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a16z Infographic: AI Costs Halved, Usage Doubled, US 30-Year-Olds Enter the Era of 'Delayed Adulthood'

This a16z report analyzes four key trends through data visualization. First, while the "DExit" narrative suggests companies are leaving Delaware due to legal shifts, the data reveals a more nuanced picture; Delaware's overall share of businesses has actually grown, though specific entities like Wyoming LLCs are gaining traction. Second, AI sector demonstrates the Jevons Paradox: as the cost of AI tokens halved, their usage doubled, and demand for older GPUs remains strong, indicating the AI-driven economy is still in its early stages. Third, AI capital expenditure is massive, comparable to total US bank lending and significantly larger than corporate tax income or the military budgets of other G7 nations. Finally, prediction markets like Kalshi are now outperforming professional forecasters in predicting Federal Funds Rates. The report concludes with a societal trend: 30-year-olds are increasingly delaying traditional life milestones like marriage, homeownership, and having children, with college enrollment being the only metric that has risen sharply, though its value is now being questioned.

marsbit03/02 07:16