Makes Major Statement — The Window for Humanity is 'Very Small'

The countdown to AGI has begun, according to OpenAI's Chief Scientist Mark Chen, who states the window for human-centric progress is "very small." Chen argues that AI is reaching a point where models can perform "self-sustaining research," autonomously driving innovation in fields from mathematics to programming. He points to the proliferation of AI's "superhuman" insights—akin to AlphaGo's legendary "Move 37"—across disciplines as evidence of this shift. Chen firmly dismisses claims that scaling laws are plateauing or that pre-training is dead, asserting the field remains on an exponential curve. He cites OpenAI's successful bet on reasoning models like o1 as proof that fundamental breakthroughs are still possible. The future of research, he suggests, lies with "Vibe Researchers"—humans who provide high-level direction and "taste" while AI handles execution and orchestration of complex, long-horizon tasks. However, significant hurdles remain. Chen highlights a "benchmarking crisis," where models can overfit to existing tests without gaining true generalization. He also notes the "jagged frontier" of AI capabilities, where systems excel at advanced reasoning but struggle with contextual, continual learning from everyday experiences. Despite these challenges, he expresses confidence that these gaps will be closed. In a personal reflection, Chen shares that post-AGI, his wish is to open a noodle shop—a metaphor emphasizing that when AI masters knowledge and innovation, uniquely human experiences, warmth, and storytelling will become the ultimate form of value.

marsbit06/30 08:37

AGI Countdown: OpenAI's Chief Research Officer Makes Major Statement — The Window for Humanity is 'Very Small'

marsbit06/30 08:37

Introduction to the Concept of World Models: A Story from Psychology to the Main Battlefield of AI

**World Models: From Psychology to AI's Core Concept** "World model" is a trending but often confusing term in AI, describing a system that allows machines to internally simulate, predict, and rehearse potential outcomes before taking real-world action—like a mental "sandbox." While definitions vary—Yann LeCun emphasizes physical understanding, OpenAI's Sora is a video-based "world simulator," Google DeepMind's Genie 3 creates interactive 3D environments, and companies like Alibaba and Tesla focus on practical applications—the core goal is consistent: reduce reliance on vast real-world data by creating an internal, predictive model for safer and more efficient AI. The concept has deep roots, tracing back to psychologist Kenneth Craik (1943). In AI, it was revitalized by researchers like David Ha and Jürgen Schmidhuber (2018). Major technical approaches include: 1) generative video models (e.g., Sora) for visual realism; 2) abstract predictive models (e.g., LeCun's JEPA) for efficiency and physical reasoning; and 3) explicit 3D simulators (e.g., NVIDIA Omniverse) for precision. Fei-Fei Li proposes a classification based on the AI action loop: renderers (output observations), simulators (output world states), and planners (output actions). The emerging "World Action Model" (WAM) paradigm aims to unify future prediction and action generation. An industry framework is forming: upstream (data, compute, sensors), midstream (general and vertical platforms), and downstream applications (autonomous driving, robotics, gaming, etc.). Autonomous driving is currently the most mature use case. The current lack of a unified definition reflects the field's early, dynamic stage, similar to past tech revolutions. Different approaches—focusing on pixels, physics, or behavior—represent parallel explorations of how best to compress and understand the world. This diversity, while seemingly chaotic, signals that world models have moved from an academic idea to a critical industrial battleground, ultimately aiming to give machines the ability to understand, imagine, and reason about the world.

marsbit06/29 05:09

Introduction to the Concept of World Models: A Story from Psychology to the Main Battlefield of AI

marsbit06/29 05:09

Google's 'Reasoning King' Also Departs for Meta, Originally Recruited by Fei-Fei Li

"Google's 'King of Reasoning' Leaves for Meta, Quietly Departing After Over Eight Years. Denny Zhou, a key figure behind Google's AI reasoning advancements including work showcased by CEO Sundar Pichai, has joined Meta's MSL as a research scientist. His low-profile move, discovered via a LinkedIn update, occurred months before the high-profile departures of Noam Shazeer to OpenAI and Nobel laureate John Jumper to Anthropic. Zhou was originally recruited to Google by Fei-Fei Li's China center initiative after nearly 11 years at Microsoft. This is part of a significant talent drain at Google, with top researchers like Shazeer (co-author of the Transformer paper) and Jumper (AlphaFold lead) recently leaving for rivals. Reports suggest internal friction is a contributing factor, particularly around Google's strategic shift. The company has reportedly formed a high-priority 'AI Coding Strike Team,' involving co-founder Sergey Brin, to urgently bridge the gap in AI coding agents, potentially reallocating resources and focus away from other research directions like DeepMind's 'world model' AGI approach. This pivot towards commercially-proven coding applications may have influenced departures, as hinted by Shazeer's comment about his compute allocation being given to another team. Meanwhile, Meta continues to bolster its team, also recently hiring UC Berkeley professor and 'security godmother' Dawn Song, along with her startup Virtue AI team, as a VP of AI research."

marsbit06/26 13:39

Google's 'Reasoning King' Also Departs for Meta, Originally Recruited by Fei-Fei Li

marsbit06/26 13:39

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