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Bitcoin Eyeing $60,000 Support As Iran Strikes Hammer Crypto Markets

Bitcoin faces crucial support at $60,000 following a market sell-off triggered by escalating Middle East tensions. The cryptocurrency fell 4.5% to an intraday low of $65,700, pressured by a record $1.44 billion in weekly outflows from US spot Bitcoin funds—the highest of 2026. Geopolitical events, including new US attacks on Iranian targets and reports of missile strikes in Bahrain, have fueled risk aversion, impacting oil prices and inflation fears. Technical analysis indicates Bitcoin has breached key support levels, with a close below $65,000 potentially opening a path toward the $60,000 mark. The conflict has also disrupted diplomatic ceasefire talks between the US and Iran.

bitcoinistHace 8 hora(s)

Bitcoin Eyeing $60,000 Support As Iran Strikes Hammer Crypto Markets

bitcoinistHace 8 hora(s)

Ethereum's Ballmer Moment: As Everyone Is Bearish, the Circulating Supply Is Disappearing

"Ethereum's Ballmer Moment: Circulation Shrinks Amid Bearish Sentiment" Amid widespread bearish sentiment, with prominent figures like Bankless founder David Hoffman selling ETH and young developers flocking to Solana, some argue Ethereum is entering its "Ballmer era"—akin to Microsoft's perceived stagnation under Steve Ballmer. While surface-level criticisms about slow protocol development, cautious leadership, and competitive pressure are valid, underlying fundamentals tell a different story. Approximately 30% of ETH is staked, major holders like BitMine are accumulating, and spot ETFs continue to absorb supply. Regulatory clarity, including the SEC/CFTC's March ruling on staking rewards and the potential passage of the CLARITY Act, is transforming crypto from a regulatory threat into a legitimized framework. This institutionalization, alongside a shrinking circulating supply (with net issuance around 0.23% annually), creates significant buy-side pressure independent of fee-based value capture. The broader crypto total addressable market is expanding through regulated stablecoins, tokenized assets, and institutional adoption. While public chains face competition from permissioned alternatives, the winning model appears to be permissioned assets settling on public chains like Ethereum and Solana. The author advocates a non-maximalist, barbell strategy: holding ETH for its institutional role and supply squeeze, SOL for consumer/throughput trends, BTC as a macro hedge, and a basket of next-gen L1s. Key bullish drivers for ETH include rapid circulation shrinkage, potential Q2 staked ETF approvals, regulatory tailwinds solidifying its role as a default settlement layer, and the optionality of an eventual "Satya moment" leadership shift. Despite bearish consensus, the current setup—where crypto is "not hot" and regulatory groundwork is being laid—presents a compelling investment opportunity. The crypto cycle's focus may have shifted to AI, but blockchain infrastructure is gaining a legal and institutional foothold precisely while attention is elsewhere.

marsbitHace 15 hora(s)

Ethereum's Ballmer Moment: As Everyone Is Bearish, the Circulating Supply Is Disappearing

marsbitHace 15 hora(s)

The Rally That Wasn't

The article analyzes Bitcoin's sharp decline amid a shift in macroeconomic expectations, with strong US job data leading markets to price out Fed rate cuts. Bitcoin fell 13% to around $67,000, triggering significant outflows from US spot ETFs and indicating institutional de-risking. On-chain data confirms a bearish structure. Price has dropped back into the "bear market range," with the Short-Term Holder Cost Basis falling below a key mean level—a pattern last seen in early 2022. The profitability bias has collapsed, with loss realization now dominating, mirroring a panic wave from February. Recent buyers who accumulated near the $82k top are under pressure, and loss realization is accelerating across both short-term and long-term holder cohorts. Off-chain, the rally failed at the aggregate US ETF cost basis near $83k, turning it into resistance. Spot market demand has deteriorated sharply, with sellers dominating order books. While a major long liquidation event cleared over $400M in leverage, spot buyers have not returned to absorb supply. Options markets show sustained demand for downside protection (elevated put premiums) but not panic, with volatility premiums near three-month highs. The conclusion is that the market remains fragile, with overhead supply from trapped ETF investors, weak spot demand, and accelerating losses. Without a return of spot buying and a reclaim of key cost bases, Bitcoin is vulnerable to further downside within the prevailing bear market structure.

insights.glassnodeAyer 17:39

The Rally That Wasn't

insights.glassnodeAyer 17:39

BTC Market Pulse: Week 19

Bitcoin market analysis for Week 19 indicates a phase of consolidation and weakening near-term momentum. Overhead supply is capping price gains, evidenced by declines in price momentum, net buying pressure, and trading activity. Futures markets show increased speculative interest but also strong sell-side pressure. Options data reflects a cautious outlook with heightened perceived risk. Traditional finance signals are mixed: U.S. Spot ETFs saw significant net outflows and lower volume, suggesting softer institutional demand and potential profit-taking. However, on-chain activity shows a rise in daily active addresses, indicating steady user engagement. Overall, liquidity and positioning metrics point to a relatively stable market structure with easing bearish pressure, balancing weaker institutional flows with gradually improving sentiment.

insights.glassnodeAyer 14:13

BTC Market Pulse: Week 19

insights.glassnodeAyer 14:13

BTC Market Pulse: Week 22

Bitcoin experienced a week of consolidation and moderated activity. The price fell from around $79K to $74K before recovering to $77K, with overall momentum declining, reflecting softer price action. However, some metrics signaled a balancing sentiment: spot and perpetual Cumulative Volume Deltas increased, suggesting selling pressure may be easing. Trading activity cooled, with spot volume and futures open interest declining, pointing to reduced speculative appetite. Contrasting signals emerged in sentiment. Long-side funding payments surged significantly, indicating strong demand for bullish exposure. In options markets, there was slightly greater demand for downside protection. US spot ETF netflows improved, hinting at stabilizing capital flows, though trade volume fell. On-chain network activity showed minor reductions, hinting at a consolidation phase. Liquidity metrics suggested a more stable market with higher conviction among holders. However, profitability metrics flagged potential stress, with an increase in loss realization compared to profit-taking, indicating a cautious and potentially bearish undercurrent. In summary, the market displayed mixed signals: reduced volatility and speculative activity alongside a complex blend of stabilizing flows, cautious sentiment, and emerging but selective risk appetite.

insights.glassnodeAyer 14:11

BTC Market Pulse: Week 22

insights.glassnodeAyer 14:11

Tracking Digital Asset Markets Beyond Crypto-Native Venues

Glassnode has expanded its platform with new metrics for tracking digital asset markets beyond crypto-native venues, focusing on US spot ETFs and US Digital Asset Treasury (DAT) companies. These additions allow users to access daily price and trading volume data for relevant ETFs and publicly listed treasury firms tied to specific crypto assets. The DAT metrics enable comparisons between equity behavior and underlying crypto assets, helping identify stocks that act as strong proxies versus those with more idiosyncratic profiles. ETF volume data offers insights into liquidity, participation, and institutional flows, revealing how much trading activity occurs through traditional finance channels compared to crypto-native markets. These tools provide a unified view of digital asset exposure across spot markets, ETFs, and listed vehicles, enhancing analysis for institutional and traditional finance integration.

insights.glassnodeAyer 14:05

Tracking Digital Asset Markets Beyond Crypto-Native Venues

insights.glassnodeAyer 14:05

Bulls Approach the Ceiling

Bitcoin has surged to $81k, breaking above key on-chain resistance levels like the True Market Mean ($78.2k) and Short-Term Holder Cost Basis ($79.1k). The market is now targeting the next major hurdle at the Active Realized Price near $85.2k. On-chain metrics show profitability flipping positive, with the Net Realized Profit/Loss indicator turning constructive. However, the recovery faces headwinds from rising long-term holder profit-taking and still-elevated loss realization. Off-chain, ETF demand has rebounded, providing a tailwind, while perpetual futures funding rates remain negative, indicating persistent short pressure. Options markets show increased sensitivity with a large short gamma cluster around $82k, which could amplify price moves. The overall trend is constructive, but Bitcoin is approaching a significant supply zone where the market's ability to absorb selling pressure will be tested for a sustained breakout.

insights.glassnodeAyer 13:58

Bulls Approach the Ceiling

insights.glassnodeAyer 13:58

BTC Market Pulse: Week 21

Bitcoin's market structure shows signs of softening in Week 21, with weakening momentum and spot demand. Spot trading volume increased, but this was accompanied by a dramatic rise in selling pressure as indicated by a steep decline in Spot CVD. Futures market activity reflects caution, with decreased open interest yet a significant surge in demand for long positions. Concurrently, substantial sell-side pressure persists in perpetual contracts. Options traders are increasingly positioning for downside protection, evidenced by a sharp rise in the 25-Delta Skew, alongside growing open interest and volatility expectations. Traditional finance sentiment has softened, with weaker ETF netflows and falling MVRV, though ETF trade volume rose. On-chain metrics show mixed activity with declining active addresses but increased large-scale transfers. Overall, while long-term holder strength and stable liquidity provide resilience, the market exhibits fading euphoria, defensive positioning, and a prevailing shift toward bearish sentiment across spot, futures, and options segments.

insights.glassnodeAyer 13:58

BTC Market Pulse: Week 21

insights.glassnodeAyer 13:58

BTC Market Pulse: Week 23

Bitcoin's market shows widespread caution in Week 23. On-chain, transfer volume and fees are up, but fresh capital inflows have nearly halted, with the monthly realized cap change collapsing 57%. Active addresses remain flat, indicating network activity without new investment. Spot markets confirm the shift: the Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) turned deeply negative as sellers took control, and momentum is declining. Derivatives reflect unease, with rising costs for long positions and negative perpetual CVD. Options open interest dropped, though the volatility spread remains elevated. ETF flows were notably bearish, with net outflows nearly doubling to $1.3B amidst a surge in trading volume, signaling urgent institutional selling. Profitability metrics worsened, with only 59.8% of supply in profit, realized losses dominating on-chain activity, and deepening net unrealized losses. In summary, Bitcoin is in a distribution/consolidation phase with deteriorating breadth. While on-chain activity is structurally healthy, capital inflows have stalled, spot selling pressure is building, and institutional money is exiting via ETFs. The path of least resistance remains sideways-to-lower until realized cap growth resumes and spot CVD turns positive.

insights.glassnodeAyer 13:53

BTC Market Pulse: Week 23

insights.glassnodeAyer 13:53

IBIT Options Metrics Live on Glassnode

Glassnode has expanded its options analytics to include BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT), the largest US spot Bitcoin ETF. This move brings institutional-grade volatility intelligence to a key regulated Bitcoin instrument, reflecting Bitcoin's integration into traditional finance. IBIT options, with over $27.6B in open interest, now rival crypto-native venues like Deribit, offering a crucial lens into institutional positioning and risk appetite. The new suite provides 40+ metrics, including open interest, volume, max pain, ATM implied volatility, and proprietary skew analytics like the IBIT Skew Index. A core application is comparing IBIT data with platforms like Deribit to identify divergences between traditional finance and crypto-native market sentiment. For instance, recent data showed IBIT options exhibited a more defensive, put-skewed stance compared to Deribit at the 1-month tenor. These tools enable professionals to measure TradFi Bitcoin sentiment, monitor hedging pressure, and track volatility risk across tenors. The growth of IBIT options signals Bitcoin's maturation, allowing the pricing of volatility and complex risk views within a regulated framework. Glassnode's coverage provides real-time analytics for this evolving market structure.

insights.glassnodeAyer 13:45

IBIT Options Metrics Live on Glassnode

insights.glassnodeAyer 13:45

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