# Stablecoin Related Articles

HTX News Center provides the latest articles and in-depth analysis on "Stablecoin", covering market trends, project updates, tech developments, and regulatory policies in the crypto industry.

Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is the Profit Moat of Stablecoin Leader CRCL Solid?

The article presents a heated debate surrounding Circle (NYSE: CRCL), the issuer of the stablecoin USDC, focusing on the sustainability of its business model following its IPO and Q3 2025 earnings report. Key bearish points, led by figures like Jiang Zhuo'er, argue that CRCL's profits are unsustainable. They compare it to a bank reliant on an interest rate spread, which is highly vulnerable to Federal Reserve rate cuts. Critics highlight that over 60% of profits are paid to distributor Coinbase, leaving CRCL with a thin margin. They warn that competition from traditional financial giants like JPMorgan could easily disrupt its model, and that its regulatory advantage is a temporary benefit, not a permanent moat. Bullish commentators, including @BTCdayu and @qinbafrank, counter that CRCL is a long-term infrastructure play, not a simple bank. They believe current profit-sharing is a strategic cost to achieve market dominance and network effects, similar to companies like Amazon in their early days. They argue that future growth from massive USDC adoption (potentially reaching trillions) will far outweigh the impact of falling interest rates. They see compliance as a powerful, long-term moat that will eliminate smaller competitors. Additional short-term concerns include a significant sell-off pressure from the post-IPO lockup expiration and a structural barrier to USDC's use in U.S. retail payments due to its classification as a taxable asset. In summary, the debate pits short-term cyclical risks (interest rates, high costs, sell pressure) against a long-term structural opportunity (market growth, network effects, compliance as a barrier to entry). The core question remains whether CRCL's current model is a fragile interest-rate play or a foundational bet on the future of digital currency.

比推Yesterday 20:19

Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is the Profit Moat of Stablecoin Leader CRCL Solid?

比推Yesterday 20:19

From 'Stablecoin First Stock' to 'Ankle Cut' in Stock Price: Why Circle Quickly Fell from the Spotlight into a Revaluation Cycle

From "Stablecoin Unicorn" to "Ankle-Cut" Stock Price: Why Circle Quickly Fell from Its Peak into a Revaluation Cycle Circle, the issuer of the USDC stablecoin, experienced a dramatic stock price decline shortly after its IPO in June, dropping from an initial peak of around $260 to approximately $88. This reflects a broader market shift from hype-driven optimism to a more rational reassessment of the stablecoin industry. Multiple factors contributed to this sharp correction. Initially, the stock was significantly overvalued due to market enthusiasm for the "first stablecoin stock" and the high-interest environment that boosted the appeal of its reserve-backed revenue model. As early investors took profits and sentiment cooled, a price correction was inevitable. Increased competition is also pressuring Circle. While USDC is the world's second-largest dollar stablecoin, it faces growing challenges from new stablecoin projects and digital dollar initiatives from traditional financial institutions. The sector is shifting from an oligopoly to intense competition, raising investor concerns about USDC's future growth certainty. Furthermore, macroeconomic interest rate trends pose a fundamental risk to Circle's business model. Its core revenue comes from interest earned on the cash and short-term U.S. Treasuries backing USDC. Expectations that the Federal Reserve may begin a rate-cutting cycle could directly compress this income. Rising operational and distribution costs further squeeze profitability. Analysts hold divergent views on Circle's future. Firms like Mizuho have turned bullish, upgrading the stock and suggesting the sell-off related to its post-IPO lockup expiration may have created a buying opportunity. They point to USDC's continued adoption by mainstream financial institutions. Conversely, analysts at firms like Susquehanna remain pessimistic, maintaining an "Underperform" rating. They warn that lower future interest rates and potential underperformance in USDC growth could continue to pressure the stock price and have lowered their price target. The upcoming end of the post-IPO lockup period, which restricts insiders from selling shares, has added near-term selling pressure, but this is viewed by some as a temporary overhang. Circle's recent Q3 earnings report, which beat expectations for both revenue and profit, shows that these fundamental concerns have not yet materialized, leaving the company's trajectory highly dependent on future interest rates and its ability to maintain and grow USDC's market share amidst fierce competition.

cointelegraph_中文Yesterday 10:18

From 'Stablecoin First Stock' to 'Ankle Cut' in Stock Price: Why Circle Quickly Fell from the Spotlight into a Revaluation Cycle

cointelegraph_中文Yesterday 10:18

U.S. Stablecoin Regulatory Framework Finalized, Global Crypto Finance Enters New Institutionalized Phase

The United States has enacted its first federal regulatory framework for stablecoins, marking a pivotal moment for the global cryptocurrency industry. This framework transitions stablecoins from a state of fragmented oversight to a unified federal system, establishing clear legal definitions and operational standards for dollar-pegged payment stablecoins. Key provisions mandate that stablecoin issuers must hold high-quality liquid assets—such as cash and short-term U.S. Treasury securities—as reserves. They are also required to comply with strict auditing, transparency, risk management, and consumer protection rules. The regulatory structure adopts a dual approach: larger issuers will be overseen at the federal level, while smaller ones may fall under state jurisdiction. This development is expected to significantly enhance the role of stablecoins like USDC and USDT as critical infrastructure for cross-border payments, settlements, and decentralized finance (DeFi). By providing legal certainty, the framework is likely to encourage greater adoption by traditional financial institutions, payment companies, and fintech firms, integrating stablecoins more deeply into the mainstream financial system. However, the new rules also present challenges. Higher compliance costs and operational requirements may pressure smaller issuers and could lead to industry consolidation. The shift emphasizes regulatory-driven competition over innovation-driven growth. Furthermore, global regulatory disparities remain, as jurisdictions worldwide have differing definitions and standards for stablecoins, potentially creating friction in international flows. Overall, this U.S. regulatory move signals a structural shift from an enforcement-led approach to a rules-based system for digital assets. It is seen as a maturation of the industry, setting the stage for stablecoins to evolve from crypto trading tools into foundational components of the future digital financial ecosystem, including in cross-border trade, retail payments, and financial market settlements.

cointelegraph_中文Yesterday 11:16

U.S. Stablecoin Regulatory Framework Finalized, Global Crypto Finance Enters New Institutionalized Phase

cointelegraph_中文Yesterday 11:16

Mars Morning Post | After Fed Rate Cut, US Dollar Records Worst Single-Day Performance Since September; Trump: Rate Cut Too Small, Could Have Been Doubled

Mars News, Dec 11 — Following the Fed’s decision to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, the US dollar recorded its worst single-day performance since September, with the dollar index falling 0.4%. Fed Chair Powell emphasized labor market risks and downplayed inflation concerns, contributing to the decline. President Trump criticized the move, calling the cut “too small” and suggesting it should have been doubled. In other developments, Stripe acquired the team behind crypto wallet Valora to expand its stablecoin services. The CFTC launched an innovation council with members including Polymarket, Kraken, and Gemini. GameStop reported a $9.4 million decrease in its Bitcoin holdings in Q3. Elon Musk hinted at a potential SpaceX IPO, while Michael Saylor argued that limiting passive Bitcoin investment would be counterproductive. A new wallet accumulated 1,200 BTC, and the crypto fear and greed index rose to 29, a one-month high. Meanwhile, the Norwegian central bank announced it sees no current need for a CBDC, citing an already efficient payment system. Paxful agreed to plead guilty to U.S. charges and will pay $7.5 million in fines. a16z Crypto opened its first office in Seoul. Analysts noted the Fed’s dovish tone, projecting 100 basis points in rate cuts next year, though internal divisions remain. Powell stated that further rate hikes are not the base case, and the focus is on whether to hold or cut rates.

marsbit11h ago

Mars Morning Post | After Fed Rate Cut, US Dollar Records Worst Single-Day Performance Since September; Trump: Rate Cut Too Small, Could Have Been Doubled

marsbit11h ago

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