TRON price eyes $0.32 – Can institutional buying of 177K TRX save bulls?

ambcryptoPublished on 2026-02-19Last updated on 2026-02-19

Abstract

TRON's TRX token shows signs of a potential rebound, having formed a double bottom near previous altcoin season lows around $0.28, which aligns with the 0.9 Fibonacci Retracement level. A breakout target is set at $0.32. While short-term momentum remains weak, indicators like MACD and rising Active Addresses (from 2.78M to 4.18M in 2026) suggest growing buyer interest. The 4-hour chart shows a bullish ascending trendline, supported by increasing On Balance Volume (OBV). Institutionally, Tron Inc. acquired 177,146 TRX, boosting its holdings to 682.3M TRX valued at $199M, indicating strong demand. Additionally, TRON's stablecoin ecosystem is expanding, with USDT supply on TRON reaching $81B and transactions hitting 825M in the past year. Despite these positive signals, a breakdown of the current trendline could delay the rebound, and market risks remain.

Altcoins seem to be bouncing back, and TRON’s TRX token showed that clearly. Although the altcoin was only up 2% this week, it has changed in a much more positive way over the last two weeks.

Recently, the TRX price movement has been to the upside, though its momentum was still weak. Institutions are back in accumulation, but can this demand and stablecoin liquidity initiate a price reversal?

TRON revisits previous altcoin season lows

The daily charts of TRON [TRX] showed that the altcoin had lost more than 90% of the capitalization gained during the previous altcoin season. Then, TRON rallied from $0.26 to $0.37 between late June and mid-August 2025.

As of press time, the price seemed to be creating a double bottom around the altcoin season lows.

In fact, the lows coincided with the 0.9 Fibonacci Retracement level. The neckline, if the pattern were to be completed, would be at around $0.32.

The MACD showed that, despite its weak momentum, it was growing. The MACD histogram reading was at 0.0009, which indicated the presence of buyers.

Also, the number of Active Addresses had grown from 2.783 million at the start of 2026 to 4.184 million when writing.

Still, the long-term price reversal was dependent on breaking past the zone at $0.32. But the short-term picture seemed to echo a potential bullish reversal.

The 4-hour chart showed a clear, healthy trend with higher lows and higher highs respecting an ascending trendline. The On Balance Volume (OBV) was in support of the trend as it rose from 18.34 billion to 19 billion this month.

The lack of strength from buyers raised concerns about the short-term trend, which usually builds to the long-term one. The Bull Bear Power (BBP) was still red, though sellers had been completely exhausted.

However, a breakdown of this trendline would delay the rebound. The market most likely had not taken the recent institutional buy orders into account.

Institutions load TRX as its stablecoin demand grows

According to historical data, institutions tend to time market bottoms and tops more precisely than retailers. This suggests that Tron Inc.’s (TRON) gradual purchases at an average price of $0.28 may have influenced the current run-in price.

As per Tron Inc.’s official page on X, the treasury acquired 177,146 TRX, which boosted its holding to 682.3 million TRX. The total DAT holdings were valued at $199 million.

This meant demand for TRX was growing, notably from institutions.

Moreover, its demand for stablecoin rails continued to grow.

This was evident as Polymarket announced it would provide support for TRON deposits.

For context, USDT growth of 40% on TRON was big last year, with its supply reaching $81 billion. The amount transferred over the year grew by 45% as the number of USDT transactions on TRON hit 825 million.

All together, $0.28 appeared to be a bargain price for TRX now that even institutions were buying at that price. Interestingly, demand was increasing, but did not negatethe chances of continued market decline.


Final Summary

  • TRON revisits previous altcoin season lows amid potential rebound.
  • Demand for TRX tokens came from institutional accumulation.

Related Questions

QWhat is the potential target price for TRON (TRX) if the double bottom pattern is completed, and what level is the neckline at?

AThe potential target price for TRON (TRX) if the double bottom pattern is completed is $0.32, which is the neckline level.

QWhat recent institutional activity suggests growing demand for TRX, and how many tokens were acquired?

AAccording to Tron Inc.'s official X page, the treasury acquired 177,146 TRX, boosting its holdings to 682.3 million TRX, indicating institutional accumulation and growing demand.

QWhat key on-chain metric showed growth in user activity on the TRON network from the start of 2026?

AThe number of Active Addresses grew from 2.783 million at the start of 2026 to 4.184 million, indicating increased user activity.

QBesides institutional buying, what other factor related to stablecoins is supporting TRON ecosystem growth?

AThe demand for stablecoin rails on TRON is growing, evidenced by a 40% growth in USDT supply on TRON last year, reaching $81 billion, and a 45% increase in the amount transferred, with 825 million USDT transactions.

QWhat does the MACD histogram reading of 0.0009 indicate about the market momentum for TRX?

AThe MACD histogram reading of 0.0009 indicates the presence of buyers and growing momentum, although it is still considered weak.

Related Reads

Breaking: OpenAI Undergoes Major Reorganization, President Brockman Assumes Command

OpenAI has announced a major internal reorganization just months before its anticipated IPO. The company is merging its three flagship product lines—ChatGPT, Codex, and the API platform—into a single, unified product organization. The most significant leadership change involves co-founder and President Greg Brockman moving from a background technical role to take full, permanent control over all product strategy. This follows the indefinite medical leave of AGI Deployment CEO Fidji Simo. Additionally, ChatGPT's longtime lead, Nick Turley, has been reassigned to enterprise products, with former Instagram executive Ashley Alexander taking over consumer offerings. The consolidation, internally framed as a strategic move towards an "Agentic Future," aims to break down internal silos and create a cohesive "Super App." This planned desktop application would integrate ChatGPT's conversational abilities, Codex's coding power, and a rumored internal web browser named "Atlas" to autonomously perform complex user tasks. The reorganization occurs amid significant internal and external pressures. OpenAI has recently seen a wave of high-profile departures, including Sora co-lead Bill Peebles and other senior technical leaders, leading to concerns about a thinning executive bench. Externally, rival Anthropic recently secured funding at a staggering $900 billion valuation, surpassing OpenAI's own. Google's upcoming I/O developer conference also poses a competitive threat. Analysts suggest the dramatic restructure is a pre-IPO move to present a clearer, more focused narrative to Wall Street—streamlining operations and demonstrating decisive leadership under Brockman to counter internal turbulence and intense market competition.

marsbit3h ago

Breaking: OpenAI Undergoes Major Reorganization, President Brockman Assumes Command

marsbit3h ago

Two Survival Structures of Market Makers and Arbitrageurs

Market makers and arbitrageurs represent two distinct survival structures in high-frequency trading. Market makers primarily use limit orders (makers) to profit from the bid-ask spread, enjoying high capital efficiency (nominally 100%) but bearing inventory risk. This "inventory risk" arises from passive, fragmented, and discontinuous order fills in the limit order book (LOB). This risk, while a potential cost, can also contribute to excess profit if managed within control boundaries, allowing for mean reversion. Market makers essentially sell "time" (uncertainty over execution timing) to the market for price control and low fees. In contrast, cross-exchange arbitrageurs typically use market orders (takers) to exploit price differences or funding rates, resulting in lower nominal capital efficiency (requiring capital on both exchanges) and higher transaction costs. Their risk exposure stems from asymmetries in exchange rules (e.g., minimum order sizes), execution latency, and infrastructure risks (e.g., ADL, oracle drift). These exposures are active, exogenous gaps that primarily erode profits rather than contribute to them. Arbitrageurs essentially sell "space" (capital sunk across venues) for localized, immediate certainty. Both strategies engage in a trade-off between execution friction and residual risk. Optimal systems allow for temporary, controlled risk exposure rather than enforcing zero exposure at all costs. Their evolution converges towards hybrid models: arbitrageurs may use maker orders to reduce costs, while market makers may use taker orders or hedges for risk management. Ultimately, both use different forms of risk exposure—market makers exposing inventory, arbitrageurs immobilizing capital—to extract marginal, hard-won certainty from the market.

链捕手3h ago

Two Survival Structures of Market Makers and Arbitrageurs

链捕手3h ago

Who Will Define the Rules of the AI Era? Anthropic Discusses the 2028 US-China AI Landscape

This article, based on Anthropic's analysis, outlines the intensifying systemic competition between the U.S./allies and China for AI leadership by 2028. It argues that access to advanced computing power ("compute") is the critical bottleneck, where the U.S. currently holds a significant advantage through chip export controls and allied innovation. However, China's AI labs remain competitive by exploiting policy loopholes—via chip smuggling, overseas data center access, and "model distillation" attacks to copy U.S. model capabilities—keeping them close to the frontier. The piece presents two contrasting scenarios for 2028. In the first, decisive U.S. action to tighten compute controls and curb distillation locks in a 12-24 month AI capability lead, cementing democratic influence over global AI norms, security, and economic infrastructure. In the second, policy inaction allows China to achieve near-parity through continued access to U.S. technology, enabling Beijing to promote its AI stack globally and integrate advanced AI into its military and governance systems, altering the strategic balance. Anthropic contends that maintaining a decisive U.S. lead is essential for shaping safe AI development and governance. The core recommendation is for U.S. policymakers to urgently close compute and model access loopholes while promoting global adoption of the U.S. AI technology stack to secure a lasting strategic advantage.

marsbit5h ago

Who Will Define the Rules of the AI Era? Anthropic Discusses the 2028 US-China AI Landscape

marsbit5h ago

Trading

Spot
Futures

Hot Articles

How to Buy TRX

Welcome to HTX.com! We've made purchasing TRON (TRX) simple and convenient. Follow our step-by-step guide to embark on your crypto journey.Step 1: Create Your HTX AccountUse your email or phone number to sign up for a free account on HTX. Experience a hassle-free registration journey and unlock all features.Get My AccountStep 2: Go to Buy Crypto and Choose Your Payment MethodCredit/Debit Card: Use your Visa or Mastercard to buy TRON (TRX) instantly.Balance: Use funds from your HTX account balance to trade seamlessly.Third Parties: We've added popular payment methods such as Google Pay and Apple Pay to enhance convenience.P2P: Trade directly with other users on HTX.Over-the-Counter (OTC): We offer tailor-made services and competitive exchange rates for traders.Step 3: Store Your TRON (TRX)After purchasing your TRON (TRX), store it in your HTX account. Alternatively, you can send it elsewhere via blockchain transfer or use it to trade other cryptocurrencies.Step 4: Trade TRON (TRX)Easily trade TRON (TRX) on HTX's spot market. Simply access your account, select your trading pair, execute your trades, and monitor in real-time. We offer a user-friendly experience for both beginners and seasoned traders.

25.2k Total ViewsPublished 2024.03.29Updated 2025.06.04

How to Buy TRX

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of TRX (TRX) are presented below.

活动图片