Prominent Analyst Thinks The Bitcoin Macro Bottom Is In, But…?

bitcoinistPublished on 2026-03-24Last updated on 2026-03-24

Abstract

A prominent analyst suggests Bitcoin may have found its macro bottom around $60,000, but uncertainty remains due to several factors. While repeated bounces from this level indicate buyer interest, geopolitical tensions like the US-Iran conflict and oil price volatility could negatively impact the market. Additionally, Bitcoin's 200-week moving average near $58,000 poses a potential support level that bears might target. The analyst notes similarities to the structure preceding January's crash from $98,000. However, bullish signals persist, including positive funding rates and reduced selling on major exchanges like Binance. The Coinbase premium has turned negative but is moving, indicating shifting dynamics. The analyst believes that even if another drop occurs, it would likely be limited to retesting $60,000 or briefly wicking down to $56,000, rather than a severe crash. This suggests a potential foundation for longer-term recovery, though caution is still advised due to ongoing market fear and resistance near $74,400.

With the Bitcoin price continuing to bounce off from the $60,000s level, it is starting to look like the digital asset has found a bottom. Although there is still some weakness in the market, as crypto investors remain fairly cautious, there have been a number of recovery attempts that suggest that buyers are stepping back into the market. If this is indeed a macro bottom, then it only marks the beginning of what could possibly be the next bear market. However, there is still the possibility that the price has not bottomed, and lower lows could be coming.

There Is Still A Lot Of Fear In The Market

As crypto analyst Sykodelic explained in an X post, there is still the possibility that the Bitcoin price has not bottomed, and this is due to a number of factors. The first of these is the budding US-Iran war that has seen oil prices shoot up and could possibly affect the crypto market as well. Even now, there continues to be tensions regarding what could happen regarding the Strait of Hormuz.

Another factor is that the Bitcoin 200 Moving Average (MA) is sitting around $58,000 on the 1-Week chart. This means that there is a possibility that the bears will attempt to push the price toward this level again, given that there is major support brewing there.

Last but not least is the fact that bulls have failed to hold above $74,400, as the price has been ranging between $60,000 and $76,000 for months. Sykodelic believes that currently, the Bitcoin price is looking similar to the structure that led to the crash from $98,000 back in January.

Source: X

Bitcoin Bulls Are Still In The Game

Despite the rising bear structure, there is still a lot of opportunity here for the bulls, according to the crypto analyst. They explain that the price might have already hit its macro bottom, suggesting that the recovery from here would be one that goes on for longer.

Some factors that also serve as evidence for this bullishness are that the funding rate is still positive. This means that long traders are now paying short traders to keep their positions open, something that could be bullish for the short term. Additionally, the Coinbase premium has moved into the negative territory and is continuing to move. Selling has also greatly reduced in favor of buying on centralized crypto exchanges such as Binance.

Given this trend, the crypto analyst believes that even if the Bitcoin price were to crash again, the worst-case scenario would be that the cryptocurrency returns to sweep the $60,000 lows. It could eventually wick down as low as $56,000, but not another major crash as has been seen in recent times.

Bulls continue to push for higher prices | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com

Related Questions

QAccording to the analyst Sykodelic, what are the main factors suggesting that the Bitcoin price may not have bottomed yet?

AThe main factors are the budding US-Iran war and its potential impact on oil and crypto markets, the Bitcoin 200 Moving Average providing major support around $58,000 which could attract bearish pressure, and the bulls' repeated failure to hold the price above $74,400, with the current price action resembling the structure that led to the crash from $98,000 in January.

QWhat evidence does the article provide to support the bullish case that the macro bottom for Bitcoin might be in?

AThe bullish case is supported by positive funding rates indicating long traders are paying shorts, the Coinbase premium moving into negative territory and continuing to shift, and a significant reduction in selling in favor of buying on major centralized exchanges like Binance.

QWhat is the analyst's worst-case price prediction for Bitcoin if it were to experience another crash?

AThe analyst's worst-case scenario is that Bitcoin would return to sweep the $60,000 lows, potentially wicking down as low as $56,000, but not experiencing another major crash like those seen recently.

QWhat key price level does the Bitcoin 200 Moving Average represent on the 1-week chart, and why is it significant?

AThe Bitcoin 200 Moving Average is sitting around $58,000 on the 1-week chart, and it is significant because it represents a major support level that bears might attempt to push the price toward.

QHow does the current trading range for Bitcoin, as mentioned in the article, reflect market uncertainty?

AThe price has been ranging between $60,000 and $76,000 for months, and the bulls have failed to hold above $74,400, which reflects ongoing market uncertainty and the struggle between buyers and sellers to establish a clear trend.

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