Major Catalysts To Watch Out For That Could Send Bitcoin Price To $90,000

bitcoinistPublished on 2026-04-05Last updated on 2026-04-05

Abstract

A crypto analyst, Rawl, has presented a Bitcoin price roadmap suggesting the cryptocurrency could surge to $90,000. According to his analysis, Bitcoin has completed a corrective Elliott Wave structure (Wave C) after dropping to $60,000 in February. The market has since entered a new bullish phase, with Waves 1 and 2 already formed. It is currently consolidating around $65,000 before expected upward moves in Waves 3 and 4 toward $90,000–$96,000. After reaching this level, a sideways movement is anticipated, followed by a corrective ABC wave, potentially coinciding with a change in Federal Reserve leadership. The analyst assigns an 80% probability of a new all-time high this year, with a less likely chance of a deeper pullback to $55,000 between May and June. He advises taking partial profits at $90,000 and rebuying on potential dips.

A crypto analyst has shared a new Bitcoin price roadmap, outlining where the market currently is and projecting the cryptocurrency’s next moves amid the ongoing bear market. While some experts still see more downside ahead for BTC, this analyst predicts a massive surge back above $90,000. The analyst cites several catalysts, including Bitcoin price action and the Elliot Wave structure, to support his bullish outlook.

Bitcoin Price Roadmap To $90,000

Rawl, a crypto market expert on X, has presented a new price analysis of Bitcoin, outlining in detail how the cryptocurrency can return to $90,000 and what traders should expect in the coming weeks and months. The analyst noted that, so far, Bitcoin has been following an expected plan, suggesting that the recent pullbacks, rebounds, and other price changes were normal reactions.

He said that although the market’s timeline has been the only surprise, the cryptocurrency’s structure is what truly matters. Rawl stated that, following Bitcoin’s price crash to $60,000 in February, which marked its lowest level since its 2025 all-time high, the cryptocurrency needed two more waves to complete its corrective structure.

As expected, Bitcoin went on to form Wave 4 and Wave 5 in its Elliott Wave setup, completing the full corrective Wave C chart structure. He added that BTC’s previous pullback to $63,000 counted as one wave and officially confirmed the final downward move.

Since then, Rawl noted that the market has rebounded, starting a new bullish Elliott Wave phase. In this fresh setup, the analyst stated that Bitcoin has already printed Wave 1 and Wave 2, with the market presently in a choppy range around $65,000 ahead of its next two waves to the upside.

BTCUSD now trading at $67,104. Chart: TradingView

He explained that once these waves complete, Bitcoin could rise quickly toward $90,000 to $96,000. After hitting that level, he expects it to move sideways for a few weeks before declining again as it enters a new corrective ABC wave, likely around the time a new Federal Reserve chair replaces Jerome Powell. He described this correction as a bullish move, noting that it could persist until the upcoming FOMC meeting in June.

The analyst noted that the price action following the FOMC could complete the first corrective Wave C, allowing the market to resume its uptrend. Alternatively, Bitcoin could drop one more time toward the $71,000 to $74,000 range, forming the next Wave 2 before a larger rally begins.

Rawl confidently stated that Bitcoin has an 80% chance of reaching a new all-time high this year. He noted that the remaining 20% possibility suggests that price could rise to the $116,000 to $125,000 range below its current cycle top.

Analyst Outlines Other Likely Path For Bitcoin Price

Although Rawl strongly believes in the roadmap he outlined above, he acknowledged that a less likely scenario is that Bitcoin could experience a deeper pullback between May and June, falling below $74,000 and possibly crashing to $55,000.

Because of this risk, the analyst recommends taking profits of 20-30% around the $90,000 range, then gradually buying back 10-15% of that position if Bitcoin dips to $74,000, and the rest if the price falls to $55,000 in June or by Q1 2027. Regardless of what happens to Bitcoin, the analyst still believes the cryptocurrency could hit an all-time high afterward.

Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView

Trending Cryptos

Related Questions

QAccording to analyst Rawl, what is the primary technical analysis tool used to predict Bitcoin's potential surge to $90,000?

AThe primary technical analysis tool used is the Elliott Wave structure.

QWhat are the two waves that Bitcoin needed to complete after its crash to $60,000 to finalize its corrective structure?

AIt needed to complete Wave 4 and Wave 5 to finalize the corrective Wave C structure.

QAt what price level does the analyst suggest taking profits of 20-30% and what is the main reason for this recommendation?

AThe analyst suggests taking profits of 20-30% around the $90,000 range due to the risk of a deeper pullback to $55,000.

QWhat event does the analyst associate with the timing of a new corrective ABC wave for Bitcoin?

AThe analyst associates the new corrective ABC wave with the time a new Federal Reserve chair replaces Jerome Powell.

QWhat two potential price ranges does the analyst give for Bitcoin's next all-time high, and what are the associated probabilities?

AThe analyst gives an 80% probability for a new all-time high (above the previous cycle top) and a 20% probability for a high in the $116,000 to $125,000 range below the current cycle top.

Related Reads

The "Impossible Triad" Is Fundamentally a Pseudo-Problem

The article argues that blockchain's fundamental limitation is not the scalability trilemma (decentralization, scalability, security), which has been largely solved, but the lack of **privacy** and, until recently, clear **legitimacy**. Blockchain is described as a slow, expensive, globally shared computer whose core value is censorship resistance and verifiability. While ideal for native digital assets like money (e.g., stablecoins), its default transparency acts as a **tax**, exposing all transactions and enabling MEV extraction, which deters serious institutional capital. Simultaneously, its permissionless nature created regulatory ambiguity. The piece contends that **privacy** is the missing critical feature. It rejects the false choice between total transparency and complete anonymity. Modern cryptography (like zero-knowledge proofs) enables **compliant privacy**: users can prove facts (solvency, KYC status, compliance) without revealing the underlying sensitive data (specific holdings, identities). This preserves auditability for regulators and eliminates the leak of financial information. With recent regulatory progress (e.g., the GENIUS Act) addressing legitimacy, adding default, provably compliant privacy becomes a pure upgrade. It transforms blockchain from a costly, public ledger into a confidential settlement layer, finally bridging the gap to mainstream institutional and individual adoption of on-chain finance.

链捕手3h ago

The "Impossible Triad" Is Fundamentally a Pseudo-Problem

链捕手3h ago

Optical Chips: Collective Capacity Expansion

The global optical chip industry is experiencing a massive wave of expansion driven by surging AI data center demand. Major players across the US, Japan, Europe, and China are aggressively investing to ramp up production capacity. In the US, Coherent is expanding its 6-inch Indium Phosphide (InP) semiconductor fab in Texas, supported by CHIPS Act funding and a $2 billion strategic investment from NVIDIA. Lumentum is building a new factory for InP optical devices, and Nokia is scaling its advanced photonic chip packaging and testing capabilities. NVIDIA's investments aim to secure future supply of critical lasers and optical interconnect products for AI infrastructure. Japan's JX Advanced Metals, a leading InP substrate supplier, plans a multi-billion yen investment to increase its capacity 7-10 times, strengthening its grip on the crucial upstream materials market. In Europe, IQE and Tower Semiconductor settled a patent dispute and signed a multi-year InP epitaxial wafer supply agreement, highlighting that next-generation silicon photonics platforms will integrate high-performance InP components. STMicroelectronics and Sivers Semiconductors are also expanding silicon photonics production and partnerships. China is rapidly building out its domestic supply chain. Dongshan Precision's subsidiary, Source Photonics, announced a $12 billion project to expand optical chip and module production. Companies like Sanan Optoelectronics and Yunnan Germanium are scaling up InP chip manufacturing and substrate production, moving towards vertical integration from materials to modules. While debate continues around the exact future architecture—whether CPO (Co-Packaged Optics), NPO, or pluggables will dominate—analysts like Morgan Stanley argue the underlying driver is unchangeable: the explosive growth in bandwidth demand. This will inevitably increase the volume of optical engines, lasers, and related content per GPU, regardless of the final technical path. The competition for "more light" in the AI era has intensified into a global, full-chain capacity race.

marsbit5h ago

Optical Chips: Collective Capacity Expansion

marsbit5h ago

Stablecoins Finally Find Real Yield: An In-Depth Look at On-Chain Reinsurance Re | A Conversation with Re Founder Karan Saroya

Stablecoin Real Yield Found: A Deep Dive into On-Chain Reinsurance with Re's Karan Saroya As stablecoin supply exceeds $170 billion, the search for sustainable, non-speculative yield intensifies. Re, an on-chain reinsurance platform, provides an answer: connecting stablecoin capital to the trillion-dollar traditional reinsurance market. Re operates as a regulated reinsurer, accepting stablecoin deposits as collateral to back US insurance companies. These insurers pay premiums, generating yield that flows back to on-chain depositors. Currently supporting 35 insurers and underwriting $500 million, Re projects scaling to over $1 billion soon. Key insights from a Bankless podcast with founder Karan Saroya and investor Avichal of Electric Capital: 1. **Uncorrelated, Real-World Yield:** Re offers stablecoin holders access to reinsurance returns (targeting 12-14%+), an asset class entirely separate from crypto or equity markets. 2. **Operational Efficiency via Smart Contracts:** Re replaces traditional, labor-intensive capital fundraising with smart contracts, allowing a ~12-person team to compete with industry giants. 3. **Regulatory Leverage:** For every $1 of collateral, regulations allow backing $5-7 in written premiums. This leverage amplifies returns from the underlying risk-free rate. 4. **DeFi Integration:** Depositors receive receipt tokens, which can be used in protocols like Morpho for "looping," potentially pushing yields to 18-20%+. 5. **The "DeFi Mullet" Model:** A compliant front-end (regulated reinsurer) paired with a decentralized back-end (smart contracts, DeFi capital markets). 6. **RE Governance Token:** Modeled on Lloyd's of London, the token governs the central capital pool's allocation, counterparty acceptance, and parameters. 7. **Real Economic Impact:** Capital funds real-world productivity (factories, clinics, businesses) via insurance, moving beyond crypto's internal loops. The discussion highlights a pivotal moment: DeFi's supply-side infrastructure is now met by real demand for productive yield, potentially kickstarting a flywheel where vast on-chain stablecoin capital seeks these real-world returns.

链捕手6h ago

Stablecoins Finally Find Real Yield: An In-Depth Look at On-Chain Reinsurance Re | A Conversation with Re Founder Karan Saroya

链捕手6h ago

1996 or 1999? Walsh's First Test is 'How to View AI'

"1996 or 1999? Wall's First Big Test Is 'How to View AI'" Federal Reserve Chairman Wall's initial challenge is not whether to raise or cut rates, but a more fundamental judgment: what kind of boom is the current AI boom? This will determine the Fed's policy path and define his legacy. Economics is split between two opposing views, according to reporter Nick Timiraos. One sees imminent productivity gains that will increase supply and cool inflation, allowing the Fed to hold steady. The other argues that while productivity benefits are distant, demand shocks are here now, and waiting for data confirmation risks missing the intervention window, forcing sharper rate hikes later. Wall has signaled a leaning toward the first view, echoing 1996-era Alan Greenspan, who embraced strong, productivity-driven growth without fear of inflation. However, Wall faces a different macro environment than Greenspan did, with tariff pressures, expanding fiscal deficits, and diminishing globalization benefits, which could force more significant inflation pressures even if AI benefits materialize. Wall's logic, expressed before taking office, is that AI-driven productivity gains won't show in official data for years. If the Fed waits for confirmation, it might mistakenly tighten policy and choke off the very growth that could suppress inflation. This argues for using forward-looking narratives over lagging data. Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee presents a key counter-argument. He distinguishes between expected and unexpected productivity booms. A widely anticipated boom, like the current AI wave, can cause people to spend future wealth gains in advance, overheating the economy before productivity actually rises, thus requiring preemptive rate hikes. He cites rising costs for AI data centers as evidence of such overheating. Fed Governor Christopher Waller offers a rebuttal to Goolsbee, noting the "expected spending" mechanism only works if people can borrow against future income, which many households cannot do due to borrowing constraints. Wall also faces a paradox related to his desire to reduce the Fed's use of "forward guidance" (pre-announcing policy moves). This practice was established in 1999 when Greenspan began signaling hikes to avoid market shocks. If the economy follows a less optimistic path, Wall may be forced to choose between using the guidance he wants to abolish or risking market volatility by staying silent. The ultimate question defining Wall's first major test remains: Is this 1996 or 1999?

marsbit7h ago

1996 or 1999? Walsh's First Test is 'How to View AI'

marsbit7h ago

Trading

Spot
Futures

Hot Articles

What is $BITCOIN

DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): A Comprehensive Analysis Introduction to DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a blockchain-based project operating on the Solana network, which aims to combine the characteristics of traditional precious metals with the innovation of decentralized technologies. While it shares a name with Bitcoin, often referred to as “digital gold” due to its perception as a store of value, DIGITAL GOLD is a separate token designed to create a unique ecosystem within the Web3 landscape. Its goal is to position itself as a viable alternative digital asset, although specifics regarding its applications and functionalities are still developing. What is DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a cryptocurrency token explicitly designed for use on the Solana blockchain. In contrast to Bitcoin, which provides a widely recognized value storage role, this token appears to focus on broader applications and characteristics. Notable aspects include: Blockchain Infrastructure: The token is built on the Solana blockchain, known for its capacity to handle high-speed and low-cost transactions. Supply Dynamics: DIGITAL GOLD has a maximum supply capped at 100 quadrillion tokens (100P $BITCOIN), although details regarding its circulating supply are currently undisclosed. Utility: While precise functionalities are not explicitly outlined, there are indications that the token could be utilized for various applications, potentially involving decentralized applications (dApps) or asset tokenization strategies. Who is the Creator of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? At present, the identity of the creators and development team behind DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) remains unknown. This situation is typical among many innovative projects within the blockchain space, particularly those aligning with decentralized finance and meme coin phenomena. While such anonymity may foster a community-driven culture, it intensifies concerns about governance and accountability. Who are the Investors of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? The available information indicates that DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) does not have any known institutional backers or prominent venture capital investments. The project seems to operate on a peer-to-peer model focused on community support and adoption rather than traditional funding routes. Its activity and liquidity are primarily situated on decentralized exchanges (DEXs), such as PumpSwap, rather than established centralized trading platforms, further highlighting its grassroots approach. How DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) Works The operational mechanics of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) can be elaborated on based on its blockchain design and network attributes: Consensus Mechanism: By leveraging Solana’s unique proof-of-history (PoH) combined with a proof-of-stake (PoS) model, the project ensures efficient transaction validation contributing to the network's high performance. Tokenomics: While specific deflationary mechanisms have not been extensively detailed, the vast maximum token supply implies that it may cater to microtransactions or niche use cases that are still to be defined. Interoperability: There exists the potential for integration with Solana’s broader ecosystem, including various decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms. However, the details regarding specific integrations remain unspecified. Timeline of Key Events Here is a timeline that highlights significant milestones concerning DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): 2023: The initial deployment of the token occurs on the Solana blockchain, marked by its contract address. 2024: DIGITAL GOLD gains visibility as it becomes available for trading on decentralized exchanges like PumpSwap, allowing users to trade it against SOL. 2025: The project witnesses sporadic trading activity and potential interest in community-led engagements, although no noteworthy partnerships or technical advancements have been documented as of yet. Critical Analysis Strengths Scalability: The underlying Solana infrastructure supports high transaction volumes, which could enhance the utility of $BITCOIN in various transaction scenarios. Accessibility: The potential low trading price per token could attract retail investors, facilitating wider participation due to fractional ownership opportunities. Risks Lack of Transparency: The absence of publicly known backers, developers, or an audit process may yield skepticism regarding the project's sustainability and trustworthiness. Market Volatility: The trading activity is heavily reliant on speculative behavior, which can result in significant price volatility and uncertainty for investors. Conclusion DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) emerges as an intriguing yet ambiguous project within the rapidly evolving Solana ecosystem. While it attempts to leverage the “digital gold” narrative, its departure from Bitcoin's established role as a store of value underscores the need for a clearer differentiation of its intended utility and governance structure. Future acceptance and adoption will likely depend on addressing the current opacity and defining its operational and economic strategies more explicitly. Note: This report encompasses synthesised information available as of October 2023, and developments may have transpired beyond the research period.

406 Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

What is $BITCOIN

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of BTC (BTC) are presented below.

活动图片