CoinDeskPolicyDipublikasikan tanggal 2024-05-10Terakhir diperbarui pada 2024-05-11

Abstrak

At the Mar-a-Lago dinner, Trump wooed a constituency Biden has thoroughly snubbed. But the GOP candidate isn't exactly fluent in crypto policy.

PALM BEACH, FL. — During his first stint in the White House Donald Trump was no fan of cryptocurrencies; he once tweeted they were "based on thin air." He later sold millions of dollars worth of NFTs. This week, he rebranded himself as crypto's candidate of choice.

"If you’re in favor of crypto you’re gonna vote for Trump because they want to end it," he said at a Wednesday night party in Mar-a-Lago, referring to Democrats and President Joe Biden. He also vowed to make sure his campaign can accept crypto donations.

2K

The 77-year-old candidate's apparent turnabout came as little surprise to his audience of some 200 supporters. Many had bought $10,000 of Trump Trading Card NFTs to join this surreal, sweltering outdoor reception at the former President's Floridian palace. A CoinDesk reporter also attended (as a +1).

Advertisement
Advertisement

For nearly an hour, Trump fielded questions from a sea of sweat-drenched suit-wearers. Only a handful of them focused on crypto, an incredibly niche wedge issue that was the nominal anchor of the entire event.

But it was enough to make a few things clear:

  1. Trump is no expert on cryptocurrencies.
  2. Trump is an expert at selling cryptocurrencies.
  3. The first two points don't matter because Trump has declared himself the champion of cryptocurrencies.

One exchange highlights points 1 and 3 (we will return to 2 later). When asked how he felt about central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) and "government blockchains" (two things that crypto proponents generally oppose) Trump responded "I think it all has its place."

He continued:

"We have some incredible things happening, I mean crypto, if you go back to crypto a couple years ago, people said it wasn’t gonna make it but now it's up in record numbers. I guess you could say it's a form of currency and I think I’m for that, more and more I’m for that."

Trump held a lengthy Q and A (Danny Nelson/CoinDesk)
Trump held a lengthy Q and A (Danny Nelson/CoinDesk)

The substance of Trump's support for crypto might be less important to the industry's (likely small) cadre of single-issue voters than the fact he's saying anything positive about it. Trump appears to be the first major party presidential candidate that's embraced crypto.

Blasting Biden

On the other side of the race is an openly hostile presidential administration. Joe Biden's SEC chairman Gary Gensler is waging lawfare against many parts of the crypto industry. And earlier Wednesday, hours before his opponent's golf-resort gala, the President vowed to block a House effort to dismantle an SEC accounting rule for crypto that political opponents argue has hampered the industry's growth.

Advertisement
Advertisement

"Biden doesn’t even know what it is. If you ask Biden, 'Sir, are you for or against crypto?' he’ll say, 'What’s that? Get me off the stage.' He has no idea," Trump said. Whether or not that somewhat plausible presumption is true, Trump followed up with an attack on Gensler, an official well-versed in crypto.

"I’ll say this: I’m fine with it, I want to make sure it's good and solid and everything else but I’m good with it," Trump said of crypto. He later said, "If we’re gonna have what we have then we’re going to have to embrace a lot of things that not everybody likes."

Hours before Trump's impromptu Q&A, the Biden campaign team roasted "people suckered into paying as much as $10,000 for simple digital images of him" in an email to supporters. The email blasted Trump for holding a glitzy NFT dinner instead of campaigning during his midweek break from court.

But Trump was campaigning on Wednesday night. He was vying for votes from the exceptionally loud crypto crowd that Biden had thoroughly snubbed. Sure, only a few hundred heard him firsthand. Their videos of Trump's pro-crypto musings ricocheted across social media and triggered a torrent of media coverage for crypto's self-appointed political champion.

"There's 50 million crypto holders in the U.S. That's a lot of voters," Ryan Selkis, the CEO of crypto data platform Messari claimed to Mar-a-Lago's packed ballroom where VIPs (those who bought $10,000 of NFTs ) mingled with dinner attendees (who paid $4,700). Trump had unexpectedly called Selkis onstage.

Advertisement
Advertisement

The soundbites that emerged from Wednesday's NFT gala may accelerate crypto's polarization by locking it in the same us-or-them shackles that bind much of American politics. Bitcoin's libertarian roots hardly resonate today; crypto has its proponents on both sides of the aisle.

Republican politics' most powerful voice cast crypto's bipartisan reality aside in declaring Democrats want to kill it off. "The Democrats are very much against it," Trump said, hours after 21 of the House's 213 Democrats voted to repeal the SEC accounting rule.

Trump framed himself as the industry's only hope. His fluency in the industry's issues was spotty. Asked how he would change hostile U.S. policies that drive crypto businesses out of the country, he said: "We'll stop it, because I don't want that, I don't want that. I want that – if we're going to embrace it then we have to let them be here."

Supporters paid as much as $10,000 to attend. (Danny Nelson/CoinDesk)
Supporters paid as much as $10,000 to attend. (Danny Nelson/CoinDesk)

'We Made NFTs Hot Again'

There was one area of crypto where Trump spoke more-or-less expertly: his NFTs. Three collections of Trump NFTs – digital trading cards that depict an uber-jacked Donald in various states of patriotism – have generated millions of dollars in sales. Wednesday's dinner gala celebrated high-rollers who bought into his "Mugshot Edition" third collection.

"We did it when NFTs were not hot and we made NFTs hot again," Trump claimed of his cards, adding that some NFT buyers made tens of thousands of dollars on the resale market.

Asked by one attendee if he would sell a fourth NFT collection, the longtime businessman demurred. "I believe in supply and demand. And as you know 1 did great, 2 did great, 3 did great. At some point maybe that turns around."

Advertisement
Advertisement

He polled the audience: How many Mugshot high-rollers wanted a series 4 collection of NFTs? Most raised their hands. Trump sounded bewildered: "Based on supply and demand, wouldn’t that maybe keep your prices, of the stuff you already bought, wouldn't that keep it lower?" He tested their resolve. "Who would like not to see a fourth collection for that reason?" Only a couple of hands shot up.

"Ok, a couple of economists," Trump said to the laughter of the crowd.

Edited by Marc Hochstein and Nikhilesh De.


Bacaan Terkait

Interpretasi Laporan Riset: Saham Semikonduktor Naik 155%, Bernstein Bilang NVDA dan AVGO Masih 'Konyol Murah'

Analis Bernstein menerbitkan ulasan industri semikonduktor pada 23 Juni. Inti laporan: AI telah menjadi "satu-satunya permainan" yang mendorong sektor semikonduktor. Indeks SOX naik 155,6% dalam setahun, didorong fundamental kuat, walau valuasi dan kepadatan posisi mencapai level tinggi historis. Laporan sangat merekomendasikan NVDA dan AVGO (rating "Outperform"). Meski kinerja tahun ini tertinggal, keduanya dianggap penerima manfaat inti dari rantai pasokan AI dan saat ini "terlalu murah secara absurd". Alasan: Valuasi NVDA untuk 2027 hanya 25x P/E (lebih rendah dari rata-rata sektor 34x) dengan prospek pendapatan chip Blackwell yang masif. AVGO dinilai murah dengan target pendapatan AI $100 miliar pada 2030. AMD dinaikkan ratingnya menjadi "Outperform" karena cerita ganda: momentum AI/GPU dan pemulihan CPU. Sebaliknya, QCOM dipertahankan pada "Market-Perform" karena tekanan pada bisnis ponsel dan kurangnya mesin pertumbuhan baru. Subsektor peralatan semikonduktor (seperti AMAT, LRCX) tetap optimis. Chip analog (ADI, TXN) dilihat mahal dan diberi rating "Market-Perform". Laporan memperingatkan dua risiko: tingkat kepadatan (crowding) yang sangat tinggi dan peningkatan hari persediaan (inventory days). Jika permintaan melemah, tekanan penurunan persediaan dan perang harga dapat mengancam. Bernstein mengambil posisi bullish selektif—memilih saham yang tepat kini lebih penting daripada sekadar melihat arah sektor.

marsbit45m yang lalu

Interpretasi Laporan Riset: Saham Semikonduktor Naik 155%, Bernstein Bilang NVDA dan AVGO Masih 'Konyol Murah'

marsbit45m yang lalu

Wawancara Ribuan Kata dengan CEO Anthropic: Setelah AI Menjadi Senjata Super, Bagaimana Mencari Keseimbangan antara Bisnis dan Keamanan?

Sumber: Bloomberg, disusun oleh PANews. Dario Amodei, CEO Anthropic, membahas perjalanan startup-nya di San Francisco, persaingan dengan OpenAI, dan tujuan akhir AI dalam wawancara ini. Amodei menggambarkan pertumbuhan Anthropic sebagai "kurva eksponensial yang mulus" di pusat alam semesta AI. Ia menyoroti pengaruh lingkungan San Francisco yang mendorong pemikiran non-konformis. Mengenai perpisahannya dari OpenAI, ia menekankan perbedaan nilai dan isu kepercayaan sebagai alasan utama, bukan sekadar perbedaan pendapat soal keamanan. Ia menjelaskan fokus Anthropic pada aplikasi perusahaan (seperti Claude Code dan Claude Coworker) didorong oleh keselarasan dengan nilai-nilai perusahaan dan kebutuhan model bisnis yang berkelanjutan. Menurutnya, kualitas model adalah faktor kunci untuk mempertahankan kepemimpinan, bukan sekadar 'kelekatan' pengguna. Amodei mengakui dampak disruptif AI pada lapangan kerja, terutama posisi kerah putih junior, tetapi menekankan pentingnya transisi ke "permainan jumlah positif" di mana peningkatan efisiensi digunakan untuk menciptakan nilai baru, bukan hanya pemutusan hubungan kerja. Ia membantah klaim bahwa peringatannya adalah "pemasaran kiamat". Dalam bidang keamanan nasional, Anthropic bekerja dengan Departemen Pertahanan AS tetapi menetapkan batasan ketat, menolak kerja sama dalam pengawasan massal atau senjata otonom mematikan. Amodei percaya AI yang dikelola dengan baik lebih mungkin mencegah Perang Dunia III melalui deterensi kecerdasan. Mengenai model Mythos yang sangat kuat, Amodei membela keputusan untuk tidak merilisnya kepada publik saat ini karena kemampuannya yang luar biasa dalam menemukan dan mengeksploitasi kerentanan perangkat lunak, yang dianggapnya sebagai "senjata super". Rilis akan dilakukan hanya setelah mekanisme pertahanan memadai. Ia menyatakan kekhawatiran tentang keseimbangan kekuasaan antara sektor swasta dan pemerintah dalam mengontrol teknologi AI yang kuat, mendukung pendekatan regulasi yang seimbang. Amodei melihat peningkatan diri AI bukan sebagai momen tunggal yang tiba-tiba, tetapi sebagai proses eksponensial yang terus dipercepat yang memerlukan kewaspadaan berkelanjutan. Meskipun mengakui adanya risiko eksistensial (10-25%) bagi peradaban dari AI, ia menegaskan bahwa misi Anthropic adalah secara aktif mengurangi risiko tersebut melalui pengembangan yang bertanggung jawab.

marsbit57m yang lalu

Wawancara Ribuan Kata dengan CEO Anthropic: Setelah AI Menjadi Senjata Super, Bagaimana Mencari Keseimbangan antara Bisnis dan Keamanan?

marsbit57m yang lalu

Penerbit DRAM ETF: Samsung, SK Hynix, Micron Semua Tembus Triliunan, Era AI Chip Memori Baru Dimulai

**Ringkasan: Masa Depan Cerah Chip Memori di Era AI** Kritik dari Morningstar mengingatkan investor akan siklus boom-bust historis di industri chip memori, sifat komoditas, dan kemungkinan harga saham telah meninggalkan fundamental. Namun, **Roundhill Investments** (penerbit DRAM ETF) berpendapat bahwa **era AI telah mengubah struktur industri secara fundamental**: 1. **Siklus Baru, Dinamika Baru:** Permintaan kini didorong oleh infrastruktur AI skala besar, bukan siklus upgrade elektronik konsumen. Perjanjian pasokan jangka panjang yang lebih ketat dengan hyperscalers (seperti Google, AWS) muncul karena intensitas modal manufaktur yang sangat tinggi. 2. **Parit Pertahanan (Moat) yang Nyata:** Chip memori kunci untuk AI adalah **High-Bandwidth Memory (HBM)**, yang sangat kompleks untuk diproduksi. **SK Hynix, Samsung, dan Micron menguasai hampir seluruh pasokan global**. Hambatan masuknya sangat tinggi (teknologi, peralatan EUV dari ASML yang langka, waktu pembangunan pabrik 3-5+ tahun), mencegah kelebihan pasokan seperti di masa lalu. 3. **Fundamental yang Sangat Kuat:** Proyeksi konsensus Bloomberg menunjukkan pada 2027, ketiga raksasa memori ini akan menjadi di antara **10 perusahaan paling menguntungkan di dunia**, dengan total laba bersih gabungan diperkirakan mencapai **$704 miliar** dan pendapatan gabungan melampaui $1 triliun. Margin operasi mereka telah mencapai rekor tertinggi sepanjang masa. 4. **Penilaian Ulang (Revaluasi):** Meskipun kenaikan harga saham tajam, valuasi relatif (seperti P/E maju) masih menarik dibandingkan saham teknologi lain jika mempertimbangkan tingkat pertumbuhan laba yang eksplosif. Kerangka valuasi historis mungkin tidak lagi relevan mengingat profil profitabilitas baru yang berkelanjutan. **Kesimpulan Roundhill:** Kenaikan saat ini didorong oleh fundamental baru — permintaan AI yang masif dan berkelanjutan, parit pertahanan manufaktur yang dalam, dan siklus profitabilitas yang belum pernah terjadi sebelumnya — menandai transisi industri menuju **"era baru" yang lebih stabil dan menguntungkan**. Kelangkaan pasokan HBM diperkirakan bertahan hingga 2030. *Catatan: Penulis adalah pihak yang mengelola DRAM ETF, sehingga memiliki sudut pandang yang secara alami bullish (optimis).*

marsbit1j yang lalu

Penerbit DRAM ETF: Samsung, SK Hynix, Micron Semua Tembus Triliunan, Era AI Chip Memori Baru Dimulai

marsbit1j yang lalu

Trading

Spot
Futures
活动图片