SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240426):宏观数据超出预期

Odaily星球日报Pubblicato 2024-04-26Pubblicato ultima volta 2024-04-26

Introduzione

近期 BTC 和美股的相关性得到强化,币价在美盘开盘阶段一度下探至63000下方,吸引到BTC次周59000-P和60000-P大量买单成交。

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240426):宏观数据超出预期

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240426):宏观数据超出预期

昨日(25 APR)美国第一季度 GDP 大幅低于预期,同时 PCE 物价指数大幅反弹录得 3.7% ,预示着今晚公布的 PCE 通胀指数大概率将高于市场之前的预测。经济产出疲软加上物价上涨,对风险情绪造成打击,三大指数应声下跌,对利率政策敏感的两年期美债收益率一度跳涨至 5.016% ,日内逐渐回落到 5.0% 下方。美联储古尔斯比称,在一系列高于预期的通胀数据之后,美联储必须“重新调整”,“必须等待并观察”。

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240426):宏观数据超出预期

Source: TradingView

数字货币方面,近期 BTC 和美股的相关性得到强化,币价在美盘开盘阶段一度下探至 63000 下方,吸引到 BTC 次周 59000-P 和 60000-P 大量买单成交。大宗方面,BTC 成交分布向远期转移,买卖 OTM CallSpread 和几组三角价差策略表现出对上行空间的博弈;ETH 多为看涨期权买入,并分布在 17 MAY 24 和 28 JUN 24 0.25 Delta 附近的行权价上。

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240426):宏观数据超出预期

Source: Deribit (截至 26 APR 16: 00 UTC+ 8)

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240426):宏观数据超出预期

Source: SignalPlus

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240426):宏观数据超出预期

Data Source: Deribit, ETH 交易总体分布

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240426):宏观数据超出预期

Data Source: Deribit,BTC 交易总体分布

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240426):宏观数据超出预期

Source: Deribit Block Trade

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240426):宏观数据超出预期

Source: Deribit Block Trade

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240426):宏观数据超出预期

您可在 ChatGPT 4.0 的 Plugin Store 搜索 SignalPlus ,获取实时加密资讯。如果想即时收到我们的更新,欢迎关注我们的推特账号@SignalPlus_Web3 ,或者加入我们的微信群(添加小助手微信:SignalPlus 123)、Telegram 群以及 Discord 社群,和更多朋友一起交流互动。SignalPlus Official Website:https://www.signalplus.com

Letture associate

Giants Wage the Context War, Reconstructing AI Moats

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Giants Wage the Context War, Reconstructing AI Moats

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Foundation Steps Back, Ethlabs Steps Forward: Ethereum Undergoes Its Largest Restructuring in History

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Foundation Steps Back, Ethlabs Steps Forward: Ethereum Undergoes Its Largest Restructuring in History

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Second Half of U.S. Crypto Policy: The Clarity Act Aims for 60 Votes, CFTC's "One-Person Commission" Becomes Biggest Variable

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Second Half of U.S. Crypto Policy: The Clarity Act Aims for 60 Votes, CFTC's "One-Person Commission" Becomes Biggest Variable

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Dan Koe's New Essay: Escaping the Fate of the Wage Slave, How to Survive the AI Replacement Wave?

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Dan Koe's New Essay: Escaping the Fate of the Wage Slave, How to Survive the AI Replacement Wave?

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