Solana – Predicting a 15% price rally for SOL is possible IF…

ambcryptoPublished on 2026-01-10Last updated on 2026-01-10

Abstract

Amid market uncertainty, crypto whales have shown renewed interest in Solana (SOL), with one whale placing an $8.09 million buy order in the $133.88–$135 range. SOL's price rose 2.48% to $140, accompanied by a 25% surge in trading volume to $5.05 billion, indicating strong market participation. Derivatives data and exchange net outflows of $1.30 million suggest accumulation and a bullish sentiment among traders and investors. However, SOL faces a key resistance level at $145.85, which it has failed to breach multiple times since November 2025. A daily close above $146 could trigger a 15% rally toward $168, but failure may lead to a reversal. Technical indicators like the ADX at 27.36 and the 50-day EMA support a near-term uptrend.

Amid the uncertainty, it appears that crypto whales’ interest in Solana (SOL) has returned, with millions of dollars’ worth of buy positions being recorded for the altcoin recently.

On 9 January, prominent whale tracker Onchain Lens shared a post on X revealing that a crypto whale recently deposited $8.09 million and placed a buy order for SOL within the price range of $133.88 to $135.

This massive buy order is indicative of the whale’s continued interest in SOL, despite the price moving sideways. At press time, SOL’s price was trading at $140 – Up 2.48% over the last 24 hours.

Meanwhile, market participation also hinted at strong interest in the asset, with trading volume jumping by 25% to $5.05 billion.

Solana (SOL) investors, traders turn bullish

A hike in trading volume alongside its price action usually means that traders and investors are showing strong interest in the prevailing trend.

A look at the derivatives data from Coinglass revealed that both investors and traders have a bullish outlook right now. Especially since they have been accumulating positions and betting on the long side lately.

According to the SOL spot inflow/outflow metric, over the last 24 hours, exchanges have recorded net outflows of $1.30 million – A sign of potential accumulation.

At the same time, traders appeared to be over-leveraged at the $136-level on the downside, where they built $111.52 million worth of long-leveraged positions.

Here, it’s worth noting that the $141.4-level represents another over-leveraged level. This is a level where comparatively lower interest has been recorded, with traders building $84.59 million worth of short-leveraged positions.

SOL price action and upcoming levels to watch

These activities appear to be reinforcing SOL’s bullish outlook, but another factor currently playing a key role is price action. According to AMBCrypto’s technical analysis, SOL might be facing a hurdle at the key level of $145.85 on the daily charts.

Since November 2025, SOL’s price has tested this level more than six times. Each time, the altcoin has failed to break above it.

Based on these factors, if SOL successfully breaks this key hurdle and closes a daily candle above the $146-level, there is a strong possibility that it could jump by 15% and hit the $168 level in the coming days.

However, if it fails to breach this level, history may repeat itself, and the price could see a reversal.

At press time, the Average Directional Index (ADX)—a technical indicator that measures trend strength—stood at 27.36, slightly above the key threshold of 25. This hinted at a strengthening trend across the market. Additionally, the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) suggested that SOL will remain on an uptrend over the shorter time frame.


Final Thoughts

  • A crypto whale placed buy orders worth $8.09 million for SOL within the price range of $133.88 to $135.
  • Both investors and traders remain bullish outlook, but a new price rally will be conditional on a few factors.

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Related Questions

QWhat recent whale activity suggests renewed interest in Solana (SOL)?

AA crypto whale deposited $8.09 million and placed a buy order for SOL within the price range of $133.88 to $135, indicating strong interest.

QWhat does the net outflow of $1.30 million from exchanges in the last 24 hours indicate for SOL?

AThe net outflow suggests potential accumulation, as investors are moving SOL off exchanges, which is often a bullish sign.

QWhat key resistance level must SOL break to potentially rally 15% to $168?

ASOL must break and close a daily candle above the key resistance level of $145.85 to potentially rally 15% to $168.

QWhat does the Average Directional Index (ADX) value of 27.36 indicate about SOL's trend?

AAn ADX value of 27.36, which is above the key threshold of 25, indicates a strengthening trend in the market.

QWhat is the significance of the over-leveraged long positions at the $136-level?

ATraders built $111.52 million worth of long-leveraged positions at the $136-level, indicating a high level of bullish sentiment and potential support at that price point.

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