The 3 Bitcoin Rules That Tell When The Bear Market Is Fully Over

bitcoinistPublished on 2026-05-13Last updated on 2026-05-13

Abstract

Crypto analyst Bee outlines three Bitcoin rules to identify the end of the bear market: it lasts at least 350 days, the bottom never forms without touching the 350-day moving average (MA 350), and the price always drops more than expected. Based on these, he argues the current bear market is not over, projecting a potential drop to around $46,000 to tag the MA 350 at $47,000 before a true bottom forms. Despite a recent rally above $82,000, Bitcoin struggles to hold $80,000 amid hot CPI data and stalled U.S.-Iran talks, with Bee expecting another downtrend. Another analyst, Colin, is more open to the cycle bottom being in than a month ago but still anticipates a retest of the $60,000-$70,000 range lows later this year. Alternatively, he notes that if the bottom isn't in, prolonged sideways trading reduces the odds of a significantly lower floor. Bitcoin is currently trading around $81,200.

Crypto analyst Bee has outlined three Bitcoin rules that provide insights into when the bear market is likely to end. This comes as BTC struggles again to hold above the psychological $80,000, with experts predicting another imminent decline.

Bitcoin Bear Market Rules As To When The Bear Market May End

In an X post, Bee stated that Bitcoin has three rules in a bear market. First, he noted that the bear market lasts at least 350 days. The analyst also mentioned that the bottom never forms without touching the MA 350, and lastly, the price always drops further than anyone expects. Based on this, he suggested that the bear market is yet to end despite BTC’s recent relief rally.

His accompanying chart showed that BTC could still drop to around $46,000 before a bottom forms for Bitcoin in this bear market. The analyst also noted that the 350-day moving average is at $47,000, and that level remains untouched. However, Bee remarked that the good news is that the leading crypto is already 65% of the way through the bear cycle.

Source: Chart from Bee on X

For now, the analyst expects another downtrend, with Bitcoin potentially reaching new lows. Bee noted that there are too many things working against this bullish momentum at the moment, which is why he is confident that the leading crypto will still drop further. He declared that the flush is coming and that when the MA 350 gets tagged, he will flip bullish.

His analysis comes amid Bitcoin’s recent rally above $80,000, with BTC reaching $82,000 over the weekend. However, the leading crypto is now struggling to stay above this level, falling below $80,000 yesterday on the back of the hot CPI inflation data. U.S.-Iran peace talks have also stalled, which puts BTC at risk of another decline.

Analyst Open To The Bottom Being In

Crypto pundit Colin, who had previously predicted another downtrend for Bitcoin, said he is more open to the idea that the bottom is in than he was a month ago. However, if that is the case, the analyst opined that BTC is still likely to retest the range lows between $60,000 and $70,000 later this year.

On the other hand, Colin also said he is open to the idea that the cycle bottom isn’t in yet and that BTC could see lower prices toward the end of the year. He noted that the logic is that the longer BTC trades sideways or higher, the less the odds are of a lower bear market floor.

At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $81,200, down in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

BTC trading at $80,961 on the 1D chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Tradingview.com

Related Questions

QAccording to analyst Bee, what are the three rules that define when the Bitcoin bear market is fully over?

AThe three rules are: 1) The bear market lasts at least 350 days. 2) The bottom never forms without the price touching the 350-day moving average (MA 350). 3) The price always drops further than anyone expects.

QWhat price level does analyst Bee suggest Bitcoin might need to drop to before a bottom forms in the current bear market?

AAnalyst Bee suggests, based on his chart, that Bitcoin could still drop to around $46,000 before a bottom forms, noting that the 350-day moving average is at $47,000 and remains untouched.

QWhat event does Bee state will cause him to 'flip bullish' on Bitcoin?

ABee states that he will flip bullish when the price of Bitcoin tags (touches) the 350-day moving average (MA 350).

QWhat is analyst Colin's updated view on whether the Bitcoin cycle bottom is in?

AAnalyst Colin says he is more open to the idea that the bottom is in than he was a month ago, though he still believes a retest of the range lows between $60,000 and $70,000 is likely later this year.

QWhat two recent events are mentioned as putting Bitcoin at risk of another decline?

AThe two events mentioned are the hot CPI inflation data and the stalled U.S.-Iran peace talks.

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