# Demand Related Articles

HTX News Center provides the latest articles and in-depth analysis on "Demand", covering market trends, project updates, tech developments, and regulatory policies in the crypto industry.

The First Year of Computing Power Inflation: The Cheaper DeepSeek Gets, the Harder It Is to Stop This Round of Price Hikes

The year 2026 marks the beginning of "computing power inflation." While AI inference costs have dropped by over 80% in 18 months globally, China's three major cloud providers—Alibaba Cloud, Baidu AI Cloud, and Tencent Cloud—simultaneously announced price hikes of 20–30%. This reflects a deeper structural shift driven by Jevons Paradox: as unit costs fall (e.g., via models like DeepSeek-R1), demand explodes, especially with the rise of reasoning models and AI agents that consume 10–50x more tokens per task. Although DeepSeek open-sourced its model weights, it did not release its inference optimization stack, leaving a significant engineering efficiency gap between cloud providers and smaller players. The big three are leveraging this advantage to reposition: Alibaba focuses on high-margin premium clients, Baidu filters out low-value users, and Tencent capitalizes on ecosystem lock-in. Meanwhile, ByteDance’s Volcano Engine adopts a more moderate pricing strategy to capture displaced customers. Unexpectedly, the price surge is pushing large enterprises toward self-built computing solutions once their cloud bills exceed a certain threshold. While cloud providers aim to boost profitability, they risk driving away innovative startups and accelerating competition from GPU leasing and domestic hardware providers like Huawei. The涨价 trend is expected to persist for 2–3 years, fueled by rising token consumption from reasoning models, AI agent adoption, and NVIDIA export restrictions. The inflection point depends on whether domestic chips can match NVIDIA’s efficiency, likely around 2027–2028. Until then, cloud providers will maintain pricing power, and the key for AI companies is to optimize token usage—the real moat in this era.

marsbit22m ago

The First Year of Computing Power Inflation: The Cheaper DeepSeek Gets, the Harder It Is to Stop This Round of Price Hikes

marsbit22m ago

Bank of Korea Interprets the AI Semiconductor Cycle: The Most Dangerous Signal Lies in Financing

The Bank of Korea (BoK) released a report examining the sustainability of the current AI-driven semiconductor supercycle, concluding that the expansion is likely to continue until at least the first half of 2026. The report highlights three key differences from past cycles: unprecedented demand growth (driven by HBM and AI accelerators), severely constrained supply (due to complex HBM production and conservative industry expansion), and a significantly larger and longer supply-demand gap. Five critical factors will determine the cycle's longevity: 1. The profitability of AI investments, as market focus shifts from market share capture to earnings. 2. The ability of major tech firms to secure financing, with internal cash flows already insufficient to cover massive CAPEX, leading to increased corporate debt issuance and risky vendor financing structures reminiscent of the telecom bubble. 3. Uncertain impact of AI model efficiency improvements, which could either reduce per-unit demand or increase total consumption. 4. Expansion speed of major memory manufacturers, with significant new capacity from SK Hynix, Micron, and Samsung only expected from late 2027. 5. Ramping production from Chinese manufacturers, whose DRAM market share is projected to grow rapidly, pressuring prices. The report warns that financing fragility—evidenced by rising CDS spreads, off-balance-sheet SPV financing, and redemption halts in private credit funds—is the most critical risk. While the cycle remains robust through 2026, pressures are expected to build in 2027, with a heightened risk of overcapacity by 2028.

marsbit04/13 08:51

Bank of Korea Interprets the AI Semiconductor Cycle: The Most Dangerous Signal Lies in Financing

marsbit04/13 08:51

Giants Collectively Raise Prices, Is the AI Price Hike Wave Coming? Can We Still Afford Lobster Employees?

Major AI companies, including Alibaba Cloud, Baidu Intelligent Cloud, Tencent Cloud, and Zhipu, have recently announced significant price increases for AI computing and storage services, with hikes ranging from 5% to over 460% in some models. This trend follows similar moves by global giants like Amazon AWS and Google Cloud earlier this year. The price surge is driven by explosive demand for computing power, fueled by the rapid adoption of AI agents like OpenClaw (referred to as "Lobster" in the article), which consume tokens at rates dozens or even hundreds of times higher than traditional AI applications. This has created a severe supply-demand imbalance. Additionally, shortages in high-end hardware—such as AI chips and high-bandwidth memory (HBM)—have constrained computing capacity and raised operational costs. The industry is shifting away from loss-leading pricing strategies toward value-based models, prioritizing sustainable development over market-share competition. A new "token economy" is emerging, where pricing is increasingly based on token usage, complexity, and speed rather than flat fees. This reflects AI computing's evolution from a generic service to a specialized, high-value resource. Some companies are even considering token allowances as part of employee benefits, highlighting its growing role as both a production tool and a cost factor. The article concludes by questioning whether AI services will remain affordable as compute costs continue to rise.

marsbit04/13 04:20

Giants Collectively Raise Prices, Is the AI Price Hike Wave Coming? Can We Still Afford Lobster Employees?

marsbit04/13 04:20

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