Cardano теряет позиции, но инвесторы активно откупают ADA на падении

cryptonews.ruPubblicato 2025-10-14Pubblicato ultima volta 2025-10-14

На момент написания Cardano (ADA) потерял почти 20% за последние сутки, увеличив месячные потери до 26,2%. Обвал опустил ADA до самого низкого уровня за последние недели, но затем токен восстановился до $0,65

Восстановление поддержали киты и розничные трейдеры, которые увеличивают свои позиции на фоне снижения цен. Но смогут ли они преодолеть слабые технические сигналы и добиться настоящего восстановления?


Киты и розничные инвесторы укрепляют уверенность в ADA

Пока рынок паниковал, киты Cardano наращивали позиции. Данные Santiment показывают, что кошельки с балансом от 10 млн до 100 млн ADA увеличили запасы с 13,06 млрд 10 октября до 13,20 млрд на момент написания — прирост составил 0,14 млрд ADA, что эквивалентно примерно $89,6 млн по текущей цене $0,64.

Накопление началось незадолго до обвала и продолжается. Крупные инвесторы не продавали во время обвала — то есть, они ожидают стабильности или возможного восстановления.

Киты Cardano
Киты Cardano: Santiment

Индекс денежного потока (MFI), который показывает движение денег в актив и из него на основе цены и объема, подтверждает этот сценарий. MFI сформировал повышающийся минимум: это значит, что даже на фоне падения курса ADA инвесторы вкладывали средства в актив.

Это говорит о том, что розничные трейдеры присоединяются к крупным игрокам, усиливая покупательную активность, что может стать основой для постепенного восстановления цены Cardano.

Розничные трейдеры Cardano присоединяются к действию
Розничные трейдеры Cardano присоединяются к действию: TradingView

Три технических риска угрожают Cardano

Индекс Smart Money (SMI), который отражает позиции профессиональных трейдеров, резко упал и пока не восстановился. Хотя он немного поднялся, движение остается слишком слабым, чтобы подтвердить устойчивое восстановление или надежды трейдеров на отскок.

Smart Money не ожидает восстановления Cardano
Smart Money не ожидает восстановления Cardano TradingView

RSI, который оценивает силу покупок и продаж, не показывает бычьей дивергенции. Хотя цена ADA достигла нового минимума, RSI также упал до нового минимума — значит, импульс еще не изменился.

При значении 30 RSI указывает на перепроданность ADA, но без дивергенции восстановление может быть медленным по сравнению с другими топовыми альткоинами.

Анализ цены Cardano
Анализ цены Cardano: TradingView

Ситуацию усложняет нисходящая трендовая линия ADA, формирующая медвежий треугольник на дневном графике. Без бычьей дивергенции RSI структура указывает на сохраняющийся риск снижения, что делает восстановление уязвимым, если покупатели не смогут удержать более высокие уровни закрытия.

На момент публикации цена Cardano составляет около $0,64. Если альткоин закроет день выше $0,68, это может привести к краткосрочному росту до $0,76 и $0,89. Однако пробой ниже $0,61 грозит снизить цену до $0,55.

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