Mapping The Bitcoin Bottom: Here’s How Low Price Could Go Before It Recovers

bitcoinistPublished on 2026-02-24Last updated on 2026-02-24

Abstract

A crypto analyst, Jussy, warns that Bitcoin (BTC) is exhibiting a bearish trend similar to its 2022 cycle and may not have reached its final bottom. The analysis compares the current market structure to 2022, where a double top formation and a subsequent bear flag pattern preceded a major breakdown. Following an identical pattern in 2025, Bitcoin formed a double top above $120,000, broke down sharply, and is now in a consolidation phase resembling the 2022 bear flag. The analyst predicts a further decline of approximately 38% from the $74,320 support level, potentially driving the price down to around $46,199. The final projected bottom is an even deeper low of $28,301 before any meaningful recovery can begin.

Bitcoin (BTC) could be gearing up for further losses, as a crypto analyst has issued a severely foreboding forecast. According to his analysis, Bitcoin’s current structure shows a predominantly bearish trend, with price expected to reach a bottom below $30,000 before any potential reversal to the upside.

Bitcoin Repeats 2022 Style Bear Market

Crypto market analyst Jussy has published a new Bitcoin chart analysis on X, warning that the market may not have reached its final bottom yet. The chart compares the current weekly structure to Bitcoin’s 2022 cycle, showing nearly identical price behaviour following a double top formation and a bear flag that led to a major breakdown.

In 2022, Bitcoin first printed a double top near the upper resistance zone above $60,000. It was then rejected from the rounded top structure, reversing into a sustained downside trend. After this, the price experienced a sharp breakdown, followed by a three-week consolidation phase that developed into a bear flag pattern.

That consolidation acted as a brief pause before a bearish continuation, with BTC ultimately collapsing by another 38.96% from the bear flag range. Consequently, the final leg down erased roughly $11,095, carrying the price into a long-term support zone where the market finally hit a bottom and began to stabilize ahead of a recovery.

Source: X

Interestingly, Jussy argues that the current Bitcoin cycle is now reproducing the same bear market structure seen in 2022 almost perfectly. The right side of the chart shows that BTC formed a similar double-top pattern above the $120,000 region in 2025, only to roll over and break down sharply. This correction pushed the price below the key horizontal level near $74,321, which previously acted as support.

Following this drop, Bitcoin entered a consolidation phase that closely resembled the 2022 bear flag. The structure slopes downward, reflecting a major price compression following the first large wick to the downside. According to Jussy, Bitcoin is now in the third week of this consolidation window, the same point in time where the 2022 market transitioned into its final price crash.

The Bottom Target

Using the same percentage decline from the 2022 breakdown, Jussy has predicted how low the Bitcoin price could fall before it attempts a notable recovery. His chart suggests that BTC has already begun its descent from the bear flag pattern, initially crashing below the $100,000 region and now trading near $65,000.

Now, the analyst projects another corrective move of approximately 38% from the former support level around $74,320, potentially driving Bitcoin’s price down to roughly $46,199. The blue line below this zone in the price chart represents Bitcoin’s final downside target. Jussy predicts an even deeper decline to $28,301, marking BTC’s price bottom before any meaningful recovery takes hold.

BTC fails to reclaim $70,000 | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com

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Related Questions

QAccording to analyst Jussy, what is the primary trend shown by Bitcoin's current structure?

AAccording to analyst Jussy, Bitcoin's current structure shows a predominantly bearish trend.

QWhich past market cycle is the analyst comparing the current Bitcoin price action to?

AThe analyst is comparing the current Bitcoin price action to the 2022 bear market cycle.

QWhat specific pattern did Bitcoin form in 2025 that is similar to its 2022 behavior?

AIn 2025, Bitcoin formed a similar double-top pattern above the $120,000 region.

QWhat is the first, more conservative price target predicted by the analyst for the Bitcoin bottom?

AThe first, more conservative price target predicted for the Bitcoin bottom is approximately $46,199.

QWhat is the deeper, final downside target price that Jussy predicts Bitcoin could fall to?

AThe deeper, final downside target price that Jussy predicts is $28,301.

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