Bitcoin

Focuses on news, price analysis, technological evolution, and market trends within the Bitcoin ecosystem. It explores its role and influence in the global financial system.

How is the 'Bottom Structure' of a Bear Market Formed, and Where Are We Now?

This article analyzes the formation of Bitcoin's bear market "bottom structure" by examining the relationship between cost basis and price action, particularly the behavior of short-term holders (STH). Historically, the cost basis of coins held for 1-3 months (1-3m_RP) has acted as a key resistance level during bear market rallies. This group's supply is often less committed; many entered the market expecting quick gains but were trapped. When the price rebounds to their break-even point, they tend to sell, creating resistance. Data shows that as of mid-April, the 1-3m_RP is approximately $75,400, a level Bitcoin is currently testing for the second time this cycle. The first test in mid-January failed, leading to a pullback. The author suggests a high probability of a similar outcome this time, as historical cycles show the second test rarely results in an immediate reversal. An alternative, less likely scenario is a break above this level, only to face stronger resistance at the broader STH-RP (average cost basis for all short-term holders) near $81,000, where a much larger supply of 2.31 million BTC resides. This could lead to price consolidation around the 1-3m_RP. A definitive bottom structure is confirmed only when the 1-3m_RP trend reverses from down to up, signaling a transition from a bear to a bull market. This process takes time, requiring patience to observe whether breakouts are genuine.

marsbit8h ago

How is the 'Bottom Structure' of a Bear Market Formed, and Where Are We Now?

marsbit8h ago

BlackRock Is Buying Up Bitcoin & Ethereum Again, And The Numbers Are Staggering

BlackRock, the world's largest asset manager, is significantly increasing its Bitcoin and Ethereum holdings through its crypto ETFs, signaling strong institutional demand despite market volatility. From April 6-10, the firm attracted approximately $780 million in inflows, with $612 million going into its iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) and $168 million into its Ethereum Trust (ETHA). This requires purchasing equivalent amounts of BTC and ETH on the open market, held by Coinbase Custody. As a result, BlackRock now holds $56.8 billion in BTC (791,284 coins) and $6.92 billion in ETH (3,008,094 coins). The trend extends beyond ETFs, with whales halting sales and firms like MicroStrategy aggressively accumulating Bitcoin, adding 13,927 BTC ($1 billion) to reach 780,897 BTC total. This institutional momentum is supporting crypto prices, with BTC and ETH gaining over 3% during the inflow period.

bitcoinist15h ago

BlackRock Is Buying Up Bitcoin & Ethereum Again, And The Numbers Are Staggering

bitcoinist15h ago

Why Has Bitcoin Risen Against the Trend Amid Turmoil?

Title: Why Bitcoin Defies Market Turmoil and Rises Against the Odds? Amidst the recent Iran conflict, Bitcoin demonstrated unexpected strength, rising 12% while traditional risk assets like the S&P 500 fell 1% and gold dropped 10%. This challenges the conventional view of Bitcoin is a risk-on asset. Matt Hougan, Bitwise CIO, argues that Bitcoin’s surge is not due to ignorance of geopolitical tensions or long-term money printing expectations, but is directly driven by the conflict itself. Hougan proposes a dual-investment thesis for Bitcoin: it acts both as a "digital gold" competing in the $38 trillion store-of-value market, and as a speculative bet on becoming a genuine global currency. While the first narrative has dominated the past five years, the second—once a distant possibility—is gaining relevance as global financial systems become increasingly weaponized. The 2022 SWIFT sanctions against Russia marked a turning point, prompting nations to explore alternative financial networks. Iran’s recent move to demand Bitcoin payments for shipping tolls in the Strait of Hormuz exemplifies this shift. Such developments increase the probability of Bitcoin being used as a neutral, apolitical settlement medium and amplify global monetary system volatility. This dual role suggests Bitcoin’s potential market extends beyond gold’s $38 trillion valuation. Its pricing is now influenced not only by liquidity or tech stock trends but also by growing uncertainties in the international financial architecture. As geopolitical friction elevates Bitcoin’s monetary attributes, its upside potential may be significantly revalued.

marsbit18h ago

Why Has Bitcoin Risen Against the Trend Amid Turmoil?

marsbit18h ago

Bitcoin Faces Quantum Risk — New Proposal Could Lock Vulnerable Coins

A new Bitcoin security proposal, BIP-361, introduces a three-phase plan to protect the network from the future threat of quantum computers. It specifically addresses the vulnerability of approximately 1.7 million BTC, including Satoshi Nakamoto's fortune, held in old-style P2PK addresses whose public keys are exposed. The proposal would eventually freeze any coins not moved to a new quantum-resistant format after a multi-year grace period. A controversial "rescue window" would allow users who miss the deadline to reclaim funds by proving ownership of their seed phrase. The plan has faced significant community backlash, with critics labeling it authoritarian and confiscatory for rendering old Bitcoin unspendable. Its adoption depends on achieving network consensus.

bitcoinist18h ago

Bitcoin Faces Quantum Risk — New Proposal Could Lock Vulnerable Coins

bitcoinist18h ago

48 Hours, $2.7 Billion: Strategy's STRC ATM Mechanism is Accumulating Bitcoin at an Unprecedented Pace

Strategy's STRC ATM (At-The-Market) mechanism is accelerating its Bitcoin acquisition at an unprecedented pace. In just the first two trading days of the week, it generated $2.74 billion in volume, absorbing approximately 29,914 BTC—more than double the 13,927 BTC acquired in the entire previous week, representing a 115% increase. Notably, 100% of the STRC shares traded on both Monday and Tuesday were above the $100 face value threshold, the condition required to trigger the ATM and convert equity demand into Bitcoin purchases. Tuesday alone saw an estimated $1.57 billion in volume, absorbing 16,762 BTC—equivalent to 37 times the daily Bitcoin mining output. This surge demonstrates a new scale of sustained demand for the variable-rate perpetual preferred shares. If this pace continued, the weekly acquisition could reach roughly 75,000 BTC, fundamentally redefining corporate Bitcoin treasury strategies. While such extreme velocity may not be sustained, the mechanism is consistently converting market demand into large-scale Bitcoin accumulation.

marsbitYesterday 09:35

48 Hours, $2.7 Billion: Strategy's STRC ATM Mechanism is Accumulating Bitcoin at an Unprecedented Pace

marsbitYesterday 09:35

Bitcoin Shows 'Bull Market Characteristics', Chart Pattern Points to $90,000

Bitcoin surged over 5% to break above $76,000, reaching a 70-day high and showing renewed bullish momentum. The breakout from an ascending triangle pattern suggests a potential upward target of $89,050. Technical indicators, including the RSI rising from oversold levels, support the strengthening bullish trend. On-chain data further confirms the positive sentiment, with daily transaction counts increasing by 62% in 2026 to 765,130—the highest level since November 2024 when Bitcoin traded above $120,000. Transaction fees also rose, reflecting increased network demand and user willingness to pay for priority. Analysts highlight that closing above key resistance levels, including the 100-day moving average, could confirm a trend reversal and sustained upward momentum toward $90,000. The combination of technical breakouts and robust on-chain activity signals a potential continuation of the bull run.

marsbitYesterday 07:04

Bitcoin Shows 'Bull Market Characteristics', Chart Pattern Points to $90,000

marsbitYesterday 07:04

Bitcoin Is Playing Out The Same Cycle Again On A Bigger Scale

Bitcoin's recent rebound has failed to resolve debates among analysts regarding the current market phase. Technical analysis suggests Bitcoin is repeating the same cyclical pattern observed in previous bear markets, albeit on a larger scale with slower momentum, deeper institutional involvement, and reduced volatility. The pattern typically includes a parabolic advance, distribution, a sharp decline, a deceptive recovery, and eventual capitulation. Analysts argue the downtrend remains incomplete, citing on-chain metrics like Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) and long-term holder stress, which indicate that investor pain and negative sentiment have not yet reached extremes typical of cycle bottoms. Historical data shows prior bear markets resulted in drawdowns of 77-84% and formed bottoms roughly a year after all-time highs. With Bitcoin currently down 40.8% from its October 2025 peak of $126,080, further downside is possible. Projections based on past cycles suggest a potential bottom may occur in Q3 or Q4 2026.

bitcoinistYesterday 20:38

Bitcoin Is Playing Out The Same Cycle Again On A Bigger Scale

bitcoinistYesterday 20:38

BREAKING – Goldman Sachs Bets On Bitcoin Income With New ETF Filing

Goldman Sachs has filed with the SEC for a Bitcoin Premium Income ETF, aiming to provide investors Bitcoin exposure without direct ownership. The fund will allocate at least 80% of its assets into Bitcoin-related products like existing spot Bitcoin ETFs and options. It intends to generate income by selling call options on Bitcoin ETF holdings, capping potential gains if Bitcoin's price rises significantly. This move follows Morgan Stanley's recent launch of the first bank-issued spot Bitcoin ETF. Goldman’s filing reflects growing institutional interest in Bitcoin investment vehicles, though the SEC has not yet approved the fund.

bitcoinistYesterday 20:01

BREAKING – Goldman Sachs Bets On Bitcoin Income With New ETF Filing

bitcoinistYesterday 20:01

Bitcoin Sentiment Is Turning Bullish Again, But This Analyst Says It’s Not A Good Thing, Here’s Why

Bitcoin has rebounded above $73,000, shifting market sentiment from fear to renewed bullish optimism. However, analyst Max argues that this shift is actually a bearish signal. Based on historical Bitcoin cycles, he suggests that when sentiment gradually turns positive too early, it often indicates the market bottom has not yet been reached. Max points to three missing technical conditions for a cycle low: total capitulation, repeated tests of lows, and a confirmed weekly market structure reversal. Comparing past cycles, he notes that Bitcoin typically undergoes around 365 days of decline after a peak. Projecting from the 2025 top, Max anticipates a potential bottom around October 2026, with a price target of $40,000, aligning with historical bear market duration and magnitude. Currently, Bitcoin is trading near $74,590.

bitcoinistYesterday 15:33

Bitcoin Sentiment Is Turning Bullish Again, But This Analyst Says It’s Not A Good Thing, Here’s Why

bitcoinistYesterday 15:33

$2.7M Bitcoin Buy: Politician-Backed Stack BTC Expands Treasury

Reform UK leader Nigel Farage has become the first sitting British MP and party leader to publicly endorse Bitcoin. Stack BTC, a company chaired by former UK Chancellor Kwasi Kwarteng, purchased 37 Bitcoin for approximately $2.7 million, bringing its total holdings to 68.19 BTC. The firm allows UK investors to gain crypto exposure through public markets. Farage holds a 6.31% stake in the company. This move comes amid scrutiny over Reform UK receiving around $18 million in crypto-linked donations last year, prompting proposed government bans on such contributions. Farage’s investment marks a significant moment for Bitcoin in UK politics.

bitcoinist2 days ago 11:02

$2.7M Bitcoin Buy: Politician-Backed Stack BTC Expands Treasury

bitcoinist2 days ago 11:02

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