Pokémon Cards May Have Their “Polymarket Moment” Soon: Bitwise

TheCryptoTimesPubblicato 2025-09-05Pubblicato ultima volta 2025-09-05

Pokémon, the iconic franchise known for its video games, anime, and trading card game, could be the next major real-world asset (RWA) to move on-chain. With a market valued at $21.4 billion, Pokémon cards may soon embrace blockchain technology. Bitwise research analyst Danny Nelson noted Thursday, “Pokémon and other trading cards (TCGs) are about to have their ‘Polymarket moment.’”

In a post on X, Nelson explained that this boom could be “sticky,” meaning it might create a lasting trend where a crypto innovation enters the mainstream, similar to how Polymarket transformed prediction markets.

Why Pokémon Cards Could Benefit More from Blockchain

While traditional RWA tokenization has grown into a $28.34 billion market in 2025, it mainly focuses on stocks, treasuries, and real estate. Nelson noted that these markets already have “good enough digital rails,” so blockchain doesn’t dramatically improve them. 

Pokémon cards, however, rely on physical shipping of Charizard, Pikachu, and Gardevoir, making them perfect candidates for tokenization.

Market leader Whatnot handled $3 billion in sales last year, showing the sector’s potential. Nelson hinted that Pokémon exchange-traded funds (ETFs) or investment funds could appear sooner than expected.

A New Market Leader Emerges

Recently, Collector Crypt released a tokenization platform on Solana, named Metaplex, that allows trading Pokémon cards, which is fast and profitable to exit.

Its token CARDS soared 10 times to a fully diluted value of $450 million within a span of one week, indicating a projected annual revenue of $38 million. The Collector Crypt’s Gacha Machine project also generated $16.6 million in revenue over the past week.

NFT trading volumes increased by 9% in August, reaching $578 million, their highest point since January, according to DappRadar. The figures suggest collectors are spending more per sale even as fewer assets change hands.

If Pokémon cards move on-chain, they could redefine the collectibles market and bring millions of fans into crypto through a familiar entry point.

Also Read: Tokenized Pokémon TCG Volume Goes Parabolic on Marketplaces


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US Stocks Suffer Worst Plunge Since 2025: Three Triggers Ignite Tech Stock Valuation Reset

The US stock market experienced its most severe sell-off since the 2025 tariff crisis on June 5th, 2025. The Nasdaq Composite plummeted 4.18%, the S&P 500 fell 2.64%, and the Dow Jones dropped 695 points. The panic stemmed from three converging factors. First, Broadcom's earnings report ignited fears of a slowdown in AI growth. While its AI chip revenue surged 143% YoY to $10.8B, its Q3 AI revenue guidance of $16B fell short of the $17.2B consensus. This triggered a massive sector-wide sell-off, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index crashing 10.26% and semiconductor stocks losing roughly $1.3 trillion in market value in a single day. Second, a shockingly strong May jobs report crushed hopes for Federal Reserve rate cuts. Non-farm payrolls added 172,000 jobs, doubling expectations. This robust data, combined with persistently high oil prices above $92/barrel due to the ongoing Iran war and blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, drastically increased market expectations for a potential Fed rate hike instead of a cut. Higher interest rates compress the valuations of growth-heavy tech stocks. Third, the prolonged Iran conflict continues to fuel inflationary pressures, complicating the Fed's policy decisions and undermining the "inflation is tamed" narrative. Together, these events challenged the twin pillars of the market rally: the "limitless AI growth" story and expectations for imminent monetary easing. The sell-off spread globally, impacting Asian and European markets and cryptocurrencies. The article posits this is likely a severe "valuation repricing" rather than the end of the AI story. The underlying demand for AI remains strong, but investor expectations for growth speed and the prices they are willing to pay are being recalibrated. Key upcoming factors include the June FOMC meeting, future AI company earnings, and developments in the Iran conflict.

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US Stocks Suffer Worst Plunge Since 2025: Three Triggers Ignite Tech Stock Valuation Reset

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From Madison Square Garden to Kalshi: Prediction Markets Break into the NBA Finals

From Madison Square Garden to Kalshi: Prediction Markets Break into the NBA Finals Prediction markets are playing a significant role in the 2026 NBA Finals, particularly around the New York Knicks' unexpected 2-0 series lead. Platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket have seen massive trading volumes, exceeding hundreds of millions of dollars on championship and related markets. Their influence extends beyond online trading. Kalshi's official partnership with Madison Square Garden has given it prominent physical branding at the arena. Furthermore, local businesses like The Jeffrey bar are using prediction market contracts to hedge the risk of game-result-based promotions, turning potential losses into manageable costs—a concept similar to the famous "Mattress Mack" strategy from traditional sports betting. These markets differentiate themselves by offering a wider, more entertainment-focused range of "event contracts" beyond typical game outcomes, such as predicting celebrity attendance. They also have broader accessibility across the U.S. compared to age- and location-restricted traditional sportsbooks. However, their rapid integration into sports raises regulatory and ethical questions. The NBA is cautiously engaging, discussing integrity frameworks with regulators like the CFTC. While the league permits minor investments like Giannis Antetokounmpo's stake in Kalshi, it advocates for strict rules to prevent insider trading. Many fans express concern on platforms like Reddit, fearing that the close ties between prediction markets, the league, and players could compromise the game's integrity. The NBA Finals has thus become a high-stakes testing ground, showcasing prediction markets' commercial potential while challenging traditional boundaries between financial trading, entertainment, and gambling.

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From Madison Square Garden to Kalshi: Prediction Markets Break into the NBA Finals

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Recursive Self-Improvement AI Gains Traction, Google Pours Cold Water, While DeepSeek and Others Approach the Fringes

The term "recursive self-improvement" (RSI), where AI improves itself autonomously, is gaining momentum in the AI industry. Startups like Recursive Superintelligence and projects such as Andrej Karpathy's Auto-Research aim to create systems where AI designs, implements, and validates its own research, moving toward superintelligence. While Google CEO Sundar Pichai cautions that such exponential acceleration is not yet a reality, progress is evident. For instance, Anthropic reported its Claude Code writes nearly 100% of the team's code, though it still lacks true self-direction. Analysts frame RSI development in stages: "adequacy" (systems functioning without humans), "parity" (matching human research quality), and "supremacy" (exceeding human-AI collaboration). Reaching parity could trigger rapid, unpredictable advancement due to AI's continuous operation. In China, companies like DeepSeek and Baidu incorporate self-optimization techniques without explicitly branding them as RSI, focusing on algorithmic efficiency and reinforcement learning. However, challenges remain, including "model collapse" from training on AI-generated data and the immense computational and open-collaboration requirements. Ultimately, RSI represents a trend of increasing automation in AI development, potentially reducing human oversight in the creation process itself.

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Recursive Self-Improvement AI Gains Traction, Google Pours Cold Water, While DeepSeek and Others Approach the Fringes

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