Прогноз цен Кардано (ADA) на 17 января: чего ожидать в ближайшие 24 часа

cryptonews.ruPubblicato 2022-12-16Pubblicato ultima volta 2025-01-16

В среду ADA преодолела отметку в 1 доллар и достигла дневного максимума в 1,09 доллара.
В четверг альткоину не удалось преодолеть массивное сопротивление в 1,10 доллара.
ADA стала свидетелем бычьего расхождения на индикаторе MACD, что указывает на бычий разворот.

Цена Кардано (ADA) приближается к ключевому уровню сопротивления в 1,10 доллара, и трейдеры ожидают потенциального движения в течение следующих 24 часов. По данным CoinMarketCap, по состоянию на 16 января ADA достигла дневного максимума в $1,09, но в настоящее время торгуется на уровне $1,06, что отражает рост на 3,60% за последний день.

Показатели ADA отражают более широкий рынок криптовалют, на котором возобновился оптимизм после кратковременного подъема Биткойна выше 100 000 долларов. Несмотря на это ралли, ADA все еще на 65,96% ниже своего исторического максимума в $3,10, заставляя трейдеров задаваться вопросом, сможет ли бычий импульс протолкнуть токен через барьер сопротивления 17 января.

Институциональный интерес остается ключом к росту ADA

Cardano изо всех сил пыталась повторить взрывной рост, который наблюдали такие конкуренты, как Solana (SOL). По мнению пользователей X (ранее Twitter), это может быть связано с отсутствием институциональной поддержки, что делает Cardano сильно зависимым от своего сообщества в развитии.

По теме: Сеть Cardano DeFi получает поддержку благодаря интеграции BitcoinOS

Однако предпринимаются усилия по привлечению институциональных инвесторов. Trakx, финтех-компания, недавно запустила Cardano Crypto Tradable Index (CTI), объединяя лучшие проекты Cardano в единый торгуемый актив. Trakx заявляет, что CTI направлен на повышение прозрачности и ликвидности экосистемы Cardano, делая ее более привлекательной для институциональных игроков.

The new Cardano Ecosystem CTI is live! 📢

The @Cardano community has approved the development proposal, marking a significant milestone for both Trakx and the Cardano ecosystem.

Starting today, the Cardano Ecosystem CTI is officially available on https://t.co/uhz62eL4Ry! This… pic.twitter.com/qMld9okhtd
— Trakx (@official_trakx) January 15, 2025

Анализ цен ADA за 17 января

Технические индикаторы предполагают, что траектория ADA может зависеть от того, преодолеет ли она уровень сопротивления в 1,10 доллара. На дневном графике индикатор MACD подтверждает бычье расхождение, при этом линия MACD пересекает сигнальную линию, сигнализируя о потенциальном восходящем импульсе.

https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXfKIA-Jq7RDGhZwyqvSdt6mrYefJqXhVVhDXdmUfSfHsO-YsqOfYKWy8RfwjzMPjbb7iz9OQfYn_rVUry6RoeS0K17x9jmS42BdKS7EvOk6N6ObWJL0AmLABUFX3HH8IxT6n4o_Tw?key=zQP1H-jJqz8eIm2wzmFbr9wj

Кроме того, индекс относительной силы (RSI) в настоящее время составляет 56,40, что указывает на то, что покупатели восстановили контроль. Однако градиент RSI предполагает возможное повторное тестирование более низких ценовых уровней перед новой попыткой прорвать сопротивление.

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Anthropic Employees Leave to Start a Business, Valued at $1 Billion, Also Focused on 'Recursive Self-Improvement'

Former Anthropic employees Behnam Neyshabur and Harsh Mehta have founded a startup named Mirendil, securing $200 million in seed funding at a $1 billion valuation from investors including Andreessen Horowitz, Kleiner Perkins, and NVIDIA. The company, staffed by researchers from Anthropic, xAI, Google DeepMind, and OpenAI, aims to accelerate scientific discovery by focusing on "recursive self-improvement" for AI. Their vision, described as "AI for AI for Science," is to build a platform enabling research labs in fields like medicine and materials science to develop and iteratively improve their own specialized AI models, rather than relying on general-purpose models from large tech firms. Neyshabur argues this approach, involving AI that can optimize its own code under human supervision, is the fastest path to AI-accelerated science. The founders believe a market opportunity exists because major AI companies, while increasingly using AI to advance their own research, restrict external developers from using their models to train competing products. Mirendil plans to release its first models soon to gather early user feedback, with the goal of empowering thousands of labs to tackle critical scientific challenges.

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Trillion-Dollar Pension Fund Entry? Franklin Bitcoin Dividend Reinvestment ETF Comes with a Built-in Selling Pressure Ceiling

Franklin Templeton has filed to launch two ETFs that embed a "default configuration" logic into Bitcoin investment, aiming to tap into massive pension fund flows. These "Bitcoin Dividend Reinvestment Index ETFs" will initially hold 95% equities and 5% Bitcoin, automatically reinvesting stock dividends to buy Bitcoin. However, a quarterly rebalancing rule forces selling of Bitcoin if its allocation exceeds 5%, capping its maximum holding at 20%. While the product cleverly circumvents advisor reluctance and compliance hurdles by labeling itself as a U.S. equity product, its actual Bitcoin buying power is minimal. Given low dividend yields (e.g., ~1% for broad market indices), annual Bitcoin purchases from a fund the size of Franklin's existing Bitcoin ETF would be a mere $3.6 million—negligible against Bitcoin's daily trading volume. Crucially, during bull markets, the fund becomes a programmed, passive *seller* of Bitcoin, potentially creating sustained sell pressure if many similar funds emerge. The strategy leverages investor inertia and automatic enrollment, similar to the success of target-date funds in 401(k) plans. It also uses an offshore Cayman subsidiary for holding Bitcoin and raises a tax complication where investors must pay taxes on dividends they never receive as cash. Although recent U.S. regulatory changes allow crypto in retirement plans, widespread adoption as a default option faces legal hurdles. The core premise remains: the system doesn't need to convince anyone to buy Bitcoin actively; it simply relies on people doing nothing.

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Bitcoin Hits 20-Month Low as Largest Bull Suffers $15 Billion Paper Loss

Bitcoin Hits 20-Month Low as Major Bull Loses $15 Billion On June 25th, Bitcoin fell below $60,000, hitting a low of $58,030—its lowest level since October 2024. The sell-off triggered over $1 billion in leveraged liquidations in 24 hours, with longs accounting for $788 million. This marks a more than 53% decline from the October 2025 all-time high of $126,198. A critical factor in the downturn is the weakening position of MicroStrategy, the largest corporate Bitcoin holder. With 847,363 BTC at an average cost of $75,651, the company now faces over $14.6 billion in unrealized losses. Its core financing flywheel—raising capital to buy Bitcoin—is stalling. Its variable-rate preferred shares (STRC), a key fundraising tool, have fallen 25% below their $100 target. This raises doubts about its ability to continue providing steady institutional demand for Bitcoin. Simultaneously, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs are experiencing significant outflows, with a single-day net outflow of $469 million on June 24th. This represents the most severe sustained capital flight since their launch. The macroeconomic backdrop remains restrictive, with persistent inflation delaying expected Fed rate cuts. Analysts note a shift in capital allocation, with institutional funds moving away from crypto towards AI infrastructure stocks. Immediate pressure comes from approximately $10 billion worth of Bitcoin options expiring on June 26th, which could increase market volatility. The combined effect of these factors—eroding core demand pillars, macro headwinds, and capital rotation—has decisively broken the $60,000 support level.

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STRC Falls Below $80, Can Conservative Investors Still Buy the Dip?

The article analyzes whether the STRC (a perpetual preferred stock issued by MicroStrategy) presents a buying opportunity after its price fell below its $100 par value to around $80, offering a seemingly high yield of 13-15%. The core argument is that STRC's discount reflects market skepticism about the sustainability of MicroStrategy's capital structure model, not just temporary panic. This model relies on issuing securities (like STRC) to raise funds to buy more Bitcoin, a "flywheel" that works in a bull market. The recent small sale of BTC to fund dividends, while minor, broke the psychological "never sell" anchor and signaled potential strain. Key risks identified are not a traditional Ponzi collapse but a potential breakdown in the financing narrative: 1) If Bitcoin enters a deep bear market, crushing MicroStrategy's stock premium (mNAV), its ability to raise cheap capital weakens. 2) If STRC remains deeply discounted, it signifies permanently higher funding costs. 3) The high cash dividend yield represents a significant ongoing expense. 4) If selling BTC to pay dividends becomes routine, the bullish narrative reverses. The conclusion is that STRC is not a risk-free high-yield asset. It is a high-coupon bet on whether MicroStrategy's BTC treasury financing model can withstand a bear market. Buying it is a wager that the market will continue to believe in and fund this structure at acceptable costs. The current price asks if this cycle's "casualty" might be a BTC treasury company's融资 model itself.

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Why Do Crypto Projects Keep Changing Their Names?

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Discussioni

Benvenuto nella Community HTX. Qui puoi rimanere informato sugli ultimi sviluppi della piattaforma e accedere ad approfondimenti esperti sul mercato. Le opinioni degli utenti sul prezzo di ADA ADA sono presentate come di seguito.