XRP price prediction: What the loss of the $1.77 swing low means for you

ambcryptoPublished on 2026-02-03Last updated on 2026-02-03

Abstract

XRP has lost the critical support level at $1.77, turning the higher timeframe structure bearish. The April 2025 low of $1.61 is also at risk. Despite a brief bullish shift earlier in January, the rally above $2.28 lacked momentum, and resistance at $2.40 held. Strong capital outflows are indicated by the CMF staying below -0.05. Long-term fundamentals remain strong due to Ripple's treasury initiatives, regulatory licenses, and developments like the XRP Lending Protocol. However, technical analysis suggests further downside in the near term. Traders are advised to consider short positions on a bounce to the $1.85–$1.94 range, targeting $1.50 or $1.39 for profits. A break above $1.94–$2.0 would signal a potential bullish recovery.

Ripple [XRP] has failed to defend the local swing low at $1.77. In a recent AMBCrypto report, this level was highlighted as a “make-or-break” support level.

At the time of writing, the low from April 2025 at $1.61 was also under threat.

The CMF remained below -0.05 to signal strong capital outflows. The RSI on this timeframe briefly climbed above neutral 50.

This happened when XRP managed to shift the D3 structure bullishly in the first week of January when it climbed above $2.28.

This momentum did not last, and the bulls were unable to scale the $2.40 resistance. The Bitcoin [BTC] sell-off meant Ripple bulls were unable to bring sustained demand.

Chances of a Ripple recovery?

In the long term, its strong fundamentals will help attract investor interest once more.

The setting up of a Ripple treasury and securing regulatory licenses in multiple countries will foster demand for XRP and increase the adoption of RLUSD, Ripple Labs’ stablecoin.

There is more space for the XRPL ecosystem to grow. XRP treasury firm Evernorth wants to put the idle XRP to work through the “XRP Lending Protocol.” It was another development that would likely see increased demand.

These strategies are more long-term. For the coming weeks, technical analysis showed that more downside was likely.

Traders’ call to action – Flip bearish

The H4 chart showed that a bounce to $1.85-$1.94 would represent a selling opportunity. Short sellers can target $1.50 and $1.39 to take profits.

The 1-day and 3-day price structures were bearish, giving traders more confidence when selling short.

An H4 session close above $1.85 would be an early warning of bears being wrong, and above $1.94 would invalidate this setup. A sustained rally beyond $2 would be the beginning of a recovery.

Final Thoughts

  • XRP lost the key support level at $1.77, flipping the higher timeframe structure decisively bearishly.
  • Traders can wait for a bounce to $1.85 before going short. A move beyond $1.94-$2.0 would indicate bullish resurgence.

Disclaimer: The information presented does not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice and is solely the writer’s opinion.

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