Bitcoin Deeply Undervalued? ‘Yardstick’ Metric Hits Off-The-Chart Lows

bitcoinistPublished on 2026-03-25Last updated on 2026-03-25

Abstract

Charles Edwards of Capriole Investments reports that the Bitcoin Yardstick, a valuation metric comparing market cap to network hashrate, is at "off-the-chart" lows, signaling the cryptocurrency is deeply undervalued. The indicator has fallen below -1 standard deviation, reaching levels even lower than during the 2022 bear market. While this suggests Bitcoin is in a "cheap value" zone, it does not necessarily indicate an immediate price bottom, as the metric can remain undervalued for extended periods. A temporary spike in the Yardstick occurred in late January due to a U.S. snowstorm that forced miners offline, reducing hashrate, but the metric quickly fell again following a sharp price drop in February. Bitcoin has since rebounded, trading near $71,000.

Charles Edwards has highlighted how the Bitcoin Yardstick valuation indicator is “off the chart” in deep value at the moment.

Bitcoin Yardstick Is Deep Inside Undervalued Zone

In a new post on X, Capriole Investments founder Charles Edwards has talked about the latest trend in the Bitcoin Yardstick. The “Yardstick” is a valuation tool for the cryptocurrency devised by Edwards that is similar to a Price-to-Earnings (PE) Ratio, but in place of “earnings,” the metric instead uses the energy work done to secure the BTC network.

The stand in for this work done is the “Hashrate,” a measure of the total amount of computing power connected to the Bitcoin blockchain by miners as a whole. The Yardstick takes the ratio between the market cap and this metric to represent BTC’s value.

Now, here is the chart shared by Edwards that shows how the Bitcoin Yardstick has changed over the last few years:

The value of the metric seems to have been relatively low in recent weeks | Source: @caprioleio on X

As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin Yardstick has plummeted over the last few months as the cryptocurrency’s price has gone through a bearish shift. This suggests that the asset’s value has dropped relative to the network Hashrate.

The indicator has recently been floating in the zone below -1 standard deviation (SD) from the mean, which is a region that the analyst’s model describes as pertaining to a “cheap value.” From the chart, it’s visible that the 2022 bear market also saw the Yardstick plummet into this region, but the recent lows in the metric have actually been lower than any level from back then. “Bitcoin yardstick is literally off the chart in deep value,” noted Edwards.

While the cryptocurrency has been severely undervalued from the perspective of the indicator, it may not necessarily mean a bottom is here. In the previous bear market, the indicator was in the undervalued region for months before a turnaround appeared.

An interesting feature in the graph is that the Yardstick saw a sudden spike to a normal-value zone in the final week of January. The BTC price was moving sideways while this happened, so the culprit must have been the Hashrate. And indeed, this spike coincided with a major snow storm in the United States that disrupted the power grid, forcing miners to curtail their electricity usage.

The resulting drop in the Hashrate was very significant, but it lasted only temporarily. Though, before the computing power even returned, the Yardstick plummeted anyway, owing to the sharp price crash that Bitcoin saw to kick off February.

BTC Price

Bitcoin has returned to the $71,000 level following its quick rebound over the past day.

Looks like BTC has already retraced its earlier price drop | Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView

Related Questions

QWhat is the Bitcoin Yardstick and how is it similar to a Price-to-Earnings (PE) Ratio?

AThe Bitcoin Yardstick is a valuation tool for Bitcoin, similar to a Price-to-Earnings (PE) Ratio, but instead of using 'earnings,' it uses the energy work done to secure the BTC network, which is represented by the 'Hashrate.'

QAccording to the article, what does the current low value of the Bitcoin Yardstick indicate about Bitcoin's valuation?

AThe current low value of the Bitcoin Yardstick indicates that Bitcoin is 'deeply undervalued' or in 'deep value,' as the metric has plummeted to off-the-chart lows, suggesting the asset's value has dropped relative to the network Hashrate.

QWhat event caused a sudden, temporary spike in the Bitcoin Yardstick in late January, as mentioned in the article?

AA sudden, temporary spike in the Bitcoin Yardstick in late January was caused by a major snow storm in the United States that disrupted the power grid, forcing miners to curtail their electricity usage, which led to a significant but short-lived drop in the Hashrate.

QDoes the article suggest that the current undervalued state of Bitcoin, according to the Yardstick, means a price bottom has been reached?

ANo, the article states that while Bitcoin is severely undervalued according to the indicator, it does not necessarily mean a bottom is here, as during the previous bear market, the indicator remained in the undervalued region for months before a turnaround occurred.

QWhat was the price of Bitcoin at the time the article was written, following its recent rebound?

AAt the time the article was written, Bitcoin had returned to the $71,000 level following a quick rebound over the past day.

Related Reads

Dalio's Latest Warning: Don't Get Carried Away by AI, Real Returns on US Stocks in the Next 5-10 Years Could Be -5% to -10%

Ray Dalio, founder of Bridgewater Associates, warns investors against excessive concentration in AI stocks. He argues the current market, dominated by a few AI giants, mirrors historical patterns where revolutionary new technologies lead to high risk, volatility, and uncertainty. While acknowledging AI's transformative potential, Dalio emphasizes that most investors fail at this stage of the cycle by over-concentrating in a handful of leading companies. He cites inherent risks: companies cannot accurately forecast investment needs or external shocks (e.g., monetary policy, geopolitics, taxes), face potential disruption from future technologies and international competition (notably from China), and experience significant price swings. Dalio's core advice is diversification, calling it his "Holy Grail of Investing." He presents a mathematical case that a well-diversified portfolio of 15-20 uncorrelated, good bets offers a superior risk-adjusted return compared to a concentrated position. Dalio also offers a cautious outlook, suggesting U.S. stocks may deliver real returns of -5% to -10% over the next 5-10 years based on valuation and bubble indicators. He concludes that in the face of high uncertainty, the prudent strategy is not to avoid betting entirely, but to avoid large, concentrated bets where one lacks sufficient informational edge. Instead, investors should build a strategically balanced, diversified portfolio.

marsbit47m ago

Dalio's Latest Warning: Don't Get Carried Away by AI, Real Returns on US Stocks in the Next 5-10 Years Could Be -5% to -10%

marsbit47m ago

Rain Valuation Approaches $20 Billion: The Battle for U-Cards Extends to Rewards Systems

Rain, a stablecoin payments infrastructure company, is shifting the competitive focus for U Cards from simple issuance to user retention and repeated usage. On June 15, Rain launched "Rain Rewards," an embedded loyalty program capability within its card-issuing infrastructure. This allows partner businesses—like fintech platforms and neobanks—to configure branded loyalty points, earning rules, redemptions, and merchant promotions directly within their card products. The system, built from the 2025 acquisition of Uptop, ensures points are only issued upon final transaction settlement, preventing liabilities from refunds. Trials, such as with Avalanche Card, reportedly boosted spending by 25% among enrolled users. Founded by Farooq Malik and Charles Yoo-Naut, Rain evolved from a tool for managing Web3 company expenses into a full-stack enterprise platform. It is a Principal Member of Visa and Mastercard, enabling partners to issue stablecoin-backed cards and wallets while leveraging traditional payment networks. Notably, the popular U Card Plasma One is issued by Rain under Visa's authority. Rain also integrates with Visa's stablecoin settlement pilot, using USDC for network settlement. Rain's rapid funding reflects growing institutional interest in stablecoin payment infrastructure. It raised a $245 million Series A in March 2025, a $58 million Series B in August 2025, and a $250 million Series C in January of this year, reaching a $19.5 billion valuation. Annualized transaction volume exceeds $3 billion, serving over 200 partners including Western Union and Nuvei. Beyond cards, Rain is expanding into programmable payments. Its June 2026 "Agent Control Layer" allows businesses to set spending rules—like merchant categories, amounts, and frequency—for AI agents before transactions occur. This positions Rain not as a single product but as an operating system for stablecoin payments, handling everything from card issuance and wallet management to rewards, on/off-ramps, and automated compliance. The goal is to enable seamless, often invisible, real-world spending of on-chain assets.

Foresight News50m ago

Rain Valuation Approaches $20 Billion: The Battle for U-Cards Extends to Rewards Systems

Foresight News50m ago

Google TPU Shipments Revised Up by 50%

Recent industry research indicates a significant upward revision in the shipments of Google's TPU (Tensor Processing Unit) chips. Previous expectations for 2027 were set at around 10 million units, but new estimates now point to 15 million units, a 50% increase. This substantial boost directly translates to higher demand across the entire supporting supply chain. Google's TPU clusters utilize a standardized all-optical interconnect architecture. Consequently, key hardware components are deeply integrated and scaled in fixed ratios with the chips. The 15 million TPU target will drive corresponding demand increases for NPO optical engines (roughly a 1:1 match), 1.6T optical modules, OCS optical switches, high-end server power supplies, fiber optics & MPO connectors, and liquid cooling solutions. Among these, liquid cooling is highlighted as the sector experiencing the most significant transformation and offering the most stable potential for excess returns. As next-generation TPU chips reach power levels where traditional air cooling is insufficient, liquid cooling becomes essential. 2026 is forecasted as the first year of substantial adoption for Google's liquid cooling solutions. This shift, coupled with delivery and capacity bottlenecks faced by incumbent overseas manufacturers, is creating a prime window for domestic Chinese suppliers to enter and secure Google's core supply chain. The market size for Google-specific liquid cooling is projected to potentially triple from a baseline of hundreds of billions to around 300 billion units by 2028. The logic for the fiber optic sector is also being rewritten. Once considered a cyclical commodity tied to telecom operator procurement, fiber is now a strategic and scarce resource for AI Data Centers (AIDC). A severe supply-demand imbalance, driven by the long lead time for preform production (18-24 months) and surging demand from cloud giants, is supporting strong performance. Chinese fiber manufacturers are well-positioned to capture a significant share of global AIDC demand, with exports potentially reaching 200-300 million core kilometers in 2026. Overall, the investment focus within the AI computing industry is shifting from pure "chip performance speculation" towards the more certain incremental growth in computing infrastructure and its supporting ecosystem. The upward revision in Google TPU shipments, along with the potential for further doubling by 2028, is seen as solidifying performance visibility for the entire supporting supply chain over the next two years.

marsbit2h ago

Google TPU Shipments Revised Up by 50%

marsbit2h ago

Trading

Spot
Futures

Hot Articles

What is $BITCOIN

DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): A Comprehensive Analysis Introduction to DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a blockchain-based project operating on the Solana network, which aims to combine the characteristics of traditional precious metals with the innovation of decentralized technologies. While it shares a name with Bitcoin, often referred to as “digital gold” due to its perception as a store of value, DIGITAL GOLD is a separate token designed to create a unique ecosystem within the Web3 landscape. Its goal is to position itself as a viable alternative digital asset, although specifics regarding its applications and functionalities are still developing. What is DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a cryptocurrency token explicitly designed for use on the Solana blockchain. In contrast to Bitcoin, which provides a widely recognized value storage role, this token appears to focus on broader applications and characteristics. Notable aspects include: Blockchain Infrastructure: The token is built on the Solana blockchain, known for its capacity to handle high-speed and low-cost transactions. Supply Dynamics: DIGITAL GOLD has a maximum supply capped at 100 quadrillion tokens (100P $BITCOIN), although details regarding its circulating supply are currently undisclosed. Utility: While precise functionalities are not explicitly outlined, there are indications that the token could be utilized for various applications, potentially involving decentralized applications (dApps) or asset tokenization strategies. Who is the Creator of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? At present, the identity of the creators and development team behind DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) remains unknown. This situation is typical among many innovative projects within the blockchain space, particularly those aligning with decentralized finance and meme coin phenomena. While such anonymity may foster a community-driven culture, it intensifies concerns about governance and accountability. Who are the Investors of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? The available information indicates that DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) does not have any known institutional backers or prominent venture capital investments. The project seems to operate on a peer-to-peer model focused on community support and adoption rather than traditional funding routes. Its activity and liquidity are primarily situated on decentralized exchanges (DEXs), such as PumpSwap, rather than established centralized trading platforms, further highlighting its grassroots approach. How DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) Works The operational mechanics of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) can be elaborated on based on its blockchain design and network attributes: Consensus Mechanism: By leveraging Solana’s unique proof-of-history (PoH) combined with a proof-of-stake (PoS) model, the project ensures efficient transaction validation contributing to the network's high performance. Tokenomics: While specific deflationary mechanisms have not been extensively detailed, the vast maximum token supply implies that it may cater to microtransactions or niche use cases that are still to be defined. Interoperability: There exists the potential for integration with Solana’s broader ecosystem, including various decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms. However, the details regarding specific integrations remain unspecified. Timeline of Key Events Here is a timeline that highlights significant milestones concerning DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): 2023: The initial deployment of the token occurs on the Solana blockchain, marked by its contract address. 2024: DIGITAL GOLD gains visibility as it becomes available for trading on decentralized exchanges like PumpSwap, allowing users to trade it against SOL. 2025: The project witnesses sporadic trading activity and potential interest in community-led engagements, although no noteworthy partnerships or technical advancements have been documented as of yet. Critical Analysis Strengths Scalability: The underlying Solana infrastructure supports high transaction volumes, which could enhance the utility of $BITCOIN in various transaction scenarios. Accessibility: The potential low trading price per token could attract retail investors, facilitating wider participation due to fractional ownership opportunities. Risks Lack of Transparency: The absence of publicly known backers, developers, or an audit process may yield skepticism regarding the project's sustainability and trustworthiness. Market Volatility: The trading activity is heavily reliant on speculative behavior, which can result in significant price volatility and uncertainty for investors. Conclusion DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) emerges as an intriguing yet ambiguous project within the rapidly evolving Solana ecosystem. While it attempts to leverage the “digital gold” narrative, its departure from Bitcoin's established role as a store of value underscores the need for a clearer differentiation of its intended utility and governance structure. Future acceptance and adoption will likely depend on addressing the current opacity and defining its operational and economic strategies more explicitly. Note: This report encompasses synthesised information available as of October 2023, and developments may have transpired beyond the research period.

378 Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

What is $BITCOIN

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of BTC (BTC) are presented below.

活动图片