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Will Bittensor [TAO] hold $193 or sink to $186? Watch out for 2 signs!

Despite a slight broader crypto market recovery, Bittensor (TAO) maintained its bearish trend, falling below the $200 support to a monthly low of $193. As of writing, TAO traded around $197 with declining volume. Key reasons for the drop include derivatives traders reducing exposure, evidenced by higher Futures Outflows ($90.81M) than Inflows ($78.64M), pushing Netflow negative and Open Interest lower. This indicates reduced speculative activity and short-term selling pressure. However, spot market data presents a contrasting signal. Spot Taker CVD remained positive for five days, suggesting buyer dominance, and persistent negative Spot Netflow implies more TAO is leaving exchanges than entering, potentially indicating accumulation, possibly by whales. Technically, the Directional Movement Index shows bearish momentum strengthening, with the RSI at 37. If selling continues, TAO could test support at $186. Conversely, stronger spot demand could help it reclaim $200, potentially targeting $216. The price is currently caught between bearish derivatives trends and signs of underlying spot accumulation.

ambcrypto07/15 13:03

Will Bittensor [TAO] hold $193 or sink to $186? Watch out for 2 signs!

ambcrypto07/15 13:03

Coinbase Adds Bittensor As Decentralized AI Tokens Keep Their Market Pull

Coinbase has added support for Bittensor's TAO token, expanding access to a leading decentralized AI cryptocurrency on a major U.S. exchange. The listing provides TAO with increased visibility, liquidity, and credibility, potentially opening it up to a wider retail and institutional investor base. However, Coinbase has assigned TAO an "experimental" label, highlighting its higher volatility risk and the fact that it is a newer asset compared to more established tokens. The move underscores sustained market interest in the decentralized AI narrative within crypto, even as investors grow more selective. Bittensor distinguishes itself by being built around an incentive network for machine intelligence rather than just an AI-themed token. The key test for TAO will be whether this exchange listing translates into lasting network value or merely short-term trading activity.

bitcoinist07/07 01:54

Coinbase Adds Bittensor As Decentralized AI Tokens Keep Their Market Pull

bitcoinist07/07 01:54

Bittensor Moves Towards Ultimate Decentralization: The Critical 18 Months for the TAO Ecosystem is Here?

Bittensor, a decentralized AI protocol, is accelerating its transition to full decentralization over the next 18 months, as outlined in a recent post by co-founder Const. The project currently operates in a "semi-decentralized" state: ownership and network participation are open and permissionless, with TAO distribution based on competitive contribution. However, protocol upgrades and governance have remained under core team control to enable rapid iteration in the fast-evolving AI sector. This strategic shift comes as the ecosystem matures, boasting 128 subnets and a large community. Const argues that continued centralization now poses risks, including single points of failure and regulatory scrutiny. The upcoming decentralization roadmap includes optimizing validator competition, opening liquidity pools, introducing governance rights for Alpha holders, and refining economic models. The move could fundamentally reshape TAO's value proposition, adding governance premiums to its existing valuation based on AI narrative and scarcity. It also signals a potential maturation of the AI crypto sector, where competition may shift from hype to sustainable protocol design and real economic activity. Bittensor positions itself not just as another AI token, but as foundational infrastructure aiming to decentralize intelligence production—analogous to Bitcoin's role in decentralizing money—with the goal of creating a resilient "Millennium Intelligence Federation."

marsbit06/22 11:17

Bittensor Moves Towards Ultimate Decentralization: The Critical 18 Months for the TAO Ecosystem is Here?

marsbit06/22 11:17

Bittensor jumps 28% as Anthropic restrictions fuel TAO’s $300 test

Bittensor (TAO) surged 28% weekly, recovering from key support near $180.9 as buyers gained momentum. The price broke through resistance and the 20-day SMA, reaching ~$267.4 with strong volume and improving technical indicators like RSI and MACD. The rally was fueled in part by news that Anthropic restricted access to some AI models for foreign nationals, highlighting a weakness in centralized AI and boosting demand for decentralized AI projects like Bittensor. Attention now turns to the $280-$300.6 resistance zone. Maintaining support above the $244.7-$255 range is crucial for the bullish structure; losing it could lead to a retracement toward $210-$220. The sustainability of the move depends on continued demand beyond the initial headline-driven boost.

ambcrypto06/15 05:54

Bittensor jumps 28% as Anthropic restrictions fuel TAO’s $300 test

ambcrypto06/15 05:54

Behind the $TAO Crash: The Bittensor Internal Strife and the 'Impossible Trinity' of DeAI

The decentralized AI (DeAI) sector is facing a major crisis following a public conflict within Bittensor ($TAO), a leading DeAI project. Covenant AI, one of its top development teams, which recently successfully trained a 72-billion-parameter large language model, announced its exit from the Bittensor network. The team accused founder Jacob Steeves of having "absolute and dictatorial" control over the network, alleging he arbitrarily cut off token rewards to their subnet without transparent governance. This triggered a panic sell-off, causing $TAO’s price to drop 15-25% in a single day and wiping out hundreds of millions in market value. The incident has raised serious questions about the viability of decentralized AI, highlighting a fundamental tension—referred to as DeAI’s "impossible trilemma"—between model quality and scale, credible neutrality of decentralization, and Sybil-resistant incentive alignment. Covenant’s departure exposed the centralized reality beneath Bittensor’s decentralized facade: although the network relies on a Yuma consensus mechanism for reward distribution, key validator nodes are controlled by early investors and the founder, allowing unilateral intervention. The event underscores systemic governance risks that may deter high-quality developers and institutional participants, threatening the entire DeAI narrative centered around trustless, incentive-driven AI development.

marsbit04/15 08:59

Behind the $TAO Crash: The Bittensor Internal Strife and the 'Impossible Trinity' of DeAI

marsbit04/15 08:59

IOSG: TAO is Elon Musk who invested in OpenAI, Subnet is Sam Altman

The article presents a critical analysis of Bittensor (TAO), a decentralized AI marketplace, comparing its economic model to Elon Musk's early investment in OpenAI, where funders have no guaranteed return. TAO acts as a funding layer, distributing tokens to subnet operators (akin to labs or researchers) based on their subnet token performance. However, subnets are under no obligation to return any value—such as AI models, data, or services—back to the TAO ecosystem. This creates a risk of value extraction, where developers may use TAO incentives for research and then commercialize成果 independently. The bear case highlights the lack of binding mechanisms, potential capital drain through token inflation, and competition from well-funded centralized AI giants. The optimistic view argues that continuous resource needs may naturally retain subnets within Bittensor, leveraging crypto’s ability to aggregate resources at scale, similar to Bitcoin’s success with computation. Ultimately, investing in TAO is a speculative bet on a coordination miracle—where incentives align to keep valuable AI projects within the ecosystem—rather than a traditional equity-like claim on output. The outcome distribution is highly skewed: most scenarios lead to niche use or value leakage, while a few could result in TAO becoming a foundational decentralized AI asset.

marsbit04/14 10:45

IOSG: TAO is Elon Musk who invested in OpenAI, Subnet is Sam Altman

marsbit04/14 10:45

TAO is Elon Musk who invested in OpenAI, Subnet is Sam Altman

The article, titled "TAO is Elon Musk who invested in OpenAI, Subnet is Sam Altman," presents a critical analysis of the Bittensor (TAO) project. It argues that Bittensor functions as a decentralized AI marketplace where TAO tokens fund AI research via subnets. However, the author highlights a fundamental flaw: subnet operators have no obligation to return any value, such as AI models or profits, back to the TAO ecosystem or its token holders. This structure is likened to Elon Musk's early investment in the non-profit OpenAI, which later commercialized its technology without returning value to its initial benefactor. The bear case posits that Bittensor is essentially a wealth transfer from crypto speculators to AI researchers ("miners"). Subnets can use TAO incentives for development and then take their successful products elsewhere, leaving TAO holders with diluted tokens from inflation and no captured value. The lack of enforced equity or binding mechanisms means the project relies on a "hope" that subnet tokens maintain value. The optimistic perspective counters that two factors could create a successful, self-sustaining economy: 1) AI's perpetual and massive resource needs could incentivize subnets to stay for continued funding, and 2) crypto has a proven ability to aggregate resources through token incentives, as seen with Bitcoin and Ethereum. The conclusion states that investing in TAO is a bet on a博弈论 (game theory) miracle—that soft incentives alone will be enough to keep the best subnets within the ecosystem and create a flywheel effect. This outcome is possible but represents a highly skewed, low-probability success scenario amidst significant risks of failure.

marsbit04/13 14:01

TAO is Elon Musk who invested in OpenAI, Subnet is Sam Altman

marsbit04/13 14:01

Bittensor, Firmly Ranked First in AI: Technology Evolving, Users Fleeing?

Bittensor (TAO) remains the dominant leader in the AI crypto sector with a market cap of $3.43B, accounting for nearly 20% of the total market. Its core innovation is the "Proof of Intelligence" mechanism, which directly rewards high-quality AI model outputs, differentiating it from competitors focused solely on compute or applications. The project demonstrated strong fundamentals with $43M in real Q1 2026 revenue (non-token incentivized), translating to a P/S ratio of ~20x, which is considered reasonable. A major technical breakthrough came from subnet Templar (SN3), which successfully trained the Covenant-72B model in a fully decentralized manner. This achievement, praised by AI leaders and compared to "modern Folding@home" by NVIDIA's CEO, validated decentralized training at scale using novel solutions like SparseLoCo for communication efficiency and Gauntlet for incentive alignment. The dTAO mechanism further amplified growth, allowing subnets to issue their own tokens backed by TAO. This created a leveraged feedback loop, driving the total subnet ecosystem to a $1.47B market cap. However, risks include heavy reliance on token subsidies masking true service costs, a lack of commercial moat leading to user attrition if subsidies decrease, and potential overvaluation if reported revenue includes internal ecosystem transactions rather than purely external demand.

marsbit04/11 00:15

Bittensor, Firmly Ranked First in AI: Technology Evolving, Users Fleeing?

marsbit04/11 00:15

Why is Covenant AI Fleeing Bittensor?

Covenant AI announced its exit from the Bittensor network, accusing co-founder Jacob Steeves (Const) of centralized control and governance abuses. The team claimed Steeves unilaterally suspended subnet emissions, revoked community management permissions, deprecated infrastructure without due process, and exerted economic pressure through token sales. Covenant AI highlighted its achievement in developing Covenant-72B—a 72-billion-parameter language model trained collaboratively by over 70 contributors on consumer hardware—as proof that decentralized AI training is viable. However, they argued that Bittensor’s governance is effectively controlled by a small group, with Steeves retaining ultimate authority, contradicting the network’s promised decentralized and permissionless nature. The incident sparked community debate, with some critics pointing to Covenant AI founder Sam Dare’s prior sale of 37,000 $TAO tokens. Meanwhile, $TAO’s price dipped amid the controversy. Covenant AI reaffirmed its commitment to decentralized AI and will continue its mission independently, emphasizing that true decentralization cannot coexist with centralized control.

marsbit04/10 03:44

Why is Covenant AI Fleeing Bittensor?

marsbit04/10 03:44

The TAO Subnet Team Praised by Jensen Huang Has Parted Ways with the Founder Amidst a Fallout

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang recently praised the decentralized AI project Bittensor (TAO) during a podcast, specifically highlighting a 72-billion-parameter Llama model trained collaboratively by a subnet team called Covenant AI. This endorsement initially boosted TAO's price, but the situation deteriorated rapidly when Covenant AI's founder, Sam Dare, publicly announced the team's departure from the Bittensor network. Covenant AI accused Bittensor and its key figure, Jacob Steeves (known as Const), of centralization and abuse of power, contradicting Bittensor’s decentralized ethos. The team claimed that Const exercised unilateral control by halting subnet emissions, removing administrative rights, discarding infrastructure, and using token sales to pressure the team. They argued that Bittensor’s governance is effectively centralized under Const, despite claims of distributed control. As a result, Covenant AI decided to leave, intending to continue its work on decentralized AI training elsewhere. The exit has sparked significant concern within the Bittensor community, raising doubts about the network’s decentralization narrative, technical future, and token value. TAO’s price fell sharply following the news. Const responded vaguely on social media, suggesting the event would push Bittensor toward more decentralized, “headless” subnets, but has not addressed the specific allegations in detail. The incident has damaged Bittensor’s reputation while raising Covenant AI’s profile.

Odaily星球日报04/10 03:08

The TAO Subnet Team Praised by Jensen Huang Has Parted Ways with the Founder Amidst a Fallout

Odaily星球日报04/10 03:08

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