CoinDeskPolicyPublié le 2024-05-10Dernière mise à jour le 2024-05-11

Résumé

At the Mar-a-Lago dinner, Trump wooed a constituency Biden has thoroughly snubbed. But the GOP candidate isn't exactly fluent in crypto policy.

PALM BEACH, FL. — During his first stint in the White House Donald Trump was no fan of cryptocurrencies; he once tweeted they were "based on thin air." He later sold millions of dollars worth of NFTs. This week, he rebranded himself as crypto's candidate of choice.

"If you’re in favor of crypto you’re gonna vote for Trump because they want to end it," he said at a Wednesday night party in Mar-a-Lago, referring to Democrats and President Joe Biden. He also vowed to make sure his campaign can accept crypto donations.

2K

The 77-year-old candidate's apparent turnabout came as little surprise to his audience of some 200 supporters. Many had bought $10,000 of Trump Trading Card NFTs to join this surreal, sweltering outdoor reception at the former President's Floridian palace. A CoinDesk reporter also attended (as a +1).

Advertisement
Advertisement

For nearly an hour, Trump fielded questions from a sea of sweat-drenched suit-wearers. Only a handful of them focused on crypto, an incredibly niche wedge issue that was the nominal anchor of the entire event.

But it was enough to make a few things clear:

  1. Trump is no expert on cryptocurrencies.
  2. Trump is an expert at selling cryptocurrencies.
  3. The first two points don't matter because Trump has declared himself the champion of cryptocurrencies.

One exchange highlights points 1 and 3 (we will return to 2 later). When asked how he felt about central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) and "government blockchains" (two things that crypto proponents generally oppose) Trump responded "I think it all has its place."

He continued:

"We have some incredible things happening, I mean crypto, if you go back to crypto a couple years ago, people said it wasn’t gonna make it but now it's up in record numbers. I guess you could say it's a form of currency and I think I’m for that, more and more I’m for that."

Trump held a lengthy Q and A (Danny Nelson/CoinDesk)
Trump held a lengthy Q and A (Danny Nelson/CoinDesk)

The substance of Trump's support for crypto might be less important to the industry's (likely small) cadre of single-issue voters than the fact he's saying anything positive about it. Trump appears to be the first major party presidential candidate that's embraced crypto.

Blasting Biden

On the other side of the race is an openly hostile presidential administration. Joe Biden's SEC chairman Gary Gensler is waging lawfare against many parts of the crypto industry. And earlier Wednesday, hours before his opponent's golf-resort gala, the President vowed to block a House effort to dismantle an SEC accounting rule for crypto that political opponents argue has hampered the industry's growth.

Advertisement
Advertisement

"Biden doesn’t even know what it is. If you ask Biden, 'Sir, are you for or against crypto?' he’ll say, 'What’s that? Get me off the stage.' He has no idea," Trump said. Whether or not that somewhat plausible presumption is true, Trump followed up with an attack on Gensler, an official well-versed in crypto.

"I’ll say this: I’m fine with it, I want to make sure it's good and solid and everything else but I’m good with it," Trump said of crypto. He later said, "If we’re gonna have what we have then we’re going to have to embrace a lot of things that not everybody likes."

Hours before Trump's impromptu Q&A, the Biden campaign team roasted "people suckered into paying as much as $10,000 for simple digital images of him" in an email to supporters. The email blasted Trump for holding a glitzy NFT dinner instead of campaigning during his midweek break from court.

But Trump was campaigning on Wednesday night. He was vying for votes from the exceptionally loud crypto crowd that Biden had thoroughly snubbed. Sure, only a few hundred heard him firsthand. Their videos of Trump's pro-crypto musings ricocheted across social media and triggered a torrent of media coverage for crypto's self-appointed political champion.

"There's 50 million crypto holders in the U.S. That's a lot of voters," Ryan Selkis, the CEO of crypto data platform Messari claimed to Mar-a-Lago's packed ballroom where VIPs (those who bought $10,000 of NFTs ) mingled with dinner attendees (who paid $4,700). Trump had unexpectedly called Selkis onstage.

Advertisement
Advertisement

The soundbites that emerged from Wednesday's NFT gala may accelerate crypto's polarization by locking it in the same us-or-them shackles that bind much of American politics. Bitcoin's libertarian roots hardly resonate today; crypto has its proponents on both sides of the aisle.

Republican politics' most powerful voice cast crypto's bipartisan reality aside in declaring Democrats want to kill it off. "The Democrats are very much against it," Trump said, hours after 21 of the House's 213 Democrats voted to repeal the SEC accounting rule.

Trump framed himself as the industry's only hope. His fluency in the industry's issues was spotty. Asked how he would change hostile U.S. policies that drive crypto businesses out of the country, he said: "We'll stop it, because I don't want that, I don't want that. I want that – if we're going to embrace it then we have to let them be here."

Supporters paid as much as $10,000 to attend. (Danny Nelson/CoinDesk)
Supporters paid as much as $10,000 to attend. (Danny Nelson/CoinDesk)

'We Made NFTs Hot Again'

There was one area of crypto where Trump spoke more-or-less expertly: his NFTs. Three collections of Trump NFTs – digital trading cards that depict an uber-jacked Donald in various states of patriotism – have generated millions of dollars in sales. Wednesday's dinner gala celebrated high-rollers who bought into his "Mugshot Edition" third collection.

"We did it when NFTs were not hot and we made NFTs hot again," Trump claimed of his cards, adding that some NFT buyers made tens of thousands of dollars on the resale market.

Asked by one attendee if he would sell a fourth NFT collection, the longtime businessman demurred. "I believe in supply and demand. And as you know 1 did great, 2 did great, 3 did great. At some point maybe that turns around."

Advertisement
Advertisement

He polled the audience: How many Mugshot high-rollers wanted a series 4 collection of NFTs? Most raised their hands. Trump sounded bewildered: "Based on supply and demand, wouldn’t that maybe keep your prices, of the stuff you already bought, wouldn't that keep it lower?" He tested their resolve. "Who would like not to see a fourth collection for that reason?" Only a couple of hands shot up.

"Ok, a couple of economists," Trump said to the laughter of the crowd.

Edited by Marc Hochstein and Nikhilesh De.


Lectures associées

Analyse de rapport : Le secteur des semi-conducteurs a bondi de 155 %, Bernstein estime que NVDA et AVGO sont "absurdement bon marché"

Résumé : Le cabinet Bernstein a publié son analyse trimestrielle du secteur des semi-conducteurs. Le point central est que l'IA est désormais le principal moteur de croissance, portant l'indice SOX à une hausse de 155% sur un an. La hausse est jugée fondamentalement saine. Bernstein souligne une divergence forte au sein du secteur. Malgré des valorisations globalement élevées pour le secteur (P/E de 34,1x), l'analyste estime que les leaders clés de la chaîne d'approvisionnement en IA, NVIDIA (NVDA) et Broadcom (AVGO), sont "absurdement bon marché". Cela s'explique par leurs perspectives de croissance à long terme (p.ex. Blackwell pour NVDA) et leurs positions dominantes. Les deux sociétés sont notées « Surperformance ». Le cabinet a amélioré sa recommandation sur AMD à "Surperformance", citant des opportunités à la fois dans l'IA/GPU et dans les CPU. En revanche, il reste prudent sur Qualcomm (QCOM, "Égalité avec le marché"), en raison des pressions sur le marché des smartphones. Les équipementiers semi-conducteurs restent favorisés. Pour les semi-conducteurs analogiques, la valorisation est jugée élevée malgré la reprise. Bernstein met en garde contre deux risques principaux : un niveau de participation historiquement élevé des investisseurs dans le secteur et une montée des niveaux d'inventaire qui pourrait peser sur les prix si la demande faiblissait. L'analyse conclut qu'en dépit de la solide demande d'IA, la sélectivité est désormais cruciale.

marsbitIl y a 45 mins

Analyse de rapport : Le secteur des semi-conducteurs a bondi de 155 %, Bernstein estime que NVDA et AVGO sont "absurdement bon marché"

marsbitIl y a 45 mins

Entretien long avec le PDG d'Anthropic : Quand l'IA devient une super-arme, comment trouver l'équilibre entre commerce et sécurité ?

Dario Amodei, PDG d'Anthropic, discute de l'équilibre entre innovation commerciale et responsabilité sécuritaire dans le développement de l'IA. Il évoque son départ d'OpenAI dû à des divergences de valeurs et un manque de confiance, et défend la stratégie d'Anthropic axée sur les applications entreprises pour aligner modèle économique et éthique. Il aborde les risques sociétaux, notamment la suppression potentielle de nombreux emplois de cols blancs, tout en proposant des solutions pour une transition positive. Amodei insiste sur la nécessité d'une coopération entre acteurs de confiance pour établir des normes de sécurité élevées, citant sa collaboration avec Google. Concernant la sécurité nationale, il justifie les contrats avec le Département de la Défense américain par la nécessité de contrer des adversaires, mais en fixant des limites strictes contre la surveillance de masse ou les armes autonomes. Il explique également la non-publication du modèle "Mythos", jugé trop puissant et risqué, en attendant des mécanismes de défense adaptés. Enfin, il rejette l'idée d'un "moment" singulier d'auto-amélioration de l'IA, décrivant plutôt une accélération exponentielle graduelle. Il conclut sur la nécessité d'une gouvernance équilibrée, évitant à la fois le contrôle exclusif par des entreprises privées ou par les gouvernements.

marsbitIl y a 55 mins

Entretien long avec le PDG d'Anthropic : Quand l'IA devient une super-arme, comment trouver l'équilibre entre commerce et sécurité ?

marsbitIl y a 55 mins

Émetteur de DRAM ETF : Samsung, SK Hynix et Micron franchissent tous le cap du trillion de dollars, l'ère de l'IA pour les puces mémoire ne fait que commencer

Les trois géants des semi-conducteurs mémoire (Samsung, SK Hynix, Micron) ont vu leur capitalisation boursière dépasser 1 000 milliards de dollars, suscitant des interrogations sur la durabilité de cette croissance. Un récent article de Morningstar met en garde contre les cycles historiques de surproduction et la nature « commoditisée » de la mémoire, suggérant que l'enthousiasme pourrait être déconnecté des fondamentaux. Cependant, l'article de Roundhill Investments (gérant du DRAM ETF) défend une thèse différente, arguant que l'ère de l'IA change structurellement l'industrie. La demande n'est plus tirée par l'électronique grand public, mais par les infrastructures d'IA, notamment par la mémoire HBM (High Bandwidth Memory). La fabrication du HBM présente des barrières technologiques extrêmes, contrôlée quasi exclusivement par les trois leaders, ce qui limite fortement l'entrée de nouveaux acteurs et crée une pénurie durable. Les fondamentaux semblent solides : les bénéfices combinés des trois sociétés pourraient atteindre 704 milliards de dollars d'ici 2027, avec des marges à des niveaux records. Leurs valorisations, bien qu'en hausse, restent modérées par rapport aux projections de croissance des bénéfices. L'article conclut que le secteur, historiquement volatile, pourrait entrer dans une nouvelle ère de profitabilité soutenue grâce à l'IA, justifiant une réévaluation des modèles d'investissement traditionnels.

marsbitIl y a 1 h

Émetteur de DRAM ETF : Samsung, SK Hynix et Micron franchissent tous le cap du trillion de dollars, l'ère de l'IA pour les puces mémoire ne fait que commencer

marsbitIl y a 1 h

Trading

Spot
Futures
活动图片