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Congress Targets Crypto Prediction Markets With 4 Bills Banning War And Assassination Bets

US Congress is intensifying regulatory pressure on crypto prediction markets with the introduction of the BETS OFF Act, the fourth such legislative effort since January. Sponsored by Senator Chris Murphy and Rep. Greg Casar, the bill aims to ban betting on sensitive events including terrorism, assassinations, wars, and any occurrences where the outcome is known or can be influenced. The legislation extends US jurisdiction to offshore platforms, mandates payment processors to block related transactions, and imposes criminal penalties on US-based promoters. This action follows suspicious trading activity, notably on Polymarket, where large, anonymous bets were placed and won substantial sums just hours before US military actions against Iran and Venezuela. Lawmakers express concern that such markets create dangerous conflicts of interest, allowing individuals with insider knowledge to profit from and potentially influence government decisions. The bill joins three others introduced since January, all seeking to prohibit betting on government actions, terrorism, and assassinations, reflecting broad bipartisan and public support for such restrictions.

bitcoinist03/19 10:03

Congress Targets Crypto Prediction Markets With 4 Bills Banning War And Assassination Bets

bitcoinist03/19 10:03

Pricing the Death of Iran's Leader: Where Are the Ethical Boundaries of Prediction Markets?

The article discusses the ethical boundaries of prediction markets, triggered by the death of Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei in a military strike. Prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket had active markets on whether Khamenei would leave office. Kalshi’s CEO opposed profiting from death, refunded fees, and settled trades at pre-death prices to prevent incentivizing harm. This sparked debate: some argue such markets could encourage violence, while others claim it undermines market fairness and hedging value. U.S. senators had previously urged regulators to ban death-related contracts, citing risks of incentivizing real-world harm. The controversy highlights the tension between free market principles and social responsibility in prediction markets.

Odaily星球日报03/02 10:12

Pricing the Death of Iran's Leader: Where Are the Ethical Boundaries of Prediction Markets?

Odaily星球日报03/02 10:12

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