Bitcoin Funding Rates Turn Positive, Why The Rally May Not Be Over

newsbtcDipublikasikan tanggal 2022-08-05Terakhir diperbarui pada 2022-08-05

Abstrak

Bitcoin funding rates had fallen below neutral two weeks ago after finally recovering from a month-long downtrend. This had sparked fears of another bearish trend starting in the market. However,...


Bitcoin funding rates had fallen below neutral two weeks ago after finally recovering from a month-long downtrend. This had sparked fears of another bearish trend starting in the market. However, this has quickly changed as the numbers for last week have come in. This time around, the bitcoin funding rates are painting a better picture for the digital asset.
Funding Rates Return To Neutral
The bitcoin funding rates for the last week have been more optimistic compared to previous weeks. This is because it had continued to maintain its positive at neutral for the whole seven days; there was not a single point in the week that funding rates had actually fallen below neutral. This is the first time since March that the funding rates have consistently remained above the negative level for a while week.
A recovery in funding rates is always a welcome change for the market, this is why last week’s day remains important. With a market such as this, where bitcoin continues to struggle to comfortably break above $23,000, there needs to be a significant change in not only sentiment but in the amount of money being injected into the space.

Bitcoin funding rates


BTC funding rates return to neutral | Source: Arcane Research
With funding rates recovering to neutral, it once more puts it on a path towards becoming neutral, something that has eluded bitcoin for most of the year so far. The trend, which had started in June, has now reached an acceptable point, but the end game remains for finding rates to turn positive if bitcoin is to continue on a bull rally.

Bitcoin price chart from TradingView.com


BTC trading below $23,000 | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com
Will Bitcoin Recover?
Bitcoin is still trending at $22,800, which has surprisingly become a support level for the digital asset. This level continues to hold tentatively but needs a big push to rise out of this level. With funding rates recovering, perp traders may likely provide that needed push.
As for the leverage in the bitcoin market, it remains elevated. This means that more traders are opening positions in the digital asset. But it also puts them in a precarious position in a situation where liquidations could pile up quickly, especially with a move below $22,000.

Nonetheless, the bull indicators remain strong, albeit a bit weaker compared to last week. The resistance at $23,000 is not as strong as bears would like, which puts the next major resistance well above $23,500. If bitcoin can beat the 50-day moving average once more, then it is likely to surge above $24,000 once more.
Featured image from The Economic Times, charts from Arcane Reseach and TradingView.com

Bacaan Terkait

Pembongkaran Strategi Trading Bitcoin: Prediksi Selebritas dan Model Klasik Semua Tidak Akurat, Hanya Empat Indikator Ini yang Tersisa

Penulis, yang bukan trader profesional, mengembangkan strategi trading Bitcoin dengan mengevaluasi berbagai metode prediksi dari 2017 hingga 2025. Ia menyimpulkan bahwa prediksi dari selebritas dan model klasik seperti Stock-to-Flow tidak akurat, sementara indikator on-chain dan data institusional lebih andal. Empat indikator inti yang dipilih: 1. **MVRV Z-Score**: Mengukur deviasi harga dari biaya rata-rata pemegang, efektif untuk identifikasi bottom (daerah hijau), tetapi tidak akurat untuk puncak sejak 2024. 2. **SOPR 28-hari**: Menunjukkan penjualan rugi saat di bawah 1.0, sinyal bottom yang historis stabil. 3. **Aliran Dana ETF**: Indikator institusional kunci sejak 2024, dengan aliran masuk/keluar yang signifikan menunjukkan akumulasi/penjualan. 4. **Likuiditas Makro (Fed dan M2)**: Menentukan arah umum pasar, bukan timing. Fear & Greed Index digunakan hanya sebagai konfirmasi tambahan. Strategi ini mengandalkan resonansi tiga atau lebih sinyal untuk mengambil keputusan. Sistem otomatis memantau data, mengirim notifikasi hanya saat sinyal kuat terdeteksi. Pada 15 April 2026, sistem menunjukkan tiga sinyal bottom: Fear & Greed = 12 (panik ekstrem), MVRV di zona hijau, dan SOPR < 1.0, mirip dengan kondisi bottom historis seperti 2018, 2020, dan 2022. Namun, aliran ETF masih lemah, menunggu konfirmasi institusional. Penekanan pada kerangka kerja yang dapat diuji, bukan prediksi subjektif.

marsbit2j yang lalu

Pembongkaran Strategi Trading Bitcoin: Prediksi Selebritas dan Model Klasik Semua Tidak Akurat, Hanya Empat Indikator Ini yang Tersisa

marsbit2j yang lalu

Trading

Spot
Futures
活动图片